The School of Odds

River Plate v Barracas Central

2026-07-25 22:15 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

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Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

River Plate (Local)

Prediction 68.21%1.47fair odd
EV -4.50%
Edge -3.21%
Kelly -11.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.85%68.07%68.23%69.19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.291.361.361.4078%73%74%71%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Barracas Central (Visit)

Prediction 9.89%10.11fair odd
EV +8.78%
Edge +0.798%
Kelly +0.878%
Growth +0.077%

assuming max odds 11.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.50%9.96%9.84%11.69%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
7.509.549.5011.0013%10%11%9%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 21.90%4.57fair odd
EV -1.47%
Edge -0.326%
Kelly -0.420%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.91%21.97%21.93%23.56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.904.184.204.5026%24%24%22%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.77%EV -5.86%E -4.25%K -15.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV +8.78%E +0.798%K +0.878%G +0.077%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -8.04%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 21:50
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.77%EV -5.86%E -4.25%K -15.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV +8.78%E +0.798%K +0.878%G +0.077%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -8.04%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 21:49
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 68.71%EV -7.23%E -5.31%K -20.08%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +8.78%E +0.798%K +0.878%G +0.077%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -10.23%E -2.49%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-24 21:50
Virgin Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 68.53%EV -9.27%E -6.97%K -28.10%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV +3.84%E +0.365%K +0.404%G +0.015%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -12.42%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-24 21:50
LiveScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 68.53%EV -9.27%E -6.97%K -28.10%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV +3.84%E +0.365%K +0.404%G +0.015%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -12.42%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-24 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.50%EV -9.96%E -7.54%K -31.11%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.61%EV +3.84%E +0.365%K +0.404%G +0.015%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -13.51%E -3.42%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-24 21:50
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 68.93%EV -4.50%E -3.21%K -11.25%G +0.000%10.28I 9.73%NM 9.39%EV +1.66%E +0.162%K +0.179%G +0.003%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.69%EV -2.56%E -0.576%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-25 15:50
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.50%E -3.21%K -11.25%G +0.000%10.06I 9.94%NM 9.59%EV -0.514%E -0.051%K -0.057%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.53%EV -1.91%E -0.426%K -0.548%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-25 15:25
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.50%E -3.21%K -11.25%G +0.000%10.06I 9.94%NM 9.59%EV -0.514%E -0.051%K -0.057%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.53%EV -1.91%E -0.426%K -0.548%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-25 15:25
BetAnything1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.50%E -3.21%K -11.25%G +0.000%10.06I 9.94%NM 9.59%EV -0.514%E -0.051%K -0.057%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.53%EV -1.91%E -0.426%K -0.548%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-25 15:25
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 67.43%EV -5.86%E -4.25%K -15.43%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -1.11%E -0.111%K -0.123%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -12.42%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 16:00
Betsson1.39I 71.94%NM 66.95%EV -5.18%E -3.73%K -13.29%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV -3.09%E -0.315%K -0.351%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -13.51%E -3.42%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 15:35
NordicBet1.39I 71.94%NM 66.95%EV -5.18%E -3.73%K -13.29%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV -3.09%E -0.315%K -0.351%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -13.51%E -3.42%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 15:34
1xBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.50%EV -5.18%E -3.73%K -13.29%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.77%EV -3.58%E -0.367%K -0.409%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.74%EV -4.10%E -0.935%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 15:50
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -5.86%E -4.25%K -15.43%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.65%EV -3.58%E -0.367%K -0.409%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15%EV -6.94%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 15:10
Marathon Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.59%EV -7.23%E -5.31%K -20.08%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.72%EV -5.06%E -0.527%K -0.589%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -5.85%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.00%EV -4.50%E -3.21%K -11.25%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.02%EV -6.05%E -0.637%K -0.712%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -5.19%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 15:55
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 68.05%EV -5.18%E -3.73%K -13.29%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.96%EV -6.05%E -0.637%K -0.712%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -5.85%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 15:25
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 69.19%EV -7.23%E -5.31%K -20.08%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.90%EV -6.05%E -0.637%K -0.712%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -1.47%E -0.326%K -0.420%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 15:00
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.19%EV -6.55%E -4.78%K -17.69%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -6.05%E -0.637%K -0.712%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -6.94%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 15:35
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 68.17%EV -7.23%E -5.31%K -20.08%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -6.05%E -0.637%K -0.712%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -8.04%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 15:55
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.17%EV -7.23%E -5.31%K -20.08%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -6.05%E -0.637%K -0.712%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -8.04%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 15:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.17%EV -7.23%E -5.31%K -20.08%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -6.05%E -0.637%K -0.712%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -8.04%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 15:09
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 67.42%EV -7.23%E -5.31%K -20.08%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -6.05%E -0.637%K -0.712%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.42%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 15:10
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 67.42%EV -7.23%E -5.31%K -20.08%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -6.05%E -0.637%K -0.712%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.42%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 15:10
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 67.91%EV -9.27%E -6.97%K -28.10%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -6.05%E -0.637%K -0.712%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.42%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-25 15:15
Codere (IT)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.86%E -4.25%K -15.43%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.00%EV -7.04%E -0.749%K -0.838%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.87%EV -5.85%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 15:55
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 68.02%EV -5.86%E -4.25%K -15.43%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.15%EV -8.52%E -0.922%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV -5.85%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 15:54
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 67.99%EV -6.55%E -4.78%K -17.69%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -11.00%E -1.22%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -5.85%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 15:15
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 68.25%EV -7.23%E -5.31%K -20.08%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -11.00%E -1.22%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -5.19%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 15:55
Bet Right1.37I 72.99%NM 66.90%EV -6.55%E -4.78%K -17.69%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -11.00%E -1.22%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -12.42%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 15:10
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 66.84%EV -7.91%E -5.86%K -22.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.03%EV -11.00%E -1.22%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -14.61%E -3.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-25 15:15
NetBet (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 68.22%EV -12.00%E -9.30%K -41.39%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.78%EV -11.00%E -1.22%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.00%EV -12.42%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-25 15:59
Betclic (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.41%EV -7.91%E -5.86%K -22.60%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.40%EV -13.47%E -1.54%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -10.23%E -2.49%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-25 15:54
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.75%EV -5.86%E -4.25%K -15.43%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -15.94%E -1.88%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -3.66%E -0.831%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 14:45
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 67.24%EV -9.96%E -7.54%K -31.11%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.57%EV -16.93%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -12.42%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-25 15:55
Winamax (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.44%EV -7.91%E -5.86%K -22.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -20.89%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -5.85%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 15:55
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 65.85%EV -7.23%E -5.31%K -20.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.19%EV -20.89%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%EV -14.61%E -3.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-25 15:10
Winamax (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 66.40%EV -9.96%E -7.54%K -31.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.69%EV -25.83%E -3.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -12.42%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-25 15:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 70.27%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.92%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.81%0.9%2026-07-25 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 69.97%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.58%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.45%1.4%2026-07-25 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 69.97%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.58%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.45%1.4%2026-07-25 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 69.97%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.58%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.45%1.4%2026-07-25 15:25
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.03%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.85%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%2.7%2026-07-25 16:00