مدرسة الاحتمالاتRiver Plate v Gimnasia La Plata
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
River Plate (المضيف)
التنبؤ 59.97%1.67السعر العادل
EV -2.85%
الأفضلية -1.76%
Kelly -4.60%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.62
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
57.66%59.99%59.95%63.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.411.531.531.6270.92%65.27%65.36%61.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Gimnasia La Plata (الضيف)
التنبؤ 14.70%6.80السعر العادل
EV +2.90%
الأفضلية +0.415%
Kelly +0.484%
النمو +0.014%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 7.00
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
13.30%14.72%14.68%16.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.406.416.507.0018.52%15.60%15.38%14.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 25.33%3.95السعر العادل
EV +3.85%
الأفضلية +0.940%
Kelly +1.24%
النمو +0.048%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.10
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.78%25.29%25.37%26.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.253.683.654.1030.77%27.15%27.40%24.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (33 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل ▼ | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.60%EV -11.25%E -7.60%K -23.43%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +2.90%E +0.415%K +0.484%G +0.014% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV +3.85%E +0.940%K +1.24%G +0.048% | 6.2% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.60%EV -11.25%E -7.60%K -23.43%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +2.90%E +0.415%K +0.484%G +0.014% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV +3.85%E +0.940%K +1.24%G +0.048% | 6.2% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.72%EV -14.24%E -9.96%K -33.12%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -0.771%E -0.114%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV +1.32%E +0.330%K +0.440%G +0.006% | 9.7% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.72%EV -14.24%E -9.96%K -33.12%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -0.771%E -0.114%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV +1.32%E +0.330%K +0.440%G +0.006% | 9.7% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.86%EV -15.44%E -10.95%K -37.67%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.34%EV -0.771%E -0.114%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.80%EV +0.053%E +0.013%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.39%EV -7.05%E -4.55%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -11.80%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -1.21%E -0.311%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -7.65%E -4.97%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -8.12%E -1.30%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -3.75%E -0.986%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.00%EV -8.85%E -5.82%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.00%EV -16.21%E -2.84%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -3.75%E -0.986%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.25%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.83I 14.64%NM 14.11%EV +0.405%E +0.059%K +0.069%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.64%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.97%EV -4.65%E -2.92%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.67%EV -4.45%E -0.684%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.36%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.97%EV -4.65%E -2.92%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.67%EV -4.45%E -0.684%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.36%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| BetAnything | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.97%EV -4.65%E -2.92%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.67%EV -4.45%E -0.684%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.36%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-14 00:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.93%EV -4.65%E -2.92%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.66%EV -4.45%E -0.684%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -7.05%E -4.55%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -4.45%E -0.684%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -6.45%E -4.13%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -8.12%E -1.30%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.33%EV -6.79%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| Betsson | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.25%EV -5.25%E -3.32%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.10%EV -8.86%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -7.55%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-14 00:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.25%EV -5.25%E -3.32%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.10%EV -8.86%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -7.55%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-14 00:29 |
| Everygame | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.76%EV -8.25%E -5.39%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.77%EV -0.771%E -0.114%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.47%EV -7.55%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-14 00:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.84%EV -8.25%E -5.39%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +2.90%E +0.415%K +0.484%G +0.014% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.92%EV -7.05%E -4.55%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -4.45%E -0.684%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| Bet Right | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.23%EV -8.25%E -5.39%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.45%E -0.684%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| betfred_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.23%EV -8.25%E -5.39%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.45%E -0.684%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.18%EV -10.65%E -7.14%K -21.73%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.33%EV -20.62%E -3.82%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.49%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.37%EV -2.85%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 6.99I 14.31%NM 13.76%EV +2.76%E +0.394%K +0.460%G +0.013% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.87%EV -9.32%E -2.60%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-14 00:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.76%EV -10.05%E -6.70%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.19%EV -13.27%E -2.25%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.04%EV -9.32%E -2.60%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-14 00:25 |
| PlayUp | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -5.25%E -3.32%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -11.80%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.13%EV -12.44%E -8.52%K -27.05%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.14%EV -14.74%E -2.54%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-14 00:29 |
| Bovada | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.71%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -4.45%E -0.684%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -7.05%E -4.55%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +2.90%E +0.415%K +0.484%G +0.014% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.61%EV -8.85%E -5.82%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.50%EV -8.12%E -1.30%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.81%EV -10.05%E -6.70%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -4.45%E -0.684%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -10.05%E -6.70%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.16%EV -8.12%E -1.30%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -16.41%E -4.97%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.66%EV -10.05%E -6.70%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.73%EV -19.15%E -3.48%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.61%EV -17.68%E -5.44%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (5)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.39% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.43% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.17% | 0.5% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.02% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.03% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95% | 1.4% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.49% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.61% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.89% | 1.6% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.84% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.29% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.87% | 1.7% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.84% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.29% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.87% | 1.7% | 2026-05-14 00:30 |