StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Union Santa Fe v Independiente

Matchstart: 2026-09-19 19:45 UTC

Slutresultat: Union Santa Fe 1–2 Independiente

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

37 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Union Santa Fe (Hemma)

Prognos 39.81%2.51rättvist odds
EV -3.25%
Fördel -1.34%
Kelly -2.28%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.43

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
38.26%39.81%39.83%40.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.202.312.302.4345.45%43.25%43.48%41.15%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Independiente (Borta)

Prognos 29.44%3.40rättvist odds
EV +3.04%
Fördel +0.870%
Kelly +1.22%
Tillväxt +0.037%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.63%29.43%29.47%30.98%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.853.153.103.5035.09%31.77%32.26%28.57%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 30.75%3.25rättvist odds
EV -3.15%
Fördel -1.00%
Kelly -1.47%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.15

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.62%30.76%30.69%31.61%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.823.023.003.1535.46%33.14%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Union Santa Fe (Hemma): 39.81%; Independiente (Borta): 29.44%; Oavgjort: 30.75%. För Independiente (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.40. 4 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.50, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +3.04%.

Spelbolagsodds (37 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
LowVig.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.97%EV -6.04%E -2.56%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%EV +3.04%E +0.870%K +1.22%G +0.037%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -5.30%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-19 19:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.97%EV -6.04%E -2.56%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%EV +3.04%E +0.870%K +1.22%G +0.037%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -5.30%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-19 19:39
BetAnything🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.97%EV -6.04%E -2.56%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%EV +3.04%E +0.870%K +1.22%G +0.037%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -5.30%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-19 19:39
Pinnacle🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.70%EV -5.25%E -2.20%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.16%EV +1.28%E +0.372%K +0.524%G +0.007%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.14%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-19 19:40
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -7.63%E -3.29%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -1.37%E -0.409%K -0.584%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 19:40
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -7.63%E -3.29%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -1.37%E -0.409%K -0.584%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 19:40
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -8.43%E -3.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -1.37%E -0.409%K -0.584%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -9.30%E -3.15%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 19:39
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.43%E -3.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -2.84%E -0.862%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 19:40
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.43%E -3.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -2.84%E -0.862%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 19:40
1xBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.26%EV -6.04%E -2.56%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.88%EV -3.14%E -0.954%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.85%EV -5.30%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 19:39
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -6.44%E -2.74%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -4.32%E -1.33%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -4.69%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 19:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.60%EV -8.83%E -3.86%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -4.32%E -1.33%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.79%EV -7.15%E -2.37%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 19:40
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -9.23%E -4.05%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -4.32%E -1.33%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 19:40
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -6.44%E -2.74%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 19:40
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -8.43%E -3.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.69%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 19:39
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -12.41%E -5.64%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.45%E -3.98%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-19 19:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.45%E -1.85%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.69%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 19:39
Codere (IT)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.75%EV -3.25%E -1.34%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 19:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -5.64%E -2.38%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -4.69%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 19:40
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -8.43%E -3.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 19:30
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.43%E -3.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 19:40
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -12.41%E -5.64%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -11.45%E -3.98%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-19 19:40
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.44%E -2.74%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -10.20%E -3.35%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.15%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 19:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.44%E -2.74%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -10.20%E -3.35%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.15%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 19:39
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.66%EV -4.45%E -1.85%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.42%EV -10.20%E -3.35%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-19 19:39
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -8.43%E -3.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.20%E -3.35%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 19:39
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -6.44%E -2.74%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -11.68%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -4.69%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-19 19:39
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -5.25%E -2.20%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.68%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-14 00:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.43%E -3.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.68%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-19 19:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.13%EV -10.42%E -4.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.65%EV -12.56%E -4.23%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.22%EV -13.30%E -4.72%K -7.31%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-19 19:38
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.43%E -3.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -13.15%E -4.46%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 19:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.80%EV -10.42%E -4.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -13.15%E -4.46%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-19 19:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.80%EV -10.42%E -4.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -13.15%E -4.46%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-19 19:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.93%EV -12.41%E -5.64%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.78%EV -13.15%E -4.46%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-19 19:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.43%E -3.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -14.62%E -5.04%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-19 19:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.32%EV -11.22%E -5.03%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -14.62%E -5.04%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.45%EV -11.45%E -3.98%K -6.09%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-19 19:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -12.41%E -5.64%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.66%EV -16.09%E -5.65%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -9.30%E -3.15%K -4.77%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-19 19:40
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66%1.0%2026-09-19 19:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%1.3%2026-09-19 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%1.3%2026-09-19 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.66%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.11%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.23%1.6%2026-09-19 19:40
Smarkets◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.26%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.45%2.6%2026-09-19 19:40