La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Sarmiento de Junin v Gimnasia La Plata
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Sarmiento de Junin (Casa)
Previsione 34.47%2.90quota equa
EV -0.372%
Vantaggio -0.129%
Kelly -0.197%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.89
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.64%34.70%34.39%37.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.432.642.672.8941.15%37.86%37.38%34.60%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Gimnasia La Plata (Trasferta)
Previsione 31.84%3.14quota equa
EV +3.49%
Vantaggio +1.07%
Kelly +1.55%
Crescita +0.054%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.72%31.67%31.91%33.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.602.962.953.2538.46%33.76%33.90%30.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 33.68%2.97quota equa
EV -2.99%
Vantaggio -1.04%
Kelly -1.59%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.88
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.43%33.63%33.69%34.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.752.772.8840.00%36.32%36.04%34.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.10%EV -12.09%E -4.74%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV +3.49%E +1.07%K +1.55%G +0.054% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-13 19:25 |
| Unibet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.10%EV -12.09%E -4.74%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV +3.49%E +1.07%K +1.55%G +0.054% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-13 19:25 |
| BetRivers | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -13.82%E -5.53%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV +3.49%E +1.07%K +1.55%G +0.054% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-13 19:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -15.54%E -6.34%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV +0.305%E +0.097%K +0.142%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -9.05%E -3.35%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-13 19:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -15.54%E -6.34%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV +0.305%E +0.097%K +0.142%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -9.05%E -3.35%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-13 19:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.03%EV -16.23%E -6.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -1.29%E -0.415%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -10.74%E -4.05%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-13 19:24 |
| 1xBet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.57%EV -6.92%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.08%EV -1.61%E -0.520%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.35%EV -2.99%E -1.04%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| Bovada | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -10.37%E -3.99%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -2.88%E -0.944%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-13 19:14 |
| Pinnacle | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.51%EV -0.372%E -0.129%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.22%EV -4.67%E -1.65%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-13 19:25 |
| Fanatics | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.70%EV -5.20%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.81%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.49%EV -4.00%E -1.40%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 19:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -3.47%E -1.24%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.74%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.25%EV -6.36%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 19:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -3.47%E -1.24%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.74%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.25%EV -6.36%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| FanDuel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -5.20%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-13 19:19 |
| theScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -6.92%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -5.20%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -9.05%E -3.35%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.91%EV -3.47%E -1.24%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.06%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.91%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -5.20%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -6.06%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-13 19:14 |
| Betsson | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -5.20%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -6.06%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-13 19:15 |
| Everygame | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -5.20%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79%EV -6.06%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| BetAnything | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -6.92%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -6.06%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| Bet Right | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -12.09%E -4.74%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -6.06%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.41%EV -6.58%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -7.02%E -2.40%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.66%EV -6.70%E -2.42%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-13 19:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.92%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-13 19:15 |
| BetMGM | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -8.65%E -3.26%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-13 19:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -13.82%E -5.53%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| Betway | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -6.92%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -8.29%E -2.88%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-13 19:15 |
| betfred_uk | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -10.37%E -3.99%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -8.29%E -2.88%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -9.68%E -3.69%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -8.29%E -2.88%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -11.75%E -4.48%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.94%EV -14.51%E -5.85%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -8.61%E -3.00%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.01%EV -9.05%E -3.35%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-13 19:18 |
| PlayUp | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -6.92%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -9.25%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-13 19:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.64%EV -12.09%E -4.74%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.89%EV -9.25%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.14%EV -15.54%E -6.34%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.07%EV -9.25%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -9.05%E -3.35%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| BoyleSports | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -5.20%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-13 19:25 |
| Sky Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.89%EV -9.34%E -3.55%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.28%EV -12.42%E -4.78%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-13 19:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.74%EV -15.54%E -6.34%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.84%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.43%EV -9.05%E -3.35%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.64%EV -9.34%E -3.55%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.02%EV -17.21%E -6.62%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.34%EV -15.79%E -6.32%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.31% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.31% | 1.2% | 2026-04-13 19:25 |
| Matchbook | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.30% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.83% | 1.2% | 2026-04-13 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.14% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.14% | 1.7% | 2026-04-13 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.14% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.14% | 1.7% | 2026-04-13 19:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.37% | 2.4% | 2026-04-13 19:25 |