A Escola das Odds

Union Santa Fe v Deportivo Riestra

Início: 2026-04-03 20:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

37 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Union Santa Fe (Local)

Previsão 50.48%1.98odd justa
EV -2.58%
Vantagem -1.34%
Kelly -2.78%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.93

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.72%50.68%50.59%52.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.721.821.831.9358.14%54.83%54.64%51.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Deportivo Riestra (Visitante)

Previsão 19.43%5.15odd justa
EV +12.70%
Vantagem +2.19%
Kelly +2.65%
Crescimento +0.336%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.10%19.21%19.36%21.01%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.204.844.805.8023.81%20.64%20.83%17.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 30.09%3.32odd justa
EV -2.80%
Vantagem -0.867%
Kelly -1.26%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.90%30.11%30.05%31.13%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.053.083.2335.71%32.76%32.47%30.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (37 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.77%EV -10.66%E -6.02%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.10%EV +12.70%E +2.19%K +2.65%G +0.336%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.13%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 20:04
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.00%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV +6.87%E +1.25%K +1.53%G +0.105%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -6.71%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 20:04
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.00%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV +6.87%E +1.25%K +1.53%G +0.105%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -6.71%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 20:05
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.59%EV -11.67%E -6.67%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV +6.87%E +1.25%K +1.53%G +0.105%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 20:05
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76%NM 51.87%EV -6.11%E -3.29%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.42I 18.45%NM 17.80%EV +5.32%E +0.981%K +1.20%G +0.064%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.34%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 20:10
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 18.00%EV +3.37%E +0.634%K +0.781%G +0.026%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.65%EV -2.80%E -0.867%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 20:04
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV +2.01%E +0.384%K +0.474%G +0.010%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -6.71%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 20:05
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 50.58%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -2.84%E -0.569%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51%EV -6.71%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-03 20:05
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.02%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -2.84%E -0.569%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.31%EV -7.31%E -2.37%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 20:05
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -11.67%E -6.67%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -2.84%E -0.569%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -6.71%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-03 20:04
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -11.67%E -6.67%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.92%EV -2.84%E -0.569%K -0.711%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.89%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-03 20:05
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.37%EV -12.68%E -7.33%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -2.84%E -0.569%K -0.711%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -13.33%E -4.63%K -7.09%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-03 20:05
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.63%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -4.79%E -0.977%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 20:03
Unibet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.73%EV -4.10%E -2.16%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -4.79%E -0.977%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.98%EV -8.22%E -2.69%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 20:10
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -4.60%E -2.43%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -4.79%E -0.977%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -8.22%E -2.69%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 20:10
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV -4.79%E -0.977%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 20:10
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.37%EV -5.76%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 20:05
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.37%EV -5.76%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -6.73%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -3.70%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 20:05
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.94%EV -5.11%E -2.72%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -7.70%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.71%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 19:50
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 50.75%EV -8.13%E -4.47%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.45%EV -7.70%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -6.71%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 20:05
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -5.11%E -2.72%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -8.67%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -8.22%E -2.69%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 19:58
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.37%EV -8.67%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -11.23%E -3.81%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 20:05
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.37%EV -8.67%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -11.23%E -3.81%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 20:05
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.72%EV -2.58%E -1.34%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -10.62%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -8.22%E -2.69%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 19:40
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.76%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -10.62%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.71%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 19:50
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 50.03%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -10.62%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -6.71%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-03 20:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 49.56%EV -8.64%E -4.77%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -10.62%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.93%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-03 20:10
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -12.56%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -3.70%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-03 20:05
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 49.56%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -12.56%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06%EV -8.22%E -2.69%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 20:05
NetBet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 50.62%EV -13.18%E -7.66%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.35%EV -12.56%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.03%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-03 20:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.94%EV -12.68%E -7.33%K -17.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.20%EV -12.56%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%EV -15.74%E -5.62%K -8.74%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-03 20:05
Betclic (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 49.88%EV -9.65%E -5.39%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.06%EV -13.53%E -3.04%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.06%EV -10.62%E -3.58%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-03 19:49
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.98%EV -8.13%E -4.47%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -14.50%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -6.71%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 19:45
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -14.50%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-03 20:09
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 49.94%EV -10.66%E -6.02%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.09%EV -14.50%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -11.23%E -3.81%K -5.76%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-03 19:49
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.58%EV -10.15%E -5.70%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -18.39%E -4.38%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-03 19:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.48%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.99%0.8%2026-04-03 20:10
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.48%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.99%0.8%2026-04-03 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.61%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-04-03 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.61%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-04-03 20:10
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.88%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45%2.0%2026-04-03 20:05
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.04%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.89%2.8%2026-04-03 20:05