Language:English
River Plate v Barracas Central
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
River Plate (Local)
Prediction 70.63%1.42fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -1.83%
Kelly -6.66%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.34%70.43%70.61%72.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.321.331.3880.65%75.70%75.19%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Barracas Central (Visit)
Prediction 8.47%11.80fair odd
EV +11.85%
Edge +0.897%
Kelly +0.971%
Growth +0.115%
assuming max odds 13.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.26%8.61%8.50%10.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.5010.8711.0013.2011.76%9.20%9.09%7.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.90%4.79fair odd
EV +0.509%
Edge +0.106%
Kelly +0.134%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.50%20.96%20.89%23.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.354.334.8125.32%23.01%23.09%20.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: River Plate (Local): 70.63%; Barracas Central (Visit): 8.47%; Draw: 20.90%. For Barracas Central (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.80. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.85%.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.65%E -3.44%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 13.20I 7.58%NM 7.26%EV +11.85%E +0.897%K +0.971%G +0.115% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.77%EV -8.06%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-25 22:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.04%EV -5.35%E -4.00%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 12.24I 8.17%NM 7.89%EV +3.71%E +0.303%K +0.330%G +0.012% | 4.81I 20.79%NM 20.07%EV +0.509%E +0.106%K +0.134%G +0.001% | 3.6% | 2026-07-25 22:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.41%EV -7.47%E -5.70%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.80%EV +1.68%E +0.140%K +0.153%G +0.003% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -5.97%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-25 22:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.09%EV -3.94%E -2.90%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 11.90I 8.40%NM 8.12%EV +0.830%E +0.070%K +0.076%G +0.001% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.79%EV -2.83%E -0.610%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-25 22:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.09%EV -3.94%E -2.90%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 11.90I 8.40%NM 8.12%EV +0.830%E +0.070%K +0.076%G +0.001% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.79%EV -2.83%E -0.610%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-25 21:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 11.75I 8.51%NM 8.03%EV -0.441%E -0.038%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -5.97%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-25 22:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.65%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -2.56%E -0.223%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.06%EV -0.745%E -0.157%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-25 22:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.47%EV -5.35%E -4.00%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.10%EV -2.56%E -0.223%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -13.28%E -3.20%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-25 22:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.47%EV -5.35%E -4.00%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.10%EV -2.56%E -0.223%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -13.28%E -3.20%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-25 22:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -6.77%E -5.13%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.30%EV -4.68%E -0.416%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.98%EV -7.01%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-25 22:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.44%EV -5.35%E -4.00%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -5.97%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-25 20:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.40%EV -2.53%E -1.83%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -14.33%E -3.49%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-25 21:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.40%EV -2.53%E -1.83%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -14.33%E -3.49%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-25 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.92%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.57%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -3.88%E -0.843%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-25 22:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.92%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.57%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -3.88%E -0.843%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-25 21:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.60%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.97%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-25 22:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.08%EV -6.77%E -5.13%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.53%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -3.88%E -0.843%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-25 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.94%EV -5.35%E -4.00%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.54%EV -9.10%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-25 20:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.71%EV -3.94%E -2.90%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -14.33%E -3.49%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-25 21:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.75%EV -6.77%E -5.13%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -5.97%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-25 22:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.74%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -11.19%E -2.63%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-25 22:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.56%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -12.24%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-25 20:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.55%EV -8.89%E -6.89%K -30.64%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -3.88%E -0.843%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-25 21:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.19%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.44%EV -14.33%E -3.49%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-25 21:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.31%EV -11.71%E -9.37%K -46.84%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.10%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.59%EV -9.52%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-25 21:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.31%EV -11.71%E -9.37%K -46.84%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.10%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.59%EV -9.52%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-25 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.34%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -11.03%E -1.05%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -17.46%E -4.42%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-25 22:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.34%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -11.03%E -1.05%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -17.46%E -4.42%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-25 22:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.50%EV -6.77%E -5.13%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.61%EV -11.03%E -1.05%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -17.46%E -4.42%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-25 21:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 70.75%EV -12.42%E -10.01%K -51.74%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.36%EV -11.03%E -1.05%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.89%EV -12.24%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-25 22:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.32%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -15.27%E -1.53%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -3.88%E -0.843%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-25 20:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.24%EV -8.18%E -6.29%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -15.27%E -1.53%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -0.745%E -0.157%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-25 21:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.98%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -15.27%E -1.53%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -12.24%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-25 21:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.40%EV -6.77%E -5.13%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -15.27%E -1.53%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -16.42%E -4.10%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-25 21:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.45%EV -8.89%E -6.89%K -30.64%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.96%EV -15.27%E -1.53%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.59%EV -13.28%E -3.20%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-25 21:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 69.77%EV -11.00%E -8.73%K -42.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.79%EV -15.27%E -1.53%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%EV -14.33%E -3.49%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-25 21:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.30%EV -8.89%E -6.89%K -30.64%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.41%EV -19.51%E -2.05%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -12.24%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-25 21:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -7.47%E -5.70%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV -23.74%E -2.64%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -5.97%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-25 20:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 68.71%EV -9.59%E -7.49%K -34.26%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.35%EV -27.98%E -3.29%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.94%EV -12.24%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-25 20:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.47% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.85% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68% | 0.7% | 2026-07-25 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.47% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.85% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68% | 0.7% | 2026-07-25 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.47% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.85% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68% | 0.7% | 2026-07-25 22:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.13% | 14.01I 7.14%NM 7.00% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.87% | 1.9% | 2026-07-25 22:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.87% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.75% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.38% | 3.2% | 2026-07-25 22:10 |
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