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Sarmiento de Junin v Racing Club
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sarmiento de Junin (Local)
Predicción 27.08%3.69momio equitativo
EV +4.24%
Ventaja +1.10%
Kelly +1.49%
Crecimiento +0.063%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.55%26.94%27.15%28.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.153.473.453.8531.75%28.78%28.99%25.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Racing Club (Visitante)
Predicción 41.63%2.40momio equitativo
EV -3.00%
Ventaja -1.29%
Kelly -2.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.90%41.84%41.57%45.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.952.182.202.3351.28%45.78%45.45%42.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 31.29%3.20momio equitativo
EV -1.43%
Ventaja -0.453%
Kelly -0.663%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.86%31.22%31.29%32.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.652.973.003.1537.74%33.72%33.33%31.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Sarmiento de Junin (Local): 27.08%; Racing Club (Visitante): 41.63%; Empate: 31.29%. Para Sarmiento de Junin (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.69. 7 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.85, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.24%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (36 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV +4.24%E +1.10%K +1.49%G +0.063% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -13.41%E -6.45%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -1.43%E -0.453%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-11 00:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV +4.24%E +1.10%K +1.49%G +0.063% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -13.41%E -6.45%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -1.43%E -0.453%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-11 00:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV +2.89%E +0.760%K +1.03%G +0.030% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.08%EV -13.41%E -6.45%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -2.99%E -0.965%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV +1.53%E +0.409%K +0.558%G +0.009% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -14.66%E -7.15%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -2.99%E -0.965%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 00:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.74%EV +0.993%E +0.266%K +0.364%G +0.004% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.67%EV -6.33%E -2.81%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.58%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-11 00:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV +0.181%E +0.049%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -16.74%E -8.37%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -4.56%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-11 00:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV +0.181%E +0.049%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -16.74%E -8.37%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -4.56%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-11 00:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.55%EV -1.17%E -0.321%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.58%EV -3.00%E -1.29%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.87%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-11 00:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -2.53%E -0.702%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -8.41%E -3.82%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-11 00:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.49%EV -4.69%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.00%EV -7.58%E -3.41%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.50%EV -7.37%E -2.49%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 00:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -5.23%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.05%EV -3.42%E -1.47%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.74%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 23:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -5.23%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.05%EV -3.42%E -1.47%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.74%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 23:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.23%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.90%EV -4.25%E -1.85%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -8.62%E -2.95%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-11 00:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.23%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.33%E -2.81%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-11 00:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.23%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.41%E -3.82%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-11 00:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.23%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.33%E -2.81%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.25%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-11 00:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.23%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.41%E -3.82%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -9.25%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-11 00:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -6.59%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.10%EV -4.25%E -1.85%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-11 00:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.59%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -6.33%E -2.81%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-10 22:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.59%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -6.33%E -2.81%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 00:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.94%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.33%E -2.81%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -2.99%E -0.965%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-10 20:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.94%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.25%E -1.85%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-10 22:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.94%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.41%E -3.82%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-10 20:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.94%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.33%E -2.81%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -9.25%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-11 00:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.94%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.41%E -3.82%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.25%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-11 00:28 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -7.94%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -10.49%E -4.88%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -9.87%E -3.43%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-11 00:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.26%EV -7.94%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.94%EV -16.74%E -8.37%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.81%EV -15.51%E -5.74%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-11 00:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.65%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.33%E -2.81%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-10 23:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.65%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.41%E -3.82%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-11 00:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.65%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.56%EV -10.49%E -4.88%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -10.81%E -3.79%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-11 00:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -10.65%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -10.49%E -4.88%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.38%E -4.42%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-11 00:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 27.26%EV -11.19%E -3.41%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.59%EV -10.49%E -4.88%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -10.19%E -3.55%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-11 00:33 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -12.00%E -3.69%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.41%E -3.82%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-10 22:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.00%E -3.69%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.41%E -3.82%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -9.25%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-11 00:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -14.71%E -4.67%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.61%EV -12.58%E -5.99%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.66%EV -10.81%E -3.79%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-10 22:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 26.29%EV -14.71%E -4.67%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 42.46%EV -18.82%E -9.65%K -19.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 31.25%EV -17.07%E -6.44%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 20.8% | 2026-03-11 00:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.40% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 0.8% | 2026-03-11 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.40% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 0.8% | 2026-03-11 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.40% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 0.8% | 2026-03-11 00:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.40% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 0.8% | 2026-03-11 00:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.25% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.62% | 2.0% | 2026-03-11 00:55 |