La scuola delle quote

Velez Sarsfield BA v Deportivo Riestra

Inizio: 2026-02-25 22:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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38 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Velez Sarsfield BA (Casa)

Previsione 47.56%2.10quota equa
EV -4.88%
Vantaggio -2.44%
Kelly -4.88%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.35%47.63%47.54%49.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.931.942.0055.56%51.83%51.41%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Deportivo Riestra (Trasferta)

Previsione 18.98%5.27quota equa
EV +10.83%
Vantaggio +1.85%
Kelly +2.24%
Crescita +0.242%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.84

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.46%18.93%19.03%20.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.334.904.905.8423.09%20.43%20.41%17.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 33.46%2.99quota equa
EV -2.97%
Vantaggio -1.02%
Kelly -1.56%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.20%33.43%33.43%34.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.762.802.9041.67%36.21%35.71%34.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.56%EV -7.73%E -3.98%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.84I 17.12%NM 16.46%EV +10.83%E +1.85%K +2.24%G +0.242%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.97%EV -5.31%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-25 22:25
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 48.80%EV -5.83%E -2.94%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.44I 18.38%NM 17.76%EV +3.24%E +0.596%K +0.730%G +0.024%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.44%EV -3.30%E -1.14%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-25 22:25
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 48.88%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -0.364%E -0.069%K -0.086%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.34%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 22:24
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV -1.31%E -0.253%K -0.313%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -9.66%E -3.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 22:25
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.56%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.47%EV -2.26%E -0.439%K -0.545%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 22:19
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.56%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.47%EV -2.26%E -0.439%K -0.545%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 22:20
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.05%EV -8.68%E -4.52%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -3.21%E -0.630%K -0.783%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.48%EV -2.97%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 22:24
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.05%EV -8.68%E -4.52%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -3.21%E -0.630%K -0.783%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.48%EV -2.97%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 22:25
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 49.45%EV -10.11%E -5.35%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -3.21%E -0.630%K -0.783%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -2.97%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 22:20
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.12%EV -7.73%E -3.98%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -3.21%E -0.630%K -0.783%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.58%EV -6.98%E -2.51%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 22:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.47%EV -10.58%E -5.63%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -3.21%E -0.630%K -0.783%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.29%EV -3.64%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-25 22:20
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.58%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 19:45
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.55%EV -5.83%E -2.94%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 22:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.93%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.38%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 22:25
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 47.93%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.38%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 22:25
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.71%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -9.66%E -3.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 22:25
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 48.45%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.05%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-25 22:25
BetAnything1.87I 53.48%NM 49.07%EV -11.06%E -5.91%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.73%EV -7.01%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.20%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-25 21:59
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 49.20%EV -12.49%E -6.79%K -14.86%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.47%EV -7.01%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-25 22:20
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 49.20%EV -12.49%E -6.79%K -14.86%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.47%EV -7.01%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-25 22:20
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.10%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.34%EV -7.96%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.57%EV -3.64%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 22:25
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.10%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.34%EV -7.96%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.57%EV -3.64%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 22:24
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.93%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -8.90%E -1.86%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 22:25
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.55%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -9.85%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -7.99%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-25 22:10
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.46%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.48%EV -9.85%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.05%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-25 22:25
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.46%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.48%EV -9.85%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.05%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-25 22:24
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 47.18%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.85%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -7.99%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-25 16:44
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 47.18%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.85%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -7.99%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-25 22:25
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.41%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -9.85%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -12.34%E -4.71%K -7.61%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-25 22:25
Betclic (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 47.43%EV -10.58%E -5.63%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.18%EV -11.75%E -2.53%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.40%EV -10.66%E -3.99%K -6.38%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-25 22:24
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.60%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.66%E -3.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-25 22:24
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.27%EV -8.68%E -4.52%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.00%EV -7.99%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-25 22:25
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.17%EV -13.01%E -5.00%K -8.13%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-25 22:25
Parions Sport (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 47.34%EV -11.06%E -5.91%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.41%EV -11.33%E -4.28%K -6.87%G +0.000%13.0%2026-02-25 22:25
NetBet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.38%EV -12.96%E -7.08%K -15.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.27%EV -14.60%E -3.24%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.35%EV -13.01%E -5.00%K -8.13%G +0.000%15.3%2026-02-25 22:23
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 46.51%EV -14.39%E -7.99%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.60%EV -14.60%E -3.24%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.88%EV -19.70%E -8.21%K -14.07%G +0.000%19.4%2026-02-25 22:24
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.80%EV -10.58%E -5.63%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.00%EV -16.50%E -3.75%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.20%EV -11.33%E -4.28%K -6.87%G +0.000%13.7%2026-02-25 22:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.35%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.00%EV -17.82%E -4.12%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.65%EV -16.35%E -6.54%K -10.90%G +0.000%15.5%2026-02-25 22:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.16%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.01%0.7%2026-02-25 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.16%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.01%0.7%2026-02-25 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.16%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.01%0.7%2026-02-25 22:25
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.79%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.16%0.9%2026-02-25 22:25
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.54%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.98%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.48%3.0%2026-02-25 22:25