Language:English
Rosario Central v Atlético Tucuman
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rosario Central (Local)
Prediction 54.95%1.82fair odd
EV -3.84%
Edge -2.19%
Kelly -5.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.24%55.07%54.96%57.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.671.691.7564.10%59.79%59.00%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlético Tucuman (Visit)
Prediction 17.37%5.76fair odd
EV +0.947%
Edge +0.163%
Kelly +0.197%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 5.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.03%17.33%17.32%18.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.705.335.305.8121.28%18.75%18.87%17.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.68%3.61fair odd
EV -0.366%
Edge -0.102%
Kelly -0.141%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.21%27.59%27.72%28.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.363.403.6033.33%29.77%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rosario Central (Local): 54.95%; Atlético Tucuman (Visit): 17.37%; Draw: 27.68%. For Atlético Tucuman (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.76. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.81, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.947%.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.84%E -2.19%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.81I 17.21%NM 16.63%EV +0.947%E +0.163%K +0.197%G +0.002% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.17%EV -5.07%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-04 23:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.53%EV -9.88%E -6.03%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.27%EV +0.773%E +0.133%K +0.161%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -0.366%E -0.102%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 23:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.53%EV -9.88%E -6.03%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.27%EV +0.773%E +0.133%K +0.161%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -0.366%E -0.102%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 23:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.47%EV -10.43%E -6.40%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.15%EV +0.773%E +0.133%K +0.161%G +0.001% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -1.75%E -0.493%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-04 23:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -9.33%E -5.66%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV +0.773%E +0.133%K +0.161%G +0.001% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.90%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 23:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.41%EV -7.14%E -4.22%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -0.096%E -0.017%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.01%EV -2.30%E -0.652%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-04 23:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.41%EV -7.14%E -4.22%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -0.096%E -0.017%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.01%EV -2.30%E -0.652%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-04 23:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.81%EV -5.49%E -3.19%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.14%EV -2.70%E -0.483%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.04%EV -1.75%E -0.493%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 23:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.47%EV -13.18%E -8.34%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -2.70%E -0.483%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -4.52%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-04 23:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.47%EV -13.18%E -8.34%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -2.70%E -0.483%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -4.52%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-04 23:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.56%EV -14.28%E -9.15%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV -2.70%E -0.483%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -5.90%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-04 23:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.13%EV -6.04%E -3.53%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -4.44%E -0.807%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.90%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 23:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.13%EV -6.04%E -3.53%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -4.44%E -0.807%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.90%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 23:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.05%EV -6.59%E -3.87%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -4.44%E -0.807%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 23:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.82%EV -6.59%E -3.87%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -4.44%E -0.807%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 23:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.41%EV -8.78%E -5.29%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -4.44%E -0.807%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 23:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -6.59%E -3.87%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -6.18%E -1.14%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 23:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.75%EV -3.84%E -2.19%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -7.91%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 23:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.75%EV -3.84%E -2.19%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -7.91%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 23:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.68%EV -6.04%E -3.53%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -8.78%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -5.90%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 23:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.83%EV -6.59%E -3.87%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -8.78%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.90%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 23:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.38%EV -6.59%E -3.87%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -8.78%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 23:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.45%EV -5.49%E -3.19%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -9.65%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.90%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-04 23:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.36%EV -13.73%E -8.75%K -24.09%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.04%EV -11.39%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.59%EV -12.82%E -4.07%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-04 23:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -4.94%E -2.85%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -13.13%E -2.63%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -5.90%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 23:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -6.04%E -3.53%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -13.13%E -2.63%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.90%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 23:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.61%EV -5.49%E -3.19%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -13.13%E -2.63%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 23:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.53%EV -6.04%E -3.53%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.31%EV -13.13%E -2.63%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-04 23:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.42%EV -9.33%E -5.66%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -13.13%E -2.63%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-04 23:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.47%EV -9.88%E -6.03%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -13.13%E -2.63%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 27.66%EV -10.61%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 23:53 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.64%EV -10.98%E -6.78%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.13%E -2.63%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -11.44%E -3.57%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-04 23:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.64%EV -10.98%E -6.78%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.13%E -2.63%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -11.44%E -3.57%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-04 23:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.65%EV -10.98%E -6.78%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.38%EV -13.13%E -2.63%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.97%EV -16.97%E -5.66%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-04 23:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.73%EV -8.78%E -5.29%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.54%EV -14.86%E -3.03%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -5.90%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-04 23:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -6.59%E -3.87%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.47%EV -14.86%E -3.03%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.44%E -3.57%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-04 23:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.26%EV -10.98%E -6.78%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.70%EV -18.34%E -3.90%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-04 23:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.41% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58% | 0.7% | 2026-04-04 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.41% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58% | 0.7% | 2026-04-04 23:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.55% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-04-04 23:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.55% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-04-04 23:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.69% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.91% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40% | 1.4% | 2026-04-04 23:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.35% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.51% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.15% | 3.2% | 2026-04-04 23:34 |