Idioma:Español
Velez Sarsfield BA v CA Tigre BA
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Velez Sarsfield BA (Local)
Predicción 42.57%2.35momio equitativo
EV -2.10%
Ventaja -0.912%
Kelly -1.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.93%42.57%42.52%44.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.042.172.172.3049.02%46.17%45.98%43.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
CA Tigre BA (Visitante)
Predicción 25.25%3.96momio equitativo
EV +3.29%
Ventaja +0.804%
Kelly +1.06%
Crecimiento +0.035%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.09
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.53%25.27%25.28%27.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.663.704.0929.41%27.32%27.03%24.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 32.18%3.11momio equitativo
EV -3.46%
Ventaja -1.15%
Kelly -1.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.66%32.16%32.20%33.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.702.892.903.0037.04%34.58%34.48%33.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Velez Sarsfield BA (Local): 42.57%; CA Tigre BA (Visitante): 25.25%; Empate: 32.18%. Para CA Tigre BA (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.96. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.09, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.29%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (36 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.36%EV -5.08%E -2.28%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.64%EV +3.29%E +0.804%K +1.06%G +0.035% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.00%EV -5.71%E -1.95%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-21 00:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.04%EV -7.21%E -3.31%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.53%EV +3.04%E +0.744%K +0.986%G +0.030% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.43%EV -4.75%E -1.60%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-21 00:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.30%EV -5.08%E -2.28%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.51%EV -0.498%E -0.126%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-21 00:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.30%EV -5.08%E -2.28%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.51%EV -0.498%E -0.126%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-21 00:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.30%EV -5.08%E -2.28%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.51%EV -0.498%E -0.126%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-21 00:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -4.03%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -8.29%E -2.91%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-21 00:22 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -4.03%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -8.29%E -2.91%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-21 00:23 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -8.48%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -4.03%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-21 00:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.30%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -5.07%E -1.72%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-21 00:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -5.30%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-21 00:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.11%EV -8.48%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -5.30%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.32%E -2.54%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-21 00:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.29%EV -4.65%E -2.08%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.11%EV -5.07%E -1.72%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-21 00:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.04%EV -4.23%E -1.88%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.39%EV -6.03%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-21 00:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.04%EV -4.23%E -1.88%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.39%EV -6.03%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-21 00:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -4.23%E -1.88%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-21 00:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.29%EV -7.63%E -3.52%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-21 00:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.29%EV -7.63%E -3.52%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-21 00:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-21 00:13 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.30%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.54%EV -7.97%E -2.79%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-21 00:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.49%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.49%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-21 00:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -8.29%E -2.91%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-21 00:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-21 00:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.10%EV -9.76%E -4.60%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.51%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-21 00:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.10%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.76%EV -8.29%E -2.91%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-21 00:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-21 00:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.03%EV -11.46%E -5.51%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.57%EV -11.61%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.40%EV -8.29%E -2.91%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-21 00:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.03%EV -11.46%E -5.51%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.57%EV -11.61%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.40%EV -8.29%E -2.91%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-21 00:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -11.61%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -13.11%E -4.86%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-21 00:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.29%EV -8.48%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -12.87%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-21 00:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.15%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -12.87%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-21 00:03 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.99%EV -12.74%E -6.21%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.54%EV -12.87%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -9.90%E -3.53%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-21 00:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.41%EV -11.89%E -5.74%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 25.67%EV -13.63%E -3.99%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.92%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-21 00:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -2.10%E -0.912%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -14.14%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-18 11:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -4.23%E -1.88%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -14.14%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -5.07%E -1.72%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-18 11:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -14.14%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.30%EV -8.29%E -2.91%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-21 00:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 42.94%EV -13.17%E -6.45%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -14.14%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.29%EV -9.90%E -3.53%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-21 00:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.70% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74% | 1.8% | 2026-09-21 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.70% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74% | 1.8% | 2026-09-21 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.70% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74% | 1.8% | 2026-09-21 00:24 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.17% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.34% | 2.1% | 2026-09-21 00:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.92% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.62% | 2.2% | 2026-09-21 00:14 |