La scuola delle quote

Sarmiento de Junin v Racing Club

Inizio: 2026-03-11 01:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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36 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Sarmiento de Junin (Casa)

Previsione 27.08%3.69quota equa
EV +4.24%
Vantaggio +1.10%
Kelly +1.49%
Crescita +0.063%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.55%26.94%27.15%28.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.153.473.453.8531.75%28.78%28.99%25.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Racing Club (Trasferta)

Previsione 41.63%2.40quota equa
EV -3.00%
Vantaggio -1.29%
Kelly -2.26%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.90%41.84%41.57%45.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.182.202.3351.28%45.78%45.45%42.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 31.29%3.20quota equa
EV -1.43%
Vantaggio -0.453%
Kelly -0.663%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.86%31.22%31.29%32.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.652.973.003.1537.74%33.72%33.33%31.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV +4.24%E +1.10%K +1.49%G +0.063%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -13.41%E -6.45%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -1.43%E -0.453%K -0.663%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 00:29
Unibet (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV +4.24%E +1.10%K +1.49%G +0.063%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -13.41%E -6.45%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -1.43%E -0.453%K -0.663%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 00:30
BetRivers3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV +2.89%E +0.760%K +1.03%G +0.030%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.08%EV -13.41%E -6.45%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -2.99%E -0.965%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-11 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV +1.53%E +0.409%K +0.558%G +0.009%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -14.66%E -7.15%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -2.99%E -0.965%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 00:30
1xBet3.73I 26.81%NM 25.74%EV +0.993%E +0.266%K +0.364%G +0.004%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.67%EV -6.33%E -2.81%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.58%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 00:50
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV +0.181%E +0.049%K +0.067%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -16.74%E -8.37%K -16.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -4.56%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-11 00:55
LiveScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV +0.181%E +0.049%K +0.067%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -16.74%E -8.37%K -16.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -4.56%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-11 00:55
Pinnacle3.65I 27.40%NM 26.55%EV -1.17%E -0.321%K -0.443%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.58%EV -3.00%E -1.29%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.87%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-11 00:30
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -2.53%E -0.702%K -0.972%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -8.41%E -3.82%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-11 00:54
Marathon Bet3.52I 28.41%NM 26.49%EV -4.69%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.00%EV -7.58%E -3.41%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.50%EV -7.37%E -2.49%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 00:55
BetOnline.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -5.23%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.05%EV -3.42%E -1.47%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.74%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 23:24
LowVig.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -5.23%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.05%EV -3.42%E -1.47%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.74%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 23:25
NordicBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.23%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.90%EV -4.25%E -1.85%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -8.62%E -2.95%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-11 00:30
Betsson3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.23%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.33%E -2.81%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-11 00:55
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.23%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.41%E -3.82%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-11 00:55
Everygame3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.23%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.33%E -2.81%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.25%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-11 00:30
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.23%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.41%E -3.82%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -9.25%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-11 00:55
DraftKings3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -6.59%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.10%EV -4.25%E -1.85%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 00:35
Unibet (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.59%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -6.33%E -2.81%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 22:10
BetAnything3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.59%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -6.33%E -2.81%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 00:45
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.94%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.33%E -2.81%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -2.99%E -0.965%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-10 20:20
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.94%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.25%E -1.85%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-10 22:35
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.94%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.41%E -3.82%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 20:19
PlayUp3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.94%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.33%E -2.81%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -9.25%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-11 00:30
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.94%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.41%E -3.82%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.25%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-11 00:28
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -7.94%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -10.49%E -4.88%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -9.87%E -3.43%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-11 00:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.26%EV -7.94%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.94%EV -16.74%E -8.37%K -16.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.81%EV -15.51%E -5.74%K -9.12%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-11 00:55
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.65%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.33%E -2.81%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-10 23:35
Bet Right3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.65%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.41%E -3.82%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-11 00:50
Parions Sport (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.65%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.56%EV -10.49%E -4.88%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -10.81%E -3.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-11 00:35
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -10.65%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -10.49%E -4.88%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.38%E -4.42%K -6.88%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-11 00:55
Betclic (FR)3.28I 30.49%NM 27.26%EV -11.19%E -3.41%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.59%EV -10.49%E -4.88%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -10.19%E -3.55%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-11 00:33
Winamax (DE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -12.00%E -3.69%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.41%E -3.82%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-10 22:10
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.00%E -3.69%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.41%E -3.82%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -9.25%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-11 00:55
Winamax (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -14.71%E -4.67%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.61%EV -12.58%E -5.99%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.66%EV -10.81%E -3.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-10 22:10
PMU (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 26.29%EV -14.71%E -4.67%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 42.46%EV -18.82%E -9.65%K -19.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.25%EV -17.07%E -6.44%K -10.35%G +0.000%20.8%2026-03-11 00:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.40%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-03-11 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.40%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-03-11 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.40%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-03-11 00:55
Matchbook3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.40%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-03-11 00:55
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.62%2.0%2026-03-11 00:55