Idioma:Español
Sarmiento de Junin v Gimnasia La Plata
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sarmiento de Junin (Local)
Predicción 34.47%2.90momio equitativo
EV -0.372%
Ventaja -0.129%
Kelly -0.197%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.89
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.64%34.70%34.39%37.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.432.642.672.8941.15%37.86%37.38%34.60%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Gimnasia La Plata (Visitante)
Predicción 31.84%3.14momio equitativo
EV +3.49%
Ventaja +1.07%
Kelly +1.55%
Crecimiento +0.054%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.72%31.67%31.91%33.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.602.962.953.2538.46%33.76%33.90%30.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 33.68%2.97momio equitativo
EV -2.99%
Ventaja -1.04%
Kelly -1.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.43%33.63%33.69%34.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.752.772.8840.00%36.32%36.04%34.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Sarmiento de Junin (Local): 34.47%; Gimnasia La Plata (Visitante): 31.84%; Empate: 33.68%. Para Gimnasia La Plata (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.14. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.25, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.49%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (36 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.10%EV -12.09%E -4.74%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV +3.49%E +1.07%K +1.55%G +0.054% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-13 19:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.10%EV -12.09%E -4.74%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV +3.49%E +1.07%K +1.55%G +0.054% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-13 19:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -13.82%E -5.53%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV +3.49%E +1.07%K +1.55%G +0.054% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-13 19:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -15.54%E -6.34%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV +0.305%E +0.097%K +0.142%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -9.05%E -3.35%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-13 19:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -15.54%E -6.34%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV +0.305%E +0.097%K +0.142%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -9.05%E -3.35%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-13 19:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.03%EV -16.23%E -6.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -1.29%E -0.415%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -10.74%E -4.05%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-13 19:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.57%EV -6.92%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.08%EV -1.61%E -0.520%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.35%EV -2.99%E -1.04%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -10.37%E -3.99%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -2.88%E -0.944%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-13 19:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.51%EV -0.372%E -0.129%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.22%EV -4.67%E -1.65%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-13 19:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.70%EV -5.20%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.81%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.49%EV -4.00%E -1.40%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 19:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -3.47%E -1.24%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.74%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.25%EV -6.36%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 19:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -3.47%E -1.24%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.74%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.25%EV -6.36%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -5.20%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-13 19:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -6.92%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -5.20%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -9.05%E -3.35%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.91%EV -3.47%E -1.24%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.06%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.91%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -5.20%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -6.06%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-13 19:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -5.20%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -6.06%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-13 19:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -5.20%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79%EV -6.06%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -6.92%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -6.06%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -12.09%E -4.74%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -6.06%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.41%EV -6.58%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -7.02%E -2.40%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.66%EV -6.70%E -2.42%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-13 19:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.92%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-13 19:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -8.65%E -3.26%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-13 19:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -13.82%E -5.53%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -6.92%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -8.29%E -2.88%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-13 19:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -10.37%E -3.99%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -8.29%E -2.88%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -9.68%E -3.69%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -8.29%E -2.88%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -11.75%E -4.48%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.94%EV -14.51%E -5.85%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -8.61%E -3.00%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.01%EV -9.05%E -3.35%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-13 19:18 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -6.92%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -9.25%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-13 19:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.64%EV -12.09%E -4.74%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.89%EV -9.25%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.14%EV -15.54%E -6.34%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.07%EV -9.25%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -9.05%E -3.35%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -5.20%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-13 19:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.89%EV -9.34%E -3.55%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.28%EV -12.42%E -4.78%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-13 19:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.74%EV -15.54%E -6.34%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.84%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.43%EV -9.05%E -3.35%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.64%EV -9.34%E -3.55%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.02%EV -17.21%E -6.62%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.34%EV -15.79%E -6.32%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.31% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.31% | 1.2% | 2026-04-13 19:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.30% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.83% | 1.2% | 2026-04-13 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.14% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.14% | 1.7% | 2026-04-13 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.14% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.14% | 1.7% | 2026-04-13 19:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.37% | 2.4% | 2026-04-13 19:25 |