Langue:Français
San Lorenzo v Boca Juniors
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
San Lorenzo (Local)
Prévision 19.50%5.13cote équitable
EV +4.50%
Avantage +0.840%
Kelly +1.03%
Croissance +0.047%
avec la cote maximale 5.36
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.90%19.61%19.48%21.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.684.755.3625.00%21.38%21.05%18.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Boca Juniors (Visiteur)
Prévision 49.57%2.02cote équitable
EV -2.84%
Avantage -1.45%
Kelly -2.96%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.96
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.10%49.52%49.53%50.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.751.881.881.9657.14%53.31%53.19%51.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 30.93%3.23cote équitable
EV -3.49%
Avantage -1.12%
Kelly -1.65%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.12
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.84%30.86%30.98%31.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.003.003.1235.71%33.38%33.33%32.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : San Lorenzo (Local) : 19.50% ; Boca Juniors (Visiteur) : 49.57% ; Match nul : 30.93%. Pour San Lorenzo (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.13. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.36, soit une espérance positive de +4.50%.
Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.36I 18.66%NM 17.90%EV +4.50%E +0.840%K +1.03%G +0.047% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.75%EV -6.31%E -3.34%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.35%EV -5.35%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-20 17:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.75%EV +0.409%E +0.079%K +0.099%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.30%EV -4.82%E -2.51%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.95%EV -3.49%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-20 17:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -0.566%E -0.111%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.79%EV -9.29%E -5.07%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-20 17:33 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.13%EV -1.54%E -0.305%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.80%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.07%EV -3.80%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-20 17:18 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.13%EV -1.54%E -0.305%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.80%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.07%EV -3.80%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-20 17:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.13%EV -1.54%E -0.305%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.80%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.07%EV -3.80%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-20 17:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -2.52%E -0.503%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.58%EV -7.30%E -3.91%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51%EV -4.11%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-20 17:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -2.52%E -0.503%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.46%EV -7.80%E -4.19%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -5.66%E -1.85%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-20 17:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -2.52%E -0.503%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -7.30%E -3.91%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.94%EV -10.30%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-20 17:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -4.47%E -0.911%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -7.30%E -3.91%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -4.11%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-20 17:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -4.47%E -0.911%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.48%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-20 17:38 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -4.47%E -0.911%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.48%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-20 17:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.13%EV -4.47%E -0.911%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -7.30%E -3.91%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -5.66%E -1.85%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-20 17:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.99%EV -4.47%E -0.911%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.77%EV -7.30%E -3.91%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.23%EV -7.82%E -2.62%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-20 17:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.76%EV -6.41%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.65%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -4.11%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-20 17:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -6.41%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.40%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -5.66%E -1.85%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 17:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.94%EV -6.81%E -3.62%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -4.11%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-20 17:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.18%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.15%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-20 17:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.31%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.06%EV -7.30%E -3.91%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -10.30%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-20 17:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.01%EV -10.77%E -5.98%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -10.30%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-20 17:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -10.31%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.49%EV -6.31%E -3.34%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -4.11%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 17:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -10.31%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.60%EV -10.77%E -5.98%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -10.91%E -3.79%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-20 17:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -12.26%E -2.73%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-20 17:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -12.26%E -2.73%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-20 17:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.46%EV -12.26%E -2.73%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.48%EV -12.26%E -6.93%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.06%EV -12.77%E -4.53%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-20 17:38 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.70%EV -13.24%E -2.97%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.08%EV -13.25%E -7.57%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.22%EV -10.30%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-20 17:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -14.21%E -3.23%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.69%EV -6.81%E -3.62%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-20 17:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -14.21%E -3.23%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.47%EV -8.79%E -4.78%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -5.66%E -1.85%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-20 17:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.53%EV -14.21%E -3.23%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.63%EV -8.75%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-20 17:38 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.94%EV -14.21%E -3.23%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.28%EV -11.76%E -6.61%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.78%EV -11.84%E -4.16%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-20 17:38 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -15.19%E -3.49%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.77%EV -2.84%E -1.45%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -5.66%E -1.85%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-20 17:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -15.19%E -3.49%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -3.34%E -1.71%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -5.66%E -1.85%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 17:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.75%EV -16.16%E -3.76%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.01%EV -9.78%E -5.37%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.24%EV -8.75%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-20 17:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -17.14%E -4.03%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.43%EV -4.33%E -2.24%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -8.75%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-20 17:37 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -20.06%E -4.89%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.23%EV -6.31%E -3.34%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -10.91%E -3.79%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-20 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -20.06%E -4.89%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.23%EV -6.31%E -3.34%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -10.91%E -3.79%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-20 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.78%EV -22.01%E -5.50%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.10%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.12%EV -13.39%E -4.78%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-09-20 17:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.10% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.79% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.11% | 0.5% | 2026-09-20 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.10% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.79% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.11% | 0.5% | 2026-09-20 17:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.10% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.79% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.11% | 0.5% | 2026-09-20 17:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.63% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.03% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.34% | 2.1% | 2026-09-20 17:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.76% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.77% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.47% | 2.5% | 2026-09-20 17:39 |