Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Velez Sarsfield BA v CA Tigre BA

Inizio: 2026-09-21 00:30 UTC

Finale: Velez Sarsfield BA 3–2 CA Tigre BA

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

36 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Velez Sarsfield BA (Casa)

Previsione 42.57%2.35quota equa
EV -2.10%
Vantaggio -0.912%
Kelly -1.61%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.93%42.57%42.52%44.04%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.042.172.172.3049.02%46.17%45.98%43.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

CA Tigre BA (Trasferta)

Previsione 25.25%3.96quota equa
EV +3.29%
Vantaggio +0.804%
Kelly +1.06%
Crescita +0.035%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.09

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.53%25.27%25.28%27.69%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.663.704.0929.41%27.32%27.03%24.45%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 32.18%3.11quota equa
EV -3.46%
Vantaggio -1.15%
Kelly -1.73%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.66%32.16%32.20%33.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.892.903.0037.04%34.58%34.48%33.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Velez Sarsfield BA (Casa): 42.57%; CA Tigre BA (Trasferta): 25.25%; Pareggio: 32.18%. Per CA Tigre BA (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.96. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.09, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.29%.

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.36%EV -5.08%E -2.28%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.64%EV +3.29%E +0.804%K +1.06%G +0.035%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.00%EV -5.71%E -1.95%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-21 00:24
1xBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.04%EV -7.21%E -3.31%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.53%EV +3.04%E +0.744%K +0.986%G +0.030%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.43%EV -4.75%E -1.60%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-21 00:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.30%EV -5.08%E -2.28%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.51%EV -0.498%E -0.126%K -0.169%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-21 00:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.30%EV -5.08%E -2.28%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.51%EV -0.498%E -0.126%K -0.169%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-21 00:14
BetAnything🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.30%EV -5.08%E -2.28%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.51%EV -0.498%E -0.126%K -0.169%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-21 00:09
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -4.03%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -8.29%E -2.91%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-21 00:22
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -4.03%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -8.29%E -2.91%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-21 00:23
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -8.48%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -4.03%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-21 00:04
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.30%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -5.07%E -1.72%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-21 00:04
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -5.30%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-21 00:24
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.11%EV -8.48%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -5.30%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.32%E -2.54%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-21 00:09
Codere (IT)🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.29%EV -4.65%E -2.08%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.11%EV -5.07%E -1.72%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-21 00:24
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.04%EV -4.23%E -1.88%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.39%EV -6.03%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-21 00:24
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.04%EV -4.23%E -1.88%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.39%EV -6.03%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-21 00:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -4.23%E -1.88%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-21 00:24
Unibet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.29%EV -7.63%E -3.52%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-21 00:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.29%EV -7.63%E -3.52%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-21 00:15
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-21 00:13
Marathon Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.30%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.54%EV -7.97%E -2.79%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-21 00:24
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.49%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.49%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-21 00:24
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -8.29%E -2.91%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-21 00:24
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-21 00:19
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.10%EV -9.76%E -4.60%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.51%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-21 00:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.10%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.76%EV -8.29%E -2.91%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-21 00:19
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-21 00:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.03%EV -11.46%E -5.51%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.57%EV -11.61%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.40%EV -8.29%E -2.91%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-21 00:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.03%EV -11.46%E -5.51%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.57%EV -11.61%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.40%EV -8.29%E -2.91%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-21 00:14
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -11.61%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -13.11%E -4.86%K -7.71%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-21 00:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.29%EV -8.48%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -12.87%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-21 00:24
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.15%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -12.87%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-21 00:03
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.99%EV -12.74%E -6.21%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.54%EV -12.87%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -9.90%E -3.53%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-21 00:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.41%EV -11.89%E -5.74%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 25.67%EV -13.63%E -3.99%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.92%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-21 00:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -2.10%E -0.912%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -14.14%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 11:25
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -4.23%E -1.88%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -14.14%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -5.07%E -1.72%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-18 11:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -14.14%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.30%EV -8.29%E -2.91%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-21 00:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 42.94%EV -13.17%E -6.45%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -14.14%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.29%EV -9.90%E -3.53%K -5.50%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-21 00:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.70%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%1.8%2026-09-21 00:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.70%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%1.8%2026-09-21 00:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.70%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%1.8%2026-09-21 00:24
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.34%2.1%2026-09-21 00:04
Smarkets◎2.28I 43.86%NM 42.92%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.62%2.2%2026-09-21 00:14