L’École des cotes

Velez Sarsfield BA v Deportivo Riestra

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-25 22:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Velez Sarsfield BA (Local)

Prévision 47.56%2.10cote équitable
EV -4.88%
Avantage -2.44%
Kelly -4.88%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.35%47.63%47.54%49.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.931.942.0055.56%51.83%51.41%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Deportivo Riestra (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.98%5.27cote équitable
EV +10.83%
Avantage +1.85%
Kelly +2.24%
Croissance +0.242%

avec la cote maximale 5.84

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.46%18.93%19.03%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.334.904.905.8423.09%20.43%20.41%17.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 33.46%2.99cote équitable
EV -2.97%
Avantage -1.02%
Kelly -1.56%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.20%33.43%33.43%34.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.762.802.9041.67%36.21%35.71%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.56%EV -7.73%E -3.98%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.84I 17.12%NM 16.46%EV +10.83%E +1.85%K +2.24%G +0.242%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.97%EV -5.31%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-25 22:25
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 48.80%EV -5.83%E -2.94%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.44I 18.38%NM 17.76%EV +3.24%E +0.596%K +0.730%G +0.024%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.44%EV -3.30%E -1.14%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-25 22:25
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 48.88%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -0.364%E -0.069%K -0.086%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.34%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 22:24
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV -1.31%E -0.253%K -0.313%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -9.66%E -3.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 22:25
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.56%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.47%EV -2.26%E -0.439%K -0.545%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 22:19
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.56%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.47%EV -2.26%E -0.439%K -0.545%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 22:20
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.05%EV -8.68%E -4.52%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -3.21%E -0.630%K -0.783%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.48%EV -2.97%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 22:24
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.05%EV -8.68%E -4.52%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -3.21%E -0.630%K -0.783%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.48%EV -2.97%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 22:25
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 49.45%EV -10.11%E -5.35%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -3.21%E -0.630%K -0.783%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -2.97%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 22:20
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.12%EV -7.73%E -3.98%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -3.21%E -0.630%K -0.783%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.58%EV -6.98%E -2.51%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 22:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.47%EV -10.58%E -5.63%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -3.21%E -0.630%K -0.783%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.29%EV -3.64%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-25 22:20
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.58%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 19:45
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.55%EV -5.83%E -2.94%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 22:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.93%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.38%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 22:25
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 47.93%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.38%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 22:25
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.71%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -9.66%E -3.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 22:25
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 48.45%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.05%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-25 22:25
BetAnything1.87I 53.48%NM 49.07%EV -11.06%E -5.91%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.73%EV -7.01%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.20%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-25 21:59
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 49.20%EV -12.49%E -6.79%K -14.86%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.47%EV -7.01%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-25 22:20
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 49.20%EV -12.49%E -6.79%K -14.86%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.47%EV -7.01%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-25 22:20
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.10%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.34%EV -7.96%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.57%EV -3.64%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 22:25
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.10%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.34%EV -7.96%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.57%EV -3.64%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 22:24
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.93%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -8.90%E -1.86%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 22:25
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.55%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -9.85%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -7.99%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-25 22:10
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.46%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.48%EV -9.85%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.05%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-25 22:25
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.46%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.48%EV -9.85%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.05%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-25 22:24
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 47.18%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.85%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -7.99%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-25 16:44
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 47.18%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.85%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -7.99%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-25 22:25
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.41%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -9.85%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -12.34%E -4.71%K -7.61%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-25 22:25
Betclic (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 47.43%EV -10.58%E -5.63%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.18%EV -11.75%E -2.53%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.40%EV -10.66%E -3.99%K -6.38%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-25 22:24
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.60%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.66%E -3.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-25 22:24
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.27%EV -8.68%E -4.52%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.00%EV -7.99%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-25 22:25
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.17%EV -13.01%E -5.00%K -8.13%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-25 22:25
Parions Sport (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 47.34%EV -11.06%E -5.91%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.41%EV -11.33%E -4.28%K -6.87%G +0.000%13.0%2026-02-25 22:25
NetBet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.38%EV -12.96%E -7.08%K -15.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.27%EV -14.60%E -3.24%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.35%EV -13.01%E -5.00%K -8.13%G +0.000%15.3%2026-02-25 22:23
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 46.51%EV -14.39%E -7.99%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.60%EV -14.60%E -3.24%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.88%EV -19.70%E -8.21%K -14.07%G +0.000%19.4%2026-02-25 22:24
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.80%EV -10.58%E -5.63%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.00%EV -16.50%E -3.75%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.20%EV -11.33%E -4.28%K -6.87%G +0.000%13.7%2026-02-25 22:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.35%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.00%EV -17.82%E -4.12%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.65%EV -16.35%E -6.54%K -10.90%G +0.000%15.5%2026-02-25 22:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.16%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.01%0.7%2026-02-25 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.16%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.01%0.7%2026-02-25 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.16%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.01%0.7%2026-02-25 22:25
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.79%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.16%0.9%2026-02-25 22:25
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.54%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.98%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.48%3.0%2026-02-25 22:25