StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Union Santa Fe v Deportivo Riestra

Matchstart: 2026-04-03 20:15 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

37 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Union Santa Fe (Hemma)

Prognos 50.48%1.98rättvist odds
EV -2.58%
Fördel -1.34%
Kelly -2.78%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.93

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
48.72%50.68%50.59%52.77%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.721.821.831.9358.14%54.83%54.64%51.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Deportivo Riestra (Borta)

Prognos 19.43%5.15rättvist odds
EV +12.70%
Fördel +2.19%
Kelly +2.65%
Tillväxt +0.336%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
16.10%19.21%19.36%21.01%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.204.844.805.8023.81%20.64%20.83%17.24%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 30.09%3.32rättvist odds
EV -2.80%
Fördel -0.867%
Kelly -1.26%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.23

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.90%30.11%30.05%31.13%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.803.053.083.2335.71%32.76%32.47%30.96%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Union Santa Fe (Hemma): 50.48%; Deportivo Riestra (Borta): 19.43%; Oavgjort: 30.09%. För Deportivo Riestra (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.15. 7 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.80, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +12.70%.

Spelbolagsodds (37 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.77%EV -10.66%E -6.02%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.10%EV +12.70%E +2.19%K +2.65%G +0.336%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.13%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 20:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.00%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV +6.87%E +1.25%K +1.53%G +0.105%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -6.71%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 20:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.00%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV +6.87%E +1.25%K +1.53%G +0.105%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -6.71%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 20:05
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.59%EV -11.67%E -6.67%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV +6.87%E +1.25%K +1.53%G +0.105%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 20:05
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.87%EV -6.11%E -3.29%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.42I 18.45%NM 17.80%EV +5.32%E +0.981%K +1.20%G +0.064%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.34%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 20:10
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 18.00%EV +3.37%E +0.634%K +0.781%G +0.026%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.65%EV -2.80%E -0.867%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 20:04
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV +2.01%E +0.384%K +0.474%G +0.010%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -6.71%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 20:05
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.58%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -2.84%E -0.569%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51%EV -6.71%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-03 20:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.02%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -2.84%E -0.569%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.31%EV -7.31%E -2.37%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 20:05
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -11.67%E -6.67%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -2.84%E -0.569%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -6.71%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-03 20:04
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -11.67%E -6.67%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.92%EV -2.84%E -0.569%K -0.711%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.89%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-03 20:05
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.37%EV -12.68%E -7.33%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -2.84%E -0.569%K -0.711%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -13.33%E -4.63%K -7.09%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-03 20:05
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.63%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -4.79%E -0.977%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 20:03
Unibet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.73%EV -4.10%E -2.16%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -4.79%E -0.977%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.98%EV -8.22%E -2.69%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 20:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -4.60%E -2.43%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -4.79%E -0.977%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -8.22%E -2.69%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 20:10
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV -4.79%E -0.977%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 20:10
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.37%EV -5.76%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 20:05
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.37%EV -5.76%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -6.73%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -3.70%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 20:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.94%EV -5.11%E -2.72%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -7.70%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.71%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 19:50
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.75%EV -8.13%E -4.47%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.45%EV -7.70%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -6.71%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 20:05
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -5.11%E -2.72%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -8.67%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -8.22%E -2.69%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 19:58
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.37%EV -8.67%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -11.23%E -3.81%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 20:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.37%EV -8.67%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -11.23%E -3.81%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 20:05
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.72%EV -2.58%E -1.34%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -10.62%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -8.22%E -2.69%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 19:40
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.76%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -10.62%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.71%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 19:50
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.03%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -10.62%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -6.71%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-03 20:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.56%EV -8.64%E -4.77%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -10.62%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.93%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-03 20:10
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -12.56%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -3.70%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-03 20:05
Bet Right🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.56%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -12.56%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06%EV -8.22%E -2.69%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 20:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 50.62%EV -13.18%E -7.66%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.35%EV -12.56%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.03%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-03 20:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 49.94%EV -12.68%E -7.33%K -17.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.20%EV -12.56%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%EV -15.74%E -5.62%K -8.74%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-03 20:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.88%EV -9.65%E -5.39%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.06%EV -13.53%E -3.04%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.06%EV -10.62%E -3.58%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-03 19:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.98%EV -8.13%E -4.47%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -14.50%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -6.71%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 19:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -14.50%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-03 20:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.94%EV -10.66%E -6.02%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.09%EV -14.50%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -11.23%E -3.81%K -5.76%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-03 19:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.58%EV -10.15%E -5.70%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -18.39%E -4.38%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-03 19:45
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.48%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.99%0.8%2026-04-03 20:10
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.48%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.99%0.8%2026-04-03 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.61%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-04-03 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.61%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-04-03 20:10
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.88%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45%2.0%2026-04-03 20:05
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.04%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.89%2.8%2026-04-03 20:05