A Escola das Odds

Rosario Central v Atlético Tucuman

Início: 2026-04-05 00:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

36 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Rosario Central (Local)

Previsão 54.95%1.82odd justa
EV -3.84%
Vantagem -2.19%
Kelly -5.12%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.24%55.07%54.96%57.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.561.671.691.7564.10%59.79%59.00%57.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Atlético Tucuman (Visitante)

Previsão 17.37%5.76odd justa
EV +0.947%
Vantagem +0.163%
Kelly +0.197%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.81

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.03%17.33%17.32%18.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.705.335.305.8121.28%18.75%18.87%17.21%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.68%3.61odd justa
EV -0.366%
Vantagem -0.102%
Kelly -0.141%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.21%27.59%27.72%28.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.363.403.6033.33%29.77%29.41%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (36 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.84%E -2.19%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.81I 17.21%NM 16.63%EV +0.947%E +0.163%K +0.197%G +0.002%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.17%EV -5.07%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 23:50
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.53%EV -9.88%E -6.03%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.27%EV +0.773%E +0.133%K +0.161%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -0.366%E -0.102%K -0.141%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 23:39
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.53%EV -9.88%E -6.03%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.27%EV +0.773%E +0.133%K +0.161%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -0.366%E -0.102%K -0.141%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 23:40
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 57.47%EV -10.43%E -6.40%K -16.56%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.15%EV +0.773%E +0.133%K +0.161%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -1.75%E -0.493%K -0.686%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 23:40
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -9.33%E -5.66%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV +0.773%E +0.133%K +0.161%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.90%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 23:39
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.41%EV -7.14%E -4.22%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -0.096%E -0.017%K -0.020%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.01%EV -2.30%E -0.652%K -0.910%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 23:49
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.41%EV -7.14%E -4.22%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -0.096%E -0.017%K -0.020%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.01%EV -2.30%E -0.652%K -0.910%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 23:49
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.81%EV -5.49%E -3.19%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.14%EV -2.70%E -0.483%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.04%EV -1.75%E -0.493%K -0.686%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 23:54
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.47%EV -13.18%E -8.34%K -22.72%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -2.70%E -0.483%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -4.52%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 23:39
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.47%EV -13.18%E -8.34%K -22.72%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -2.70%E -0.483%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -4.52%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 23:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.56%EV -14.28%E -9.15%K -25.50%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV -2.70%E -0.483%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -5.90%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 23:39
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.13%EV -6.04%E -3.53%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -4.44%E -0.807%K -0.987%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.90%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 23:39
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.13%EV -6.04%E -3.53%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -4.44%E -0.807%K -0.987%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.90%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 23:49
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 55.05%EV -6.59%E -3.87%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -4.44%E -0.807%K -0.987%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 23:34
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 54.82%EV -6.59%E -3.87%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -4.44%E -0.807%K -0.987%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 23:34
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.41%EV -8.78%E -5.29%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -4.44%E -0.807%K -0.987%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 23:40
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -6.59%E -3.87%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -6.18%E -1.14%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 23:39
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.75%EV -3.84%E -2.19%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -7.91%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 23:40
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.75%EV -3.84%E -2.19%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -7.91%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 23:45
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.68%EV -6.04%E -3.53%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -8.78%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -5.90%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 23:49
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.83%EV -6.59%E -3.87%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -8.78%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.90%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 23:50
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.38%EV -6.59%E -3.87%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -8.78%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 23:34
BetAnything1.72I 58.14%NM 54.45%EV -5.49%E -3.19%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -9.65%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.90%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 23:50
NetBet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.36%EV -13.73%E -8.75%K -24.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.04%EV -11.39%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.59%EV -12.82%E -4.07%K -5.96%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-04 23:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -4.94%E -2.85%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -13.13%E -2.63%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -5.90%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 23:54
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -6.04%E -3.53%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -13.13%E -2.63%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.90%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 23:54
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.61%EV -5.49%E -3.19%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -13.13%E -2.63%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 23:40
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 53.53%EV -6.04%E -3.53%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.31%EV -13.13%E -2.63%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-04 23:39
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 54.42%EV -9.33%E -5.66%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -13.13%E -2.63%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 23:40
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.47%EV -9.88%E -6.03%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -13.13%E -2.63%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.66%EV -10.61%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 23:53
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.64%EV -10.98%E -6.78%K -17.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.13%E -2.63%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -11.44%E -3.57%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-04 23:39
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.64%EV -10.98%E -6.78%K -17.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.13%E -2.63%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -11.44%E -3.57%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-04 23:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.65%EV -10.98%E -6.78%K -17.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.38%EV -13.13%E -2.63%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.97%EV -16.97%E -5.66%K -8.49%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-04 23:30
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.73%EV -8.78%E -5.29%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.54%EV -14.86%E -3.03%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -5.90%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 23:49
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -6.59%E -3.87%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.47%EV -14.86%E -3.03%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.44%E -3.57%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 23:40
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.26%EV -10.98%E -6.78%K -17.71%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.70%EV -18.34%E -3.90%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-04 23:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.41%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-04-04 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.41%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-04-04 23:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.55%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-04-04 23:55
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.55%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-04-04 23:55
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.69%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.91%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40%1.4%2026-04-04 23:55
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.35%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.51%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.15%3.2%2026-04-04 23:34