L’École des cotesFrançais
Union Santa Fe v Deportivo Riestra
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Union Santa Fe (Local)
Prévision 50.48%1.98cote équitable
EV -2.58%
Avantage -1.34%
Kelly -2.78%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.93
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.72%50.68%50.59%52.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.821.831.9358.14%54.83%54.64%51.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Deportivo Riestra (Visiteur)
Prévision 19.43%5.15cote équitable
EV +12.70%
Avantage +2.19%
Kelly +2.65%
Croissance +0.336%
avec la cote maximale 5.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.10%19.21%19.36%21.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.844.805.8023.81%20.64%20.83%17.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 30.09%3.32cote équitable
EV -2.80%
Avantage -0.867%
Kelly -1.26%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.23
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.90%30.11%30.05%31.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.053.083.2335.71%32.76%32.47%30.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.77%EV -10.66%E -6.02%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.10%EV +12.70%E +2.19%K +2.65%G +0.336% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.13%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 20:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.00%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV +6.87%E +1.25%K +1.53%G +0.105% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -6.71%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 20:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.00%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV +6.87%E +1.25%K +1.53%G +0.105% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -6.71%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.59%EV -11.67%E -6.67%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV +6.87%E +1.25%K +1.53%G +0.105% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.87%EV -6.11%E -3.29%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 5.42I 18.45%NM 17.80%EV +5.32%E +0.981%K +1.20%G +0.064% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.34%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-03 20:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.32I 18.80%NM 18.00%EV +3.37%E +0.634%K +0.781%G +0.026% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.65%EV -2.80%E -0.867%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 20:04 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV +2.01%E +0.384%K +0.474%G +0.010% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -6.71%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.58%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -2.84%E -0.569%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51%EV -6.71%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.02%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -2.84%E -0.569%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.31%EV -7.31%E -2.37%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -11.67%E -6.67%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -2.84%E -0.569%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -6.71%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-03 20:04 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -11.67%E -6.67%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.92%EV -2.84%E -0.569%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.89%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| Sky Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.37%EV -12.68%E -7.33%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -2.84%E -0.569%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -13.33%E -4.63%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.63%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -4.79%E -0.977%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 20:03 |
| Unibet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.73%EV -4.10%E -2.16%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -4.79%E -0.977%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.98%EV -8.22%E -2.69%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 20:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -4.60%E -2.43%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -4.79%E -0.977%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -8.22%E -2.69%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 20:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV -4.79%E -0.977%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-03 20:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.37%EV -5.76%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.37%EV -5.76%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -6.73%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -3.70%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.94%EV -5.11%E -2.72%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -7.70%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.71%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-03 19:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.75%EV -8.13%E -4.47%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.45%EV -7.70%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -6.71%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| Bovada | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -5.11%E -2.72%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -8.67%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -8.22%E -2.69%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-03 19:58 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.37%EV -8.67%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -11.23%E -3.81%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.37%EV -8.67%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -11.23%E -3.81%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.72%EV -2.58%E -1.34%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -10.62%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -8.22%E -2.69%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-03 19:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.76%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -10.62%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.71%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-03 19:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.03%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -10.62%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -6.71%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-03 20:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.56%EV -8.64%E -4.77%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -10.62%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.93%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-03 20:10 |
| Betway | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -12.56%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -3.70%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.56%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -12.56%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06%EV -8.22%E -2.69%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.62%EV -13.18%E -7.66%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.35%EV -12.56%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.03%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.94%EV -12.68%E -7.33%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.20%EV -12.56%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%EV -15.74%E -5.62%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.88%EV -9.65%E -5.39%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.06%EV -13.53%E -3.04%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 30.06%EV -10.62%E -3.58%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-03 19:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.98%EV -8.13%E -4.47%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -14.50%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -6.71%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-03 19:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -14.50%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-03 20:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.94%EV -10.66%E -6.02%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.09%EV -14.50%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -11.23%E -3.81%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-03 19:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.58%EV -10.15%E -5.70%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -18.39%E -4.38%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-03 19:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.48% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.99% | 0.8% | 2026-04-03 20:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.48% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.99% | 0.8% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.61% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-04-03 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.61% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-04-03 20:10 |
| Kalshi | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.88% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45% | 2.0% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.04% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.07% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.89% | 2.8% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |