Die Schule der Quoten

River Plate v Gimnasia La Plata

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-14 00:45 UTC

Endstand: River Plate 2–0 Gimnasia La Plata

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

33 Wettanbieter (11 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

River Plate (Heim)

Prognose 59.97%1.67faire Quote
EV -2.85%
Vorteil -1.76%
Kelly -4.60%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.62

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
57.66%59.99%59.95%63.86%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.411.531.531.6270.92%65.27%65.36%61.73%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Gimnasia La Plata (Auswärts)

Prognose 14.70%6.80faire Quote
EV +2.90%
Vorteil +0.415%
Kelly +0.484%
Wachstum +0.014%

bei einer Höchstquote von 7.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
13.30%14.72%14.68%16.33%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
5.406.416.507.0018.52%15.60%15.38%14.29%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 25.33%3.95faire Quote
EV +3.85%
Vorteil +0.940%
Kelly +1.24%
Wachstum +0.048%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.10

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.78%25.29%25.37%26.87%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.253.683.654.1030.77%27.15%27.40%24.39%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (33 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschieden ▼MargeAktualisiert
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.60%EV -11.25%E -7.60%K -23.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +2.90%E +0.415%K +0.484%G +0.014%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV +3.85%E +0.940%K +1.24%G +0.048%6.2%2026-05-14 00:30
Unibet (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.60%EV -11.25%E -7.60%K -23.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +2.90%E +0.415%K +0.484%G +0.014%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV +3.85%E +0.940%K +1.24%G +0.048%6.2%2026-05-14 00:30
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 63.72%EV -14.24%E -9.96%K -33.12%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -0.771%E -0.114%K -0.134%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV +1.32%E +0.330%K +0.440%G +0.006%9.7%2026-05-14 00:30
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 63.72%EV -14.24%E -9.96%K -33.12%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -0.771%E -0.114%K -0.134%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV +1.32%E +0.330%K +0.440%G +0.006%9.7%2026-05-14 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 63.86%EV -15.44%E -10.95%K -37.67%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.34%EV -0.771%E -0.114%K -0.134%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.80%EV +0.053%E +0.013%K +0.018%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-14 00:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.39%EV -7.05%E -4.55%K -12.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -11.80%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -1.21%E -0.311%K -0.418%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-14 00:30
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -7.65%E -4.97%K -14.16%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -8.12%E -1.30%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -3.75%E -0.986%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 00:30
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.00%EV -8.85%E -5.82%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.00%EV -16.21%E -2.84%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -3.75%E -0.986%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-14 00:30
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 60.25%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.83I 14.64%NM 14.11%EV +0.405%E +0.059%K +0.069%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.64%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-14 00:30
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 59.97%EV -4.65%E -2.92%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.67%EV -4.45%E -0.684%K -0.808%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.36%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-14 00:30
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 59.97%EV -4.65%E -2.92%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.67%EV -4.45%E -0.684%K -0.808%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.36%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-14 00:30
BetAnything1.59I 62.89%NM 59.97%EV -4.65%E -2.92%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.67%EV -4.45%E -0.684%K -0.808%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.36%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-14 00:29
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 59.93%EV -4.65%E -2.92%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.66%EV -4.45%E -0.684%K -0.808%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-14 00:30
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -7.05%E -4.55%K -12.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -4.45%E -0.684%K -0.808%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-14 00:30
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -6.45%E -4.13%K -11.51%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -8.12%E -1.30%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.33%EV -6.79%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 00:30
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 59.25%EV -5.25%E -3.32%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.10%EV -8.86%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -7.55%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-14 00:29
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.25%EV -5.25%E -3.32%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.10%EV -8.86%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -7.55%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-14 00:29
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 60.76%EV -8.25%E -5.39%K -15.56%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.77%EV -0.771%E -0.114%K -0.134%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.47%EV -7.55%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 00:29
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 60.84%EV -8.25%E -5.39%K -15.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +2.90%E +0.415%K +0.484%G +0.014%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 00:30
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 59.92%EV -7.05%E -4.55%K -12.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -4.45%E -0.684%K -0.808%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-14 00:30
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 60.23%EV -8.25%E -5.39%K -15.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.45%E -0.684%K -0.808%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-14 00:30
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.23%EV -8.25%E -5.39%K -15.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.45%E -0.684%K -0.808%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-14 00:30
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 59.18%EV -10.65%E -7.14%K -21.73%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.33%EV -20.62%E -3.82%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.49%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-14 00:30
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.37%EV -2.85%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.99I 14.31%NM 13.76%EV +2.76%E +0.394%K +0.460%G +0.013%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.87%EV -9.32%E -2.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-14 00:29
Betclic (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.76%EV -10.05%E -6.70%K -20.09%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.19%EV -13.27%E -2.25%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.04%EV -9.32%E -2.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-14 00:25
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -5.25%E -3.32%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -11.80%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-14 00:30
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.13%EV -12.44%E -8.52%K -27.05%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.14%EV -14.74%E -2.54%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-14 00:29
Bovada1.60I 62.50%NM 58.71%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -4.45%E -0.684%K -0.808%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-14 00:30
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -7.05%E -4.55%K -12.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +2.90%E +0.415%K +0.484%G +0.014%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 00:30
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.61%EV -8.85%E -5.82%K -17.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.50%EV -8.12%E -1.30%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-14 00:30
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.81%EV -10.05%E -6.70%K -20.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -4.45%E -0.684%K -0.808%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-14 00:30
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -10.05%E -6.70%K -20.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.16%EV -8.12%E -1.30%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -16.41%E -4.97%K -7.14%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-14 00:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 57.66%EV -10.05%E -6.70%K -20.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.73%EV -19.15%E -3.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.61%EV -17.68%E -5.44%K -7.86%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-14 00:30
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.39%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.43%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.17%0.5%2026-05-14 00:30
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.02%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.03%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%1.4%2026-05-14 00:30
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 61.49%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.61%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.89%1.6%2026-05-14 00:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 61.84%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.29%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.87%1.7%2026-05-14 00:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 61.84%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.29%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.87%1.7%2026-05-14 00:30