L’École des cotesLangue:Français
River Plate v Gimnasia La Plata
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
River Plate (Local)
Prévision 59.97%1.67cote équitable
EV -2.85%
Avantage -1.76%
Kelly -4.60%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.62
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.66%59.99%59.95%63.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.411.531.531.6270.92%65.27%65.36%61.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Gimnasia La Plata (Visiteur)
Prévision 14.70%6.80cote équitable
EV +2.90%
Avantage +0.415%
Kelly +0.484%
Croissance +0.014%
avec la cote maximale 7.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.30%14.72%14.68%16.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.406.416.507.0018.52%15.60%15.38%14.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 25.33%3.95cote équitable
EV +3.85%
Avantage +0.940%
Kelly +1.24%
Croissance +0.048%
avec la cote maximale 4.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.78%25.29%25.37%26.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.683.654.1030.77%27.15%27.40%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (33 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.60%EV -11.25%E -7.60%K -23.43%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +2.90%E +0.415%K +0.484%G +0.014% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV +3.85%E +0.940%K +1.24%G +0.048% | 6.2% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.60%EV -11.25%E -7.60%K -23.43%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +2.90%E +0.415%K +0.484%G +0.014% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV +3.85%E +0.940%K +1.24%G +0.048% | 6.2% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.72%EV -14.24%E -9.96%K -33.12%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -0.771%E -0.114%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV +1.32%E +0.330%K +0.440%G +0.006% | 9.7% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.72%EV -14.24%E -9.96%K -33.12%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -0.771%E -0.114%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV +1.32%E +0.330%K +0.440%G +0.006% | 9.7% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.86%EV -15.44%E -10.95%K -37.67%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.34%EV -0.771%E -0.114%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.80%EV +0.053%E +0.013%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.39%EV -7.05%E -4.55%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -11.80%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -1.21%E -0.311%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -7.65%E -4.97%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -8.12%E -1.30%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -3.75%E -0.986%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.00%EV -8.85%E -5.82%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.00%EV -16.21%E -2.84%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -3.75%E -0.986%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.25%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.83I 14.64%NM 14.11%EV +0.405%E +0.059%K +0.069%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.64%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.97%EV -4.65%E -2.92%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.67%EV -4.45%E -0.684%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.36%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.97%EV -4.65%E -2.92%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.67%EV -4.45%E -0.684%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.36%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| BetAnything | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.97%EV -4.65%E -2.92%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.67%EV -4.45%E -0.684%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.36%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-14 00:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.93%EV -4.65%E -2.92%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.66%EV -4.45%E -0.684%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -7.05%E -4.55%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -4.45%E -0.684%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -6.45%E -4.13%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -8.12%E -1.30%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.33%EV -6.79%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| Betsson | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.25%EV -5.25%E -3.32%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.10%EV -8.86%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -7.55%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-14 00:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.25%EV -5.25%E -3.32%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.10%EV -8.86%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -7.55%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-14 00:29 |
| Everygame | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.76%EV -8.25%E -5.39%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.77%EV -0.771%E -0.114%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.47%EV -7.55%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-14 00:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.84%EV -8.25%E -5.39%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +2.90%E +0.415%K +0.484%G +0.014% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.92%EV -7.05%E -4.55%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -4.45%E -0.684%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| Bet Right | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.23%EV -8.25%E -5.39%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.45%E -0.684%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| betfred_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.23%EV -8.25%E -5.39%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.45%E -0.684%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.18%EV -10.65%E -7.14%K -21.73%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.33%EV -20.62%E -3.82%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.49%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.37%EV -2.85%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 6.99I 14.31%NM 13.76%EV +2.76%E +0.394%K +0.460%G +0.013% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.87%EV -9.32%E -2.60%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-14 00:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.76%EV -10.05%E -6.70%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.19%EV -13.27%E -2.25%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.04%EV -9.32%E -2.60%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-14 00:25 |
| PlayUp | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -5.25%E -3.32%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -11.80%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.13%EV -12.44%E -8.52%K -27.05%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.14%EV -14.74%E -2.54%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-14 00:29 |
| Bovada | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.71%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -4.45%E -0.684%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -7.05%E -4.55%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +2.90%E +0.415%K +0.484%G +0.014% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.61%EV -8.85%E -5.82%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.50%EV -8.12%E -1.30%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.81%EV -10.05%E -6.70%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -4.45%E -0.684%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -10.05%E -6.70%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.16%EV -8.12%E -1.30%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -16.41%E -4.97%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.66%EV -10.05%E -6.70%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.73%EV -19.15%E -3.48%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.61%EV -17.68%E -5.44%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.39% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.43% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.17% | 0.5% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.02% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.03% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95% | 1.4% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.49% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.61% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.89% | 1.6% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.84% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.29% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.87% | 1.7% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.84% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.29% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.87% | 1.7% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |