A Escola das Odds

Sarmiento de Junin v Gimnasia La Plata

Início: 2026-04-13 19:30 UTC

Final: Sarmiento de Junin 1–2 Gimnasia La Plata

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

36 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Sarmiento de Junin (Local)

Previsão 34.47%2.90odd justa
EV -0.372%
Vantagem -0.129%
Kelly -0.197%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.89

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.64%34.70%34.39%37.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.432.642.672.8941.15%37.86%37.38%34.60%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Gimnasia La Plata (Visitante)

Previsão 31.84%3.14odd justa
EV +3.49%
Vantagem +1.07%
Kelly +1.55%
Crescimento +0.054%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.72%31.67%31.91%33.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.602.962.953.2538.46%33.76%33.90%30.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 33.68%2.97odd justa
EV -2.99%
Vantagem -1.04%
Kelly -1.59%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.43%33.63%33.69%34.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.752.772.8840.00%36.32%36.04%34.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (36 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.10%EV -12.09%E -4.74%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV +3.49%E +1.07%K +1.55%G +0.054%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-13 19:25
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.10%EV -12.09%E -4.74%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV +3.49%E +1.07%K +1.55%G +0.054%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-13 19:25
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -13.82%E -5.53%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV +3.49%E +1.07%K +1.55%G +0.054%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 19:10
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -15.54%E -6.34%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV +0.305%E +0.097%K +0.142%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -9.05%E -3.35%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-13 19:24
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -15.54%E -6.34%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV +0.305%E +0.097%K +0.142%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -9.05%E -3.35%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-13 19:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.03%EV -16.23%E -6.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -1.29%E -0.415%K -0.613%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -10.74%E -4.05%K -6.51%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-13 19:24
1xBet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.57%EV -6.92%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.08%EV -1.61%E -0.520%K -0.768%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.35%EV -2.99%E -1.04%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-13 19:20
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -10.37%E -3.99%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -2.88%E -0.944%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 19:14
Pinnacle2.89I 34.60%NM 33.51%EV -0.372%E -0.129%K -0.197%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.22%EV -4.67%E -1.65%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-13 19:25
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.70%EV -5.20%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.81%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.49%EV -4.00%E -1.40%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 19:15
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -3.47%E -1.24%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.74%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.25%EV -6.36%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 19:19
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -3.47%E -1.24%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.74%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.25%EV -6.36%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 19:20
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -5.20%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-13 19:19
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -6.92%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-13 19:20
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -5.20%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -9.05%E -3.35%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 19:20
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.91%EV -3.47%E -1.24%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.06%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.91%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 19:20
NordicBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -5.20%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -6.06%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 19:14
Betsson2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -5.20%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -6.06%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 19:15
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -5.20%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79%EV -6.06%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-13 19:20
BetAnything2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -6.92%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -6.06%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-13 19:20
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -12.09%E -4.74%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -6.06%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-13 19:20
Marathon Bet2.71I 36.90%NM 34.41%EV -6.58%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -7.02%E -2.40%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.66%EV -6.70%E -2.42%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 19:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.92%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 19:15
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -8.65%E -3.26%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 19:15
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -13.82%E -5.53%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-13 19:20
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -6.92%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -8.29%E -2.88%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-13 19:15
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -10.37%E -3.99%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -8.29%E -2.88%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-13 19:20
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -9.68%E -3.69%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -8.29%E -2.88%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -11.75%E -4.48%K -7.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-13 19:20
Betclic (FR)2.48I 40.32%NM 35.94%EV -14.51%E -5.85%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -8.61%E -3.00%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.01%EV -9.05%E -3.35%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-13 19:18
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -6.92%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -9.25%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-13 19:24
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.64%EV -12.09%E -4.74%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.89%EV -9.25%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-13 19:20
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.14%EV -15.54%E -6.34%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.07%EV -9.25%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -9.05%E -3.35%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-13 19:20
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -5.20%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-13 19:25
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.89%EV -9.34%E -3.55%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.28%EV -12.42%E -4.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-13 19:19
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.74%EV -15.54%E -6.34%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.84%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.43%EV -9.05%E -3.35%K -5.33%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-13 19:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 32.64%EV -9.34%E -3.55%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.02%EV -17.21%E -6.62%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.34%EV -15.79%E -6.32%K -10.53%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-13 19:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.31%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.31%1.2%2026-04-13 19:25
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 34.30%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.83%1.2%2026-04-13 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.14%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.14%1.7%2026-04-13 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.14%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.14%1.7%2026-04-13 19:25
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 34.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.37%2.4%2026-04-13 19:25