La scuola delle quote

Union Santa Fe v Boca Juniors

Inizio: 2026-03-16 01:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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38 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Union Santa Fe (Casa)

Previsione 32.73%3.06quota equa
EV +1.45%
Vantaggio +0.468%
Kelly +0.691%
Crescita +0.010%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.42%32.65%32.68%33.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.852.853.1040.00%35.15%35.09%32.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Boca Juniors (Trasferta)

Previsione 32.64%3.06quota equa
EV -0.117%
Vantaggio -0.038%
Kelly -0.057%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.06

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.09%32.82%32.58%36.06%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.802.833.0640.00%35.70%35.40%32.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 34.63%2.89quota equa
EV -3.03%
Vantaggio -1.08%
Kelly -1.68%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.20%34.53%34.75%36.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.352.672.702.8042.55%37.49%37.11%35.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV +1.45%E +0.468%K +0.691%G +0.010%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.87%EV -14.15%E -5.38%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -3.03%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-16 00:55
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV +1.45%E +0.468%K +0.691%G +0.010%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.87%EV -14.15%E -5.38%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -3.03%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-16 00:55
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 30.78%EV -0.186%E -0.061%K -0.091%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -14.15%E -5.38%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.53%EV -3.03%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 23:35
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -1.82%E -0.607%K -0.911%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -16.76%E -6.57%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-16 00:55
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -1.82%E -0.607%K -0.911%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -16.76%E -6.57%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-16 00:55
LowVig.ag2.98I 33.56%NM 32.00%EV -2.48%E -0.831%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.55%EV -4.36%E -1.49%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.45%EV -6.84%E -2.54%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-16 00:25
BetOnline.ag2.98I 33.56%NM 32.00%EV -2.48%E -0.831%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.55%EV -4.36%E -1.49%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.45%EV -6.84%E -2.54%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-16 00:25
1xBet2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV -3.13%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.36%EV -0.117%E -0.038%K -0.057%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.22%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-16 00:55
Pinnacle2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -3.46%E -1.17%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.62%EV -0.117%E -0.038%K -0.057%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.58%EV -5.80%E -2.13%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-16 00:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -3.46%E -1.17%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -18.40%E -7.36%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-16 00:55
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -3.71%E -1.26%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.13%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-16 00:55
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -6.97%E -2.45%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-16 00:50
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-16 00:50
Betsson2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -5.75%E -2.00%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -4.69%E -1.61%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.11%EV -7.18%E -2.68%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-16 00:54
NordicBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -5.75%E -2.00%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -4.69%E -1.61%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.11%EV -7.18%E -2.68%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-16 00:50
Unibet (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -5.75%E -2.00%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -5.99%E -2.08%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 00:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.08%E -2.12%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.61%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.61%EV -3.03%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-16 00:35
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.73%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -2.08%E -0.692%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-16 00:54
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -6.73%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-16 00:51
BetAnything2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -6.73%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-16 00:55
Everygame2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -6.73%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -3.71%E -1.26%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-16 00:54
Marathon Bet2.84I 35.21%NM 32.88%EV -7.06%E -2.49%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.87%EV -4.36%E -1.49%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.24%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-16 00:55
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -6.97%E -2.45%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.93%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-16 00:49
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -2.08%E -0.692%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -9.26%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-16 00:55
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-16 00:50
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-16 00:50
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -10.00%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-16 00:55
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -10.00%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -10.24%E -3.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.74%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-16 00:50
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.00%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -5.99%E -2.08%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -13.42%E -5.37%K -8.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-16 00:55
Betclic (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.00%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.27%EV -12.52%E -4.67%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.30%EV -9.96%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-16 00:53
Parions Sport (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -10.00%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.52%EV -13.50%E -5.09%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.17%EV -9.96%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-16 00:50
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -11.64%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-16 00:55
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -11.64%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.41%EV -14.48%E -5.53%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -3.03%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-15 23:55
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -11.64%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -13.42%E -5.37%K -8.95%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-16 00:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.19%EV -11.64%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.05%EV -14.15%E -5.38%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -13.42%E -5.37%K -8.95%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-16 00:55
NetBet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.16%EV -11.64%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.39%EV -15.13%E -5.82%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.45%EV -12.73%E -5.05%K -8.37%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-16 00:55
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -13.28%E -5.01%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -13.50%E -5.09%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.76%EV -9.96%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-16 00:50
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.25%EV -18.19%E -7.27%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.37%EV -13.50%E -5.09%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.38%EV -18.61%E -7.92%K -13.79%G +0.000%20.3%2026-03-16 00:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%0.8%2026-03-16 00:55
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%0.8%2026-03-16 00:55
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.67%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.67%1.0%2026-03-16 00:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.99%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.60%1.1%2026-03-16 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.99%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.60%1.1%2026-03-16 00:55
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 33.05%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.68%1.5%2026-03-16 00:55