La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Velez Sarsfield BA v Deportivo Riestra
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Velez Sarsfield BA (Local)
Predicción 47.56%2.10momio equitativo
EV -4.88%
Ventaja -2.44%
Kelly -4.88%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.35%47.63%47.54%49.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.931.942.0055.56%51.83%51.41%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Deportivo Riestra (Visitante)
Predicción 18.98%5.27momio equitativo
EV +10.83%
Ventaja +1.85%
Kelly +2.24%
Crecimiento +0.242%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.84
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.46%18.93%19.03%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.334.904.905.8423.09%20.43%20.41%17.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 33.46%2.99momio equitativo
EV -2.97%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -1.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.20%33.43%33.43%34.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.762.802.9041.67%36.21%35.71%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.56%EV -7.73%E -3.98%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 5.84I 17.12%NM 16.46%EV +10.83%E +1.85%K +2.24%G +0.242% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.97%EV -5.31%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-25 22:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.80%EV -5.83%E -2.94%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.44I 18.38%NM 17.76%EV +3.24%E +0.596%K +0.730%G +0.024% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.44%EV -3.30%E -1.14%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-25 22:25 |
| Everygame | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.88%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -0.364%E -0.069%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.34%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-25 22:24 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV -1.31%E -0.253%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -9.66%E -3.58%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 22:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.56%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.47%EV -2.26%E -0.439%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 22:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.56%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.47%EV -2.26%E -0.439%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 22:20 |
| Unibet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.05%EV -8.68%E -4.52%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -3.21%E -0.630%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.48%EV -2.97%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-25 22:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.05%EV -8.68%E -4.52%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -3.21%E -0.630%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.48%EV -2.97%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-25 22:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.45%EV -10.11%E -5.35%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -3.21%E -0.630%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -2.97%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-25 22:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.12%EV -7.73%E -3.98%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -3.21%E -0.630%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.58%EV -6.98%E -2.51%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-25 22:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.47%EV -10.58%E -5.63%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -3.21%E -0.630%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.29%EV -3.64%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-25 22:20 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.58%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 19:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.55%EV -5.83%E -2.94%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-25 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.93%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.38%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-25 22:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.93%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.38%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-25 22:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.71%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -9.66%E -3.58%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-25 22:25 |
| Bovada | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.45%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.05%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-25 22:25 |
| BetAnything | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.07%EV -11.06%E -5.91%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.73%EV -7.01%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.20%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-25 21:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.20%EV -12.49%E -6.79%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.47%EV -7.01%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-25 22:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.20%EV -12.49%E -6.79%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.47%EV -7.01%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-25 22:20 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.10%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.34%EV -7.96%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.57%EV -3.64%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-25 22:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.10%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.34%EV -7.96%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.57%EV -3.64%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-25 22:24 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.93%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -8.90%E -1.86%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-25 22:25 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.55%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -9.85%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -7.99%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-25 22:10 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.46%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.48%EV -9.85%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.05%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-25 22:25 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.46%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.48%EV -9.85%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.05%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-25 22:24 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.18%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.85%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -7.99%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-25 16:44 |
| Bet Right | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.18%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.85%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -7.99%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-25 22:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.41%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -9.85%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -12.34%E -4.71%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-25 22:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.43%EV -10.58%E -5.63%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.18%EV -11.75%E -2.53%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 33.40%EV -10.66%E -3.99%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-25 22:24 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.60%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.66%E -3.58%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-25 22:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.27%EV -8.68%E -4.52%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.00%EV -7.99%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-25 22:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.17%EV -13.01%E -5.00%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-25 22:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.34%EV -11.06%E -5.91%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.41%EV -11.33%E -4.28%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-02-25 22:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.38%EV -12.96%E -7.08%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.27%EV -14.60%E -3.24%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.35%EV -13.01%E -5.00%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-02-25 22:23 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.51%EV -14.39%E -7.99%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.60%EV -14.60%E -3.24%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.88%EV -19.70%E -8.21%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-02-25 22:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.80%EV -10.58%E -5.63%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.00%EV -16.50%E -3.75%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.20%EV -11.33%E -4.28%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-02-25 22:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.35%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.00%EV -17.82%E -4.12%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.65%EV -16.35%E -6.54%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-02-25 22:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.16% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.01% | 0.7% | 2026-02-25 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.16% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.01% | 0.7% | 2026-02-25 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.16% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.01% | 0.7% | 2026-02-25 22:25 |
| Matchbook | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.79% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.16% | 0.9% | 2026-02-25 22:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.54% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.98% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.48% | 3.0% | 2026-02-25 22:25 |