StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Velez Sarsfield BA v CA Tigre BA

Matchstart: 2026-09-21 00:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Velez Sarsfield BA 3–2 CA Tigre BA

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

36 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Velez Sarsfield BA (Hemma)

Prognos 42.57%2.35rättvist odds
EV -2.10%
Fördel -0.912%
Kelly -1.61%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
40.93%42.57%42.52%44.04%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.042.172.172.3049.02%46.17%45.98%43.48%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

CA Tigre BA (Borta)

Prognos 25.25%3.96rättvist odds
EV +3.29%
Fördel +0.804%
Kelly +1.06%
Tillväxt +0.035%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.09

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.53%25.27%25.28%27.69%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.403.663.704.0929.41%27.32%27.03%24.45%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 32.18%3.11rättvist odds
EV -3.46%
Fördel -1.15%
Kelly -1.73%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.66%32.16%32.20%33.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.702.892.903.0037.04%34.58%34.48%33.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Velez Sarsfield BA (Hemma): 42.57%; CA Tigre BA (Borta): 25.25%; Oavgjort: 32.18%. För CA Tigre BA (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.96. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.09, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +3.29%.

Spelbolagsodds (36 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.36%EV -5.08%E -2.28%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.64%EV +3.29%E +0.804%K +1.06%G +0.035%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.00%EV -5.71%E -1.95%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-21 00:24
1xBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.04%EV -7.21%E -3.31%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.53%EV +3.04%E +0.744%K +0.986%G +0.030%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.43%EV -4.75%E -1.60%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-21 00:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.30%EV -5.08%E -2.28%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.51%EV -0.498%E -0.126%K -0.169%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-21 00:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.30%EV -5.08%E -2.28%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.51%EV -0.498%E -0.126%K -0.169%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-21 00:14
BetAnything🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.30%EV -5.08%E -2.28%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.51%EV -0.498%E -0.126%K -0.169%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-21 00:09
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -4.03%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -8.29%E -2.91%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-21 00:22
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -4.03%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -8.29%E -2.91%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-21 00:23
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -8.48%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -4.03%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-21 00:04
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.30%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -5.07%E -1.72%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-21 00:04
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -5.30%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-21 00:24
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.11%EV -8.48%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -5.30%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.32%E -2.54%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-21 00:09
Codere (IT)🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.29%EV -4.65%E -2.08%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.11%EV -5.07%E -1.72%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-21 00:24
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.04%EV -4.23%E -1.88%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.39%EV -6.03%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-21 00:24
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.04%EV -4.23%E -1.88%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.39%EV -6.03%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-21 00:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -4.23%E -1.88%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-21 00:24
Unibet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.29%EV -7.63%E -3.52%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-21 00:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.29%EV -7.63%E -3.52%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-21 00:15
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-21 00:13
Marathon Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.30%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.54%EV -7.97%E -2.79%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-21 00:24
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.49%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.49%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-21 00:24
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -8.29%E -2.91%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-21 00:24
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-21 00:19
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.10%EV -9.76%E -4.60%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.51%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-21 00:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.10%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.76%EV -8.29%E -2.91%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-21 00:19
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-21 00:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.03%EV -11.46%E -5.51%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.57%EV -11.61%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.40%EV -8.29%E -2.91%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-21 00:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.03%EV -11.46%E -5.51%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.57%EV -11.61%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.40%EV -8.29%E -2.91%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-21 00:14
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -11.61%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -13.11%E -4.86%K -7.71%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-21 00:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.29%EV -8.48%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -12.87%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-21 00:24
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.15%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -12.87%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-21 00:03
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.99%EV -12.74%E -6.21%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.54%EV -12.87%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -9.90%E -3.53%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-21 00:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.41%EV -11.89%E -5.74%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 25.67%EV -13.63%E -3.99%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.92%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-21 00:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -2.10%E -0.912%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -14.14%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 11:25
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -4.23%E -1.88%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -14.14%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -5.07%E -1.72%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-18 11:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -14.14%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.30%EV -8.29%E -2.91%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-21 00:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 42.94%EV -13.17%E -6.45%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -14.14%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.29%EV -9.90%E -3.53%K -5.50%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-21 00:19
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.70%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%1.8%2026-09-21 00:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.70%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%1.8%2026-09-21 00:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.70%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%1.8%2026-09-21 00:24
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.34%2.1%2026-09-21 00:04
Smarkets◎2.28I 43.86%NM 42.92%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.62%2.2%2026-09-21 00:14