L’École des cotesRiver Plate v Barracas Central
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
River Plate (Local)
Prévision 70.63%1.42cote équitable
EV -2.53%
Avantage -1.83%
Kelly -6.66%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.38
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.34%70.43%70.61%72.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.241.321.331.3880.65%75.70%75.19%72.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Barracas Central (Visiteur)
Prévision 8.47%11.80cote équitable
EV +11.85%
Avantage +0.897%
Kelly +0.971%
Croissance +0.115%
avec la cote maximale 13.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.26%8.61%8.50%10.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
8.5010.8711.0013.2011.76%9.20%9.09%7.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 20.90%4.79cote équitable
EV +0.509%
Avantage +0.106%
Kelly +0.134%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 4.81
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.50%20.96%20.89%23.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.954.354.334.8125.32%23.01%23.09%20.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.65%E -3.44%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 13.20I 7.58%NM 7.26%EV +11.85%E +0.897%K +0.971%G +0.115% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.77%EV -8.06%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-25 22:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.04%EV -5.35%E -4.00%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 12.24I 8.17%NM 7.89%EV +3.71%E +0.303%K +0.330%G +0.012% | 4.81I 20.79%NM 20.07%EV +0.509%E +0.106%K +0.134%G +0.001% | 3.6% | 2026-07-25 22:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.41%EV -7.47%E -5.70%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.80%EV +1.68%E +0.140%K +0.153%G +0.003% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -5.97%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-25 22:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.09%EV -3.94%E -2.90%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 11.90I 8.40%NM 8.12%EV +0.830%E +0.070%K +0.076%G +0.001% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.79%EV -2.83%E -0.610%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-25 22:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.09%EV -3.94%E -2.90%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 11.90I 8.40%NM 8.12%EV +0.830%E +0.070%K +0.076%G +0.001% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.79%EV -2.83%E -0.610%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-25 21:55 |
| BetAnything | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 11.75I 8.51%NM 8.03%EV -0.441%E -0.038%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -5.97%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-25 22:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.65%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -2.56%E -0.223%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.06%EV -0.745%E -0.157%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-25 22:00 |
| Betsson | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.47%EV -5.35%E -4.00%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.10%EV -2.56%E -0.223%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -13.28%E -3.20%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-25 22:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.47%EV -5.35%E -4.00%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.10%EV -2.56%E -0.223%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -13.28%E -3.20%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-25 22:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -6.77%E -5.13%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.30%EV -4.68%E -0.416%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.98%EV -7.01%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-25 22:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.44%EV -5.35%E -4.00%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -5.97%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-25 20:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.40%EV -2.53%E -1.83%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -14.33%E -3.49%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-25 21:50 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.40%EV -2.53%E -1.83%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -14.33%E -3.49%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-25 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.92%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.57%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -3.88%E -0.843%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-25 22:10 |
| Everygame | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.92%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.57%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -3.88%E -0.843%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-25 21:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.60%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.97%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-25 22:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.08%EV -6.77%E -5.13%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.53%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -3.88%E -0.843%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-25 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.94%EV -5.35%E -4.00%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.54%EV -9.10%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-25 20:54 |
| BetRivers | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.71%EV -3.94%E -2.90%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -14.33%E -3.49%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-25 21:50 |
| Bovada | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.75%EV -6.77%E -5.13%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -5.97%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-25 22:09 |
| PlayUp | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.74%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -11.19%E -2.63%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-25 22:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.56%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -12.24%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-25 20:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.55%EV -8.89%E -6.89%K -30.64%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -3.88%E -0.843%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-25 21:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.19%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.44%EV -14.33%E -3.49%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-25 21:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.31%EV -11.71%E -9.37%K -46.84%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.10%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.59%EV -9.52%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-25 21:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.31%EV -11.71%E -9.37%K -46.84%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.10%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.59%EV -9.52%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-25 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.34%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -11.03%E -1.05%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -17.46%E -4.42%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-25 22:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.34%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -11.03%E -1.05%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -17.46%E -4.42%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-25 22:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.50%EV -6.77%E -5.13%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.61%EV -11.03%E -1.05%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -17.46%E -4.42%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-25 21:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 70.75%EV -12.42%E -10.01%K -51.74%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.36%EV -11.03%E -1.05%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.89%EV -12.24%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-25 22:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.32%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -15.27%E -1.53%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -3.88%E -0.843%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-25 20:55 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.24%EV -8.18%E -6.29%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -15.27%E -1.53%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -0.745%E -0.157%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-25 21:55 |
| betfred_uk | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.98%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -15.27%E -1.53%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -12.24%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-25 21:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.40%EV -6.77%E -5.13%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -15.27%E -1.53%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -16.42%E -4.10%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-25 21:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.45%EV -8.89%E -6.89%K -30.64%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.96%EV -15.27%E -1.53%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.59%EV -13.28%E -3.20%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-25 21:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 69.77%EV -11.00%E -8.73%K -42.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.79%EV -15.27%E -1.53%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%EV -14.33%E -3.49%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-25 21:49 |
| Sky Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.30%EV -8.89%E -6.89%K -30.64%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.41%EV -19.51%E -2.05%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -12.24%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-25 21:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -7.47%E -5.70%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV -23.74%E -2.64%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -5.97%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-25 20:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 68.71%EV -9.59%E -7.49%K -34.26%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.35%EV -27.98%E -3.29%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.94%EV -12.24%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-25 20:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.47% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.85% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68% | 0.7% | 2026-07-25 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.47% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.85% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68% | 0.7% | 2026-07-25 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.47% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.85% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68% | 0.7% | 2026-07-25 22:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.13% | 14.01I 7.14%NM 7.00% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.87% | 1.9% | 2026-07-25 22:10 |
| Kalshi | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.87% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.75% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.38% | 3.2% | 2026-07-25 22:10 |