La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Union Santa Fe v Boca Juniors
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Union Santa Fe (Local)
Predicción 32.73%3.06momio equitativo
EV +1.45%
Ventaja +0.468%
Kelly +0.691%
Crecimiento +0.010%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.42%32.65%32.68%33.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.852.853.1040.00%35.15%35.09%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Boca Juniors (Visitante)
Predicción 32.64%3.06momio equitativo
EV -0.117%
Ventaja -0.038%
Kelly -0.057%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.06
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.09%32.82%32.58%36.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.802.833.0640.00%35.70%35.40%32.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 34.63%2.89momio equitativo
EV -3.03%
Ventaja -1.08%
Kelly -1.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.20%34.53%34.75%36.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.672.702.8042.55%37.49%37.11%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV +1.45%E +0.468%K +0.691%G +0.010% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.87%EV -14.15%E -5.38%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -3.03%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV +1.45%E +0.468%K +0.691%G +0.010% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.87%EV -14.15%E -5.38%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -3.03%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |
| BetRivers | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.78%EV -0.186%E -0.061%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -14.15%E -5.38%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.53%EV -3.03%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 23:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -1.82%E -0.607%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -16.76%E -6.57%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -1.82%E -0.607%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -16.76%E -6.57%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.00%EV -2.48%E -0.831%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.55%EV -4.36%E -1.49%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.45%EV -6.84%E -2.54%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-16 00:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.00%EV -2.48%E -0.831%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.55%EV -4.36%E -1.49%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.45%EV -6.84%E -2.54%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-16 00:25 |
| 1xBet | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV -3.13%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.36%EV -0.117%E -0.038%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.22%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -3.46%E -1.17%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.62%EV -0.117%E -0.038%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.58%EV -5.80%E -2.13%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -3.46%E -1.17%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -18.40%E -7.36%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -3.71%E -1.26%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.13%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |
| Fanatics | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -6.97%E -2.45%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-16 00:50 |
| theScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-16 00:50 |
| Betsson | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -5.75%E -2.00%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -4.69%E -1.61%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.11%EV -7.18%E -2.68%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-16 00:54 |
| NordicBet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -5.75%E -2.00%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -4.69%E -1.61%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.11%EV -7.18%E -2.68%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-16 00:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -5.75%E -2.00%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -5.99%E -2.08%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-16 00:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.08%E -2.12%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.61%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.61%EV -3.03%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-16 00:35 |
| FanDuel | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.73%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -2.08%E -0.692%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-16 00:54 |
| Bovada | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -6.73%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-16 00:51 |
| BetAnything | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -6.73%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |
| Everygame | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -6.73%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -3.71%E -1.26%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-16 00:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.88%EV -7.06%E -2.49%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.87%EV -4.36%E -1.49%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.24%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -6.97%E -2.45%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.93%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-16 00:49 |
| SportsBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -2.08%E -0.692%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -9.26%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-16 00:50 |
| Betway | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-16 00:50 |
| Bet Right | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -10.00%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -10.00%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -10.24%E -3.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.74%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-16 00:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.00%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -5.99%E -2.08%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -13.42%E -5.37%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.00%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 33.27%EV -12.52%E -4.67%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.30%EV -9.96%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-16 00:53 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -10.00%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.52%EV -13.50%E -5.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.17%EV -9.96%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-16 00:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -11.64%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |
| BoyleSports | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -11.64%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.41%EV -14.48%E -5.53%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -3.03%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-15 23:55 |
| Sky Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -11.64%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -13.42%E -5.37%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.19%EV -11.64%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.05%EV -14.15%E -5.38%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -13.42%E -5.37%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.16%EV -11.64%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.39%EV -15.13%E -5.82%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 34.45%EV -12.73%E -5.05%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -13.28%E -5.01%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -13.50%E -5.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.76%EV -9.96%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-16 00:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.25%EV -18.19%E -7.27%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 31.37%EV -13.50%E -5.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 35.38%EV -18.61%E -7.92%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43% | 0.8% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |
| Matchbook | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43% | 0.8% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |
| Kalshi | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.67% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.67% | 1.0% | 2026-03-16 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.99% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.60% | 1.1% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.99% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.60% | 1.1% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.05% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.68% | 1.5% | 2026-03-16 00:55 |