L’École des cotesFrançais
Sarmiento de Junin v Gimnasia La Plata
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Sarmiento de Junin (Local)
Prévision 34.47%2.90cote équitable
EV -0.372%
Avantage -0.129%
Kelly -0.197%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.89
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.64%34.70%34.39%37.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.432.642.672.8941.15%37.86%37.38%34.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Gimnasia La Plata (Visiteur)
Prévision 31.84%3.14cote équitable
EV +3.49%
Avantage +1.07%
Kelly +1.55%
Croissance +0.054%
avec la cote maximale 3.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.72%31.67%31.91%33.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.962.953.2538.46%33.76%33.90%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 33.68%2.97cote équitable
EV -2.99%
Avantage -1.04%
Kelly -1.59%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.88
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.43%33.63%33.69%34.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.752.772.8840.00%36.32%36.04%34.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.10%EV -12.09%E -4.74%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV +3.49%E +1.07%K +1.55%G +0.054% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-13 19:25 |
| Unibet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.10%EV -12.09%E -4.74%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV +3.49%E +1.07%K +1.55%G +0.054% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-13 19:25 |
| BetRivers | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -13.82%E -5.53%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV +3.49%E +1.07%K +1.55%G +0.054% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-13 19:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -15.54%E -6.34%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV +0.305%E +0.097%K +0.142%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -9.05%E -3.35%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-13 19:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -15.54%E -6.34%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV +0.305%E +0.097%K +0.142%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -9.05%E -3.35%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-13 19:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.03%EV -16.23%E -6.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -1.29%E -0.415%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -10.74%E -4.05%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-13 19:24 |
| 1xBet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.57%EV -6.92%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.08%EV -1.61%E -0.520%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.35%EV -2.99%E -1.04%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| Bovada | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -10.37%E -3.99%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -2.88%E -0.944%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-13 19:14 |
| Pinnacle | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.51%EV -0.372%E -0.129%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.22%EV -4.67%E -1.65%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-13 19:25 |
| Fanatics | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.70%EV -5.20%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.81%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.49%EV -4.00%E -1.40%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 19:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -3.47%E -1.24%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.74%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.25%EV -6.36%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 19:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -3.47%E -1.24%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.74%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.25%EV -6.36%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| FanDuel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -5.20%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-13 19:19 |
| theScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -6.92%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -5.20%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -9.05%E -3.35%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.91%EV -3.47%E -1.24%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.06%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.91%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -5.20%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -6.06%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-13 19:14 |
| Betsson | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -5.20%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -6.06%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-13 19:15 |
| Everygame | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -5.20%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79%EV -6.06%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| BetAnything | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -6.92%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -6.06%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| Bet Right | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -12.09%E -4.74%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -6.06%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.41%EV -6.58%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -7.02%E -2.40%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.66%EV -6.70%E -2.42%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-13 19:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.92%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-13 19:15 |
| BetMGM | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -8.65%E -3.26%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-13 19:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -13.82%E -5.53%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| Betway | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -6.92%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -8.29%E -2.88%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-13 19:15 |
| betfred_uk | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -10.37%E -3.99%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -8.29%E -2.88%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -9.68%E -3.69%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -8.29%E -2.88%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -11.75%E -4.48%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.94%EV -14.51%E -5.85%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -8.61%E -3.00%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.01%EV -9.05%E -3.35%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-13 19:18 |
| PlayUp | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -6.92%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -9.25%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-13 19:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.64%EV -12.09%E -4.74%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.89%EV -9.25%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.14%EV -15.54%E -6.34%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.07%EV -9.25%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -9.05%E -3.35%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| BoyleSports | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -5.20%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-13 19:25 |
| Sky Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.89%EV -9.34%E -3.55%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.28%EV -12.42%E -4.78%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-13 19:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.74%EV -15.54%E -6.34%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.84%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.43%EV -9.05%E -3.35%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.64%EV -9.34%E -3.55%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.02%EV -17.21%E -6.62%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.34%EV -15.79%E -6.32%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.31% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.31% | 1.2% | 2026-04-13 19:25 |
| Matchbook | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.30% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.83% | 1.2% | 2026-04-13 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.14% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.14% | 1.7% | 2026-04-13 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.14% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.14% | 1.7% | 2026-04-13 19:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.37% | 2.4% | 2026-04-13 19:25 |