L’École des cotes

Rosario Central v Atlético Tucuman

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 00:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Rosario Central (Local)

Prévision 54.95%1.82cote équitable
EV -3.84%
Avantage -2.19%
Kelly -5.12%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.24%55.07%54.96%57.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.561.671.691.7564.10%59.79%59.00%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Atlético Tucuman (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.37%5.76cote équitable
EV +0.947%
Avantage +0.163%
Kelly +0.197%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 5.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.03%17.33%17.32%18.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.705.335.305.8121.28%18.75%18.87%17.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.68%3.61cote équitable
EV -0.366%
Avantage -0.102%
Kelly -0.141%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.21%27.59%27.72%28.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.363.403.6033.33%29.77%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.84%E -2.19%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.81I 17.21%NM 16.63%EV +0.947%E +0.163%K +0.197%G +0.002%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.17%EV -5.07%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 23:50
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.53%EV -9.88%E -6.03%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.27%EV +0.773%E +0.133%K +0.161%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -0.366%E -0.102%K -0.141%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 23:39
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.53%EV -9.88%E -6.03%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.27%EV +0.773%E +0.133%K +0.161%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -0.366%E -0.102%K -0.141%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 23:40
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 57.47%EV -10.43%E -6.40%K -16.56%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.15%EV +0.773%E +0.133%K +0.161%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -1.75%E -0.493%K -0.686%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 23:40
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -9.33%E -5.66%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV +0.773%E +0.133%K +0.161%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.90%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 23:39
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.41%EV -7.14%E -4.22%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -0.096%E -0.017%K -0.020%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.01%EV -2.30%E -0.652%K -0.910%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 23:49
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.41%EV -7.14%E -4.22%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -0.096%E -0.017%K -0.020%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.01%EV -2.30%E -0.652%K -0.910%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 23:49
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.81%EV -5.49%E -3.19%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.14%EV -2.70%E -0.483%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.04%EV -1.75%E -0.493%K -0.686%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 23:54
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.47%EV -13.18%E -8.34%K -22.72%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -2.70%E -0.483%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -4.52%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 23:39
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.47%EV -13.18%E -8.34%K -22.72%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -2.70%E -0.483%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -4.52%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 23:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.56%EV -14.28%E -9.15%K -25.50%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV -2.70%E -0.483%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -5.90%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 23:39
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.13%EV -6.04%E -3.53%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -4.44%E -0.807%K -0.987%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.90%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 23:39
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.13%EV -6.04%E -3.53%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -4.44%E -0.807%K -0.987%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.90%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 23:49
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 55.05%EV -6.59%E -3.87%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -4.44%E -0.807%K -0.987%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 23:34
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 54.82%EV -6.59%E -3.87%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -4.44%E -0.807%K -0.987%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 23:34
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.41%EV -8.78%E -5.29%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -4.44%E -0.807%K -0.987%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 23:40
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -6.59%E -3.87%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -6.18%E -1.14%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 23:39
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.75%EV -3.84%E -2.19%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -7.91%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 23:40
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.75%EV -3.84%E -2.19%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -7.91%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 23:45
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.68%EV -6.04%E -3.53%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -8.78%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -5.90%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 23:49
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.83%EV -6.59%E -3.87%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -8.78%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.90%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 23:50
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.38%EV -6.59%E -3.87%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -8.78%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 23:34
BetAnything1.72I 58.14%NM 54.45%EV -5.49%E -3.19%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -9.65%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.90%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 23:50
NetBet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.36%EV -13.73%E -8.75%K -24.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.04%EV -11.39%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.59%EV -12.82%E -4.07%K -5.96%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-04 23:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -4.94%E -2.85%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -13.13%E -2.63%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -5.90%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 23:54
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -6.04%E -3.53%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -13.13%E -2.63%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.90%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 23:54
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.61%EV -5.49%E -3.19%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -13.13%E -2.63%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 23:40
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 53.53%EV -6.04%E -3.53%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.31%EV -13.13%E -2.63%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-04 23:39
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 54.42%EV -9.33%E -5.66%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -13.13%E -2.63%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 23:40
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.47%EV -9.88%E -6.03%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -13.13%E -2.63%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.66%EV -10.61%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 23:53
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.64%EV -10.98%E -6.78%K -17.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.13%E -2.63%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -11.44%E -3.57%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-04 23:39
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.64%EV -10.98%E -6.78%K -17.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.13%E -2.63%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -11.44%E -3.57%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-04 23:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.65%EV -10.98%E -6.78%K -17.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.38%EV -13.13%E -2.63%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.97%EV -16.97%E -5.66%K -8.49%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-04 23:30
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.73%EV -8.78%E -5.29%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.54%EV -14.86%E -3.03%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -5.90%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 23:49
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -6.59%E -3.87%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.47%EV -14.86%E -3.03%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.44%E -3.57%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 23:40
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.26%EV -10.98%E -6.78%K -17.71%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.70%EV -18.34%E -3.90%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-04 23:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.41%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-04-04 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.41%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-04-04 23:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.55%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-04-04 23:55
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.55%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-04-04 23:55
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.69%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.91%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40%1.4%2026-04-04 23:55
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.35%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.51%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.15%3.2%2026-04-04 23:34