The School of Odds

River Plate v Barracas Central

2026-07-25 22:15 — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (4 in analysis)

Option 1: River Plate (Local)

Odds
1.3375.19%Min
1.4071.29%Mean
1.4071.43%Median
1.4768.03%Max
Consensus probabilities
61.90%1.615Min
65.09%1.536Max
64.92%1.540Mean
64.92%1.540Median
64.92%1.540IQM
64.93%1.540Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.47 under the IQM model: 64.92%

EV -4.57%Edge -3.11%Kelly -9.72%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Barracas Central (Visit)

Odds
6.2516.00%Min
7.4213.47%Mean
7.8012.82%Median
8.2512.12%Max
Consensus probabilities
11.34%8.820Min
13.49%7.412Max
11.62%8.607Mean
11.64%8.588Median
11.64%8.588IQM
11.63%8.597Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 8.25 under the IQM model: 11.64%

EV -3.94%Edge -0.477%Kelly -0.543%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
3.5028.57%Min
3.8326.11%Mean
3.8525.97%Median
4.0324.81%Max
Consensus probabilities
22.61%4.423Min
24.76%4.038Max
23.46%4.263Mean
23.44%4.267Median
23.44%4.267IQM
23.44%4.266Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.03 under the IQM model: 23.44%

EV -5.56%Edge -1.38%Kelly -1.83%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

BookmakerRiver Plate (Local) ▼Barracas Central (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet1.47I 68.03% NM 64.72%EV -4.57% E -3.11% K -9.72% G +0.000%8.15I 12.27% NM 11.67%EV -5.10% E -0.626% K -0.714% G +0.000%4.03I 24.81% NM 23.61%EV -5.56% E -1.38% K -1.83% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 13:54
SportsBet1.45I 68.97% NM 65.01%EV -5.86% E -4.04% K -13.03% G +0.000%8.25I 12.12% NM 11.43%EV -3.94% E -0.477% K -0.543% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.57%EV -6.26% E -1.56% K -2.09% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-02 16:59
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44% NM 64.74%EV -6.51% E -4.52% K -14.80% G +0.000%8.00I 12.50% NM 11.65%EV -6.85% E -0.856% K -0.978% G +0.000%3.95I 25.32% NM 23.60%EV -7.43% E -1.88% K -2.52% G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-05 13:53
FanDuel1.43I 69.93% NM 65.09%EV -7.16% E -5.01% K -16.66% G +0.000%8.00I 12.50% NM 11.64%EV -6.85% E -0.856% K -0.978% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.27%EV -6.26% E -1.56% K -2.09% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-02 17:00
Codere (IT)1.42I 70.42% NM 65.06%EV -7.81% E -5.50% K -18.60% G +0.000%7.80I 12.82% NM 11.84%EV -9.18% E -1.18% K -1.35% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.10%EV -6.26% E -1.56% K -2.09% G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-03 14:50
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43% NM 64.79%EV -9.11% E -6.51% K -22.78% G +0.000%8.00I 12.50% NM 11.34%EV -6.85% E -0.856% K -0.978% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 23.87%EV -10.95% E -2.88% K -3.91% G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-03 14:50
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43% NM 64.31%EV -9.11% E -6.51% K -22.78% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.00%EV -12.67% E -1.69% K -1.95% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 23.69%EV -10.95% E -2.88% K -3.91% G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-02 17:04
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43% NM 61.90%EV -9.11% E -6.51% K -22.78% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 13.33%EV -24.31% E -3.74% K -4.42% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 24.76%EV -17.98% E -5.14% K -7.19% G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-02 17:00
Winamax (DE)1.36I 73.53% NM 64.00%EV -11.71% E -8.61% K -32.52% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 13.39%EV -24.31% E -3.74% K -4.42% G +0.000%3.85I 25.97% NM 22.61%EV -9.77% E -2.54% K -3.43% G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-03 14:50
Betclic (FR)1.33I 75.19% NM 63.75%EV -13.66% E -10.27% K -41.38% G +0.000%6.75I 14.81% NM 12.56%EV -21.40% E -3.17% K -3.72% G +0.000%3.58I 27.93% NM 23.68%EV -16.10% E -4.50% K -6.24% G +0.000%17.9%2026-07-03 14:50
Unibet (FR)1.33I 75.19% NM 63.57%EV -13.66% E -10.27% K -41.38% G +0.000%6.70I 14.93% NM 12.62%EV -21.99% E -3.28% K -3.86% G +0.000%3.55I 28.17% NM 23.82%EV -16.80% E -4.73% K -6.59% G +0.000%18.3%2026-07-03 14:50
Winamax (FR)1.33I 75.19% NM 63.40%EV -13.66% E -10.27% K -41.38% G +0.000%6.25I 16.00% NM 13.49%EV -27.23% E -4.36% K -5.19% G +0.000%3.65I 27.40% NM 23.10%EV -14.46% E -3.96% K -5.46% G +0.000%18.6%2026-07-03 14:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth