语言:简体中文
Union Santa Fe v Independiente
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Union Santa Fe (主队)
预测 39.81%2.51公平赔率
EV -3.25%
优势 -1.34%
Kelly -2.28%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.43
博彩公司预测分布
38.26%39.81%39.83%40.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.312.302.4345.45%43.25%43.48%41.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
Independiente (客队)
预测 29.44%3.40公平赔率
EV +3.04%
优势 +0.870%
Kelly +1.22%
增长率 +0.037%
假设最高赔率为 3.50
博彩公司预测分布
27.63%29.43%29.47%30.98%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.853.153.103.5035.09%31.77%32.26%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 30.75%3.25公平赔率
EV -3.15%
优势 -1.00%
Kelly -1.47%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.15
博彩公司预测分布
29.62%30.76%30.69%31.61%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.823.023.003.1535.46%33.14%33.33%31.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Union Santa Fe (主队)：39.81%；Independiente (客队)：29.44%；平局：30.75%。 对于“Independiente (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.40。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.50，对应+3.04%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (37 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.97%EV -6.04%E -2.56%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%EV +3.04%E +0.870%K +1.22%G +0.037% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -5.30%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-19 19:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.97%EV -6.04%E -2.56%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%EV +3.04%E +0.870%K +1.22%G +0.037% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -5.30%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-19 19:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.97%EV -6.04%E -2.56%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%EV +3.04%E +0.870%K +1.22%G +0.037% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -5.30%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-19 19:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.70%EV -5.25%E -2.20%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.16%EV +1.28%E +0.372%K +0.524%G +0.007% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.14%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-19 19:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -7.63%E -3.29%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -1.37%E -0.409%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-19 19:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -7.63%E -3.29%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -1.37%E -0.409%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-19 19:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -8.43%E -3.67%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -1.37%E -0.409%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -9.30%E -3.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-19 19:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.43%E -3.67%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -2.84%E -0.862%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-19 19:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.43%E -3.67%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -2.84%E -0.862%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-19 19:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.26%EV -6.04%E -2.56%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.88%EV -3.14%E -0.954%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.85%EV -5.30%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-19 19:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -6.44%E -2.74%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -4.32%E -1.33%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -4.69%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-19 19:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.60%EV -8.83%E -3.86%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -4.32%E -1.33%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.79%EV -7.15%E -2.37%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-19 19:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -9.23%E -4.05%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -4.32%E -1.33%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-19 19:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -6.44%E -2.74%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-19 19:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -8.43%E -3.67%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.69%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-19 19:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -12.41%E -5.64%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.45%E -3.98%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-19 19:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.45%E -1.85%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.69%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-19 19:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.75%EV -3.25%E -1.34%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-19 19:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -5.64%E -2.38%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -4.69%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 19:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -8.43%E -3.67%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-19 19:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.43%E -3.67%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-19 19:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -12.41%E -5.64%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -11.45%E -3.98%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-19 19:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.44%E -2.74%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -10.20%E -3.35%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.15%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-19 19:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.44%E -2.74%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -10.20%E -3.35%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.15%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-19 19:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.66%EV -4.45%E -1.85%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.42%EV -10.20%E -3.35%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-19 19:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -8.43%E -3.67%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.20%E -3.35%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-19 19:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -6.44%E -2.74%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -11.68%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -4.69%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-19 19:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -5.25%E -2.20%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.68%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-14 00:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.43%E -3.67%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.68%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-19 19:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.13%EV -10.42%E -4.63%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.65%EV -12.56%E -4.23%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.22%EV -13.30%E -4.72%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-19 19:38 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.43%E -3.67%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -13.15%E -4.46%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-19 19:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.80%EV -10.42%E -4.63%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -13.15%E -4.46%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-19 19:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.80%EV -10.42%E -4.63%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -13.15%E -4.46%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-19 19:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.93%EV -12.41%E -5.64%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.78%EV -13.15%E -4.46%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-19 19:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.43%E -3.67%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -14.62%E -5.04%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-19 19:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.32%EV -11.22%E -5.03%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -14.62%E -5.04%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.45%EV -11.45%E -3.98%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-19 19:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -12.41%E -5.64%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.66%EV -16.09%E -5.65%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -9.30%E -3.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-19 19:40 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66% | 1.0% | 2026-09-19 19:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.46% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34% | 1.3% | 2026-09-19 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.46% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34% | 1.3% | 2026-09-19 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.66% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.11% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.23% | 1.6% | 2026-09-19 19:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.29% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.26% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.45% | 2.6% | 2026-09-19 19:40 |