L’École des cotesFrançais
Sarmiento de Junin v Racing Club
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Sarmiento de Junin (Local)
Prévision 27.08%3.69cote équitable
EV +4.24%
Avantage +1.10%
Kelly +1.49%
Croissance +0.063%
avec la cote maximale 3.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.55%26.94%27.15%28.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.473.453.8531.75%28.78%28.99%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Racing Club (Visiteur)
Prévision 41.63%2.40cote équitable
EV -3.00%
Avantage -1.29%
Kelly -2.26%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.33
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.90%41.84%41.57%45.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.182.202.3351.28%45.78%45.45%42.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 31.29%3.20cote équitable
EV -1.43%
Avantage -0.453%
Kelly -0.663%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.15
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.86%31.22%31.29%32.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.652.973.003.1537.74%33.72%33.33%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV +4.24%E +1.10%K +1.49%G +0.063% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -13.41%E -6.45%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -1.43%E -0.453%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-11 00:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV +4.24%E +1.10%K +1.49%G +0.063% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -13.41%E -6.45%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -1.43%E -0.453%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-11 00:30 |
| BetRivers | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV +2.89%E +0.760%K +1.03%G +0.030% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.08%EV -13.41%E -6.45%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -2.99%E -0.965%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV +1.53%E +0.409%K +0.558%G +0.009% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -14.66%E -7.15%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -2.99%E -0.965%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 00:30 |
| 1xBet | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.74%EV +0.993%E +0.266%K +0.364%G +0.004% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.67%EV -6.33%E -2.81%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.58%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-11 00:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV +0.181%E +0.049%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -16.74%E -8.37%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -4.56%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-11 00:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV +0.181%E +0.049%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -16.74%E -8.37%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -4.56%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-11 00:55 |
| Pinnacle | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.55%EV -1.17%E -0.321%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.58%EV -3.00%E -1.29%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.87%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-11 00:30 |
| FanDuel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -2.53%E -0.702%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -8.41%E -3.82%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-11 00:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.49%EV -4.69%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.00%EV -7.58%E -3.41%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.50%EV -7.37%E -2.49%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 00:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -5.23%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.05%EV -3.42%E -1.47%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.74%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 23:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -5.23%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.05%EV -3.42%E -1.47%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.74%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 23:25 |
| NordicBet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.23%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.90%EV -4.25%E -1.85%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -8.62%E -2.95%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-11 00:30 |
| Betsson | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.23%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.33%E -2.81%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-11 00:55 |
| Bovada | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.23%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.41%E -3.82%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-11 00:55 |
| Everygame | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.23%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.33%E -2.81%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.25%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-11 00:30 |
| SportsBet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.23%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.41%E -3.82%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -9.25%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-11 00:55 |
| DraftKings | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -6.59%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.10%EV -4.25%E -1.85%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-11 00:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.59%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -6.33%E -2.81%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-10 22:10 |
| BetAnything | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.59%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -6.33%E -2.81%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 00:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.94%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.33%E -2.81%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -2.99%E -0.965%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-10 20:20 |
| Fanatics | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.94%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.25%E -1.85%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-10 22:35 |
| BetMGM | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.94%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.41%E -3.82%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-10 20:19 |
| PlayUp | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.94%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.33%E -2.81%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -9.25%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-11 00:30 |
| BoyleSports | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.94%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.41%E -3.82%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.25%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-11 00:28 |
| Paddy Power | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -7.94%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -10.49%E -4.88%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -9.87%E -3.43%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-11 00:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.26%EV -7.94%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.94%EV -16.74%E -8.37%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.81%EV -15.51%E -5.74%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-11 00:55 |
| Betway | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.65%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.33%E -2.81%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-10 23:35 |
| Bet Right | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.65%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.41%E -3.82%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-11 00:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.65%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.56%EV -10.49%E -4.88%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -10.81%E -3.79%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-11 00:35 |
| Sky Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -10.65%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -10.49%E -4.88%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.38%E -4.42%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-11 00:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.28I 30.49%NM 27.26%EV -11.19%E -3.41%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.59%EV -10.49%E -4.88%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -10.19%E -3.55%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-11 00:33 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -12.00%E -3.69%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.41%E -3.82%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-10 22:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.00%E -3.69%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.41%E -3.82%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -9.25%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-11 00:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -14.71%E -4.67%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.61%EV -12.58%E -5.99%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.66%EV -10.81%E -3.79%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-10 22:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 26.29%EV -14.71%E -4.67%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 42.46%EV -18.82%E -9.65%K -19.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 31.25%EV -17.07%E -6.44%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 20.8% | 2026-03-11 00:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.40% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 0.8% | 2026-03-11 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.40% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 0.8% | 2026-03-11 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.40% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 0.8% | 2026-03-11 00:55 |
| Matchbook | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.40% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 0.8% | 2026-03-11 00:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.25% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.62% | 2.0% | 2026-03-11 00:55 |