La escuela de los momiosRiver Plate v Barracas Central
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
River Plate (Local)
Predicción 70.63%1.42momio equitativo
EV -2.53%
Ventaja -1.83%
Kelly -6.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.34%70.43%70.61%72.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.241.321.331.3880.65%75.70%75.19%72.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Barracas Central (Visitante)
Predicción 8.47%11.80momio equitativo
EV +11.85%
Ventaja +0.897%
Kelly +0.971%
Crecimiento +0.115%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 13.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.26%8.61%8.50%10.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
8.5010.8711.0013.2011.76%9.20%9.09%7.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 20.90%4.79momio equitativo
EV +0.509%
Ventaja +0.106%
Kelly +0.134%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.81
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.50%20.96%20.89%23.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.954.354.334.8125.32%23.01%23.09%20.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.65%E -3.44%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 13.20I 7.58%NM 7.26%EV +11.85%E +0.897%K +0.971%G +0.115% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.77%EV -8.06%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-25 22:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.04%EV -5.35%E -4.00%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 12.24I 8.17%NM 7.89%EV +3.71%E +0.303%K +0.330%G +0.012% | 4.81I 20.79%NM 20.07%EV +0.509%E +0.106%K +0.134%G +0.001% | 3.6% | 2026-07-25 22:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.41%EV -7.47%E -5.70%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.80%EV +1.68%E +0.140%K +0.153%G +0.003% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -5.97%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-25 22:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.09%EV -3.94%E -2.90%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 11.90I 8.40%NM 8.12%EV +0.830%E +0.070%K +0.076%G +0.001% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.79%EV -2.83%E -0.610%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-25 22:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.09%EV -3.94%E -2.90%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 11.90I 8.40%NM 8.12%EV +0.830%E +0.070%K +0.076%G +0.001% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.79%EV -2.83%E -0.610%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-25 21:55 |
| BetAnything | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 11.75I 8.51%NM 8.03%EV -0.441%E -0.038%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -5.97%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-25 22:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.65%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -2.56%E -0.223%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.06%EV -0.745%E -0.157%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-25 22:00 |
| Betsson | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.47%EV -5.35%E -4.00%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.10%EV -2.56%E -0.223%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -13.28%E -3.20%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-25 22:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.47%EV -5.35%E -4.00%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.10%EV -2.56%E -0.223%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -13.28%E -3.20%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-25 22:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -6.77%E -5.13%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.30%EV -4.68%E -0.416%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.98%EV -7.01%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-25 22:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.44%EV -5.35%E -4.00%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -5.97%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-25 20:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.40%EV -2.53%E -1.83%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -14.33%E -3.49%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-25 21:50 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.40%EV -2.53%E -1.83%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -14.33%E -3.49%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-25 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.92%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.57%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -3.88%E -0.843%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-25 22:10 |
| Everygame | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.92%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.57%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -3.88%E -0.843%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-25 21:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.60%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.97%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-25 22:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.08%EV -6.77%E -5.13%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.53%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -3.88%E -0.843%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-25 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.94%EV -5.35%E -4.00%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.54%EV -9.10%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-25 20:54 |
| BetRivers | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.71%EV -3.94%E -2.90%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -14.33%E -3.49%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-25 21:50 |
| Bovada | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.75%EV -6.77%E -5.13%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -5.97%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-25 22:09 |
| PlayUp | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.74%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -11.19%E -2.63%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-25 22:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.56%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -12.24%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-25 20:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.55%EV -8.89%E -6.89%K -30.64%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -3.88%E -0.843%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-25 21:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.19%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.44%EV -14.33%E -3.49%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-25 21:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.31%EV -11.71%E -9.37%K -46.84%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.10%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.59%EV -9.52%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-25 21:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.31%EV -11.71%E -9.37%K -46.84%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.10%EV -6.80%E -0.618%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.59%EV -9.52%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-25 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.34%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -11.03%E -1.05%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -17.46%E -4.42%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-25 22:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.34%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -11.03%E -1.05%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -17.46%E -4.42%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-25 22:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.50%EV -6.77%E -5.13%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.61%EV -11.03%E -1.05%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -17.46%E -4.42%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-25 21:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 70.75%EV -12.42%E -10.01%K -51.74%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.36%EV -11.03%E -1.05%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.89%EV -12.24%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-25 22:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.32%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -15.27%E -1.53%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -3.88%E -0.843%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-25 20:55 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.24%EV -8.18%E -6.29%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -15.27%E -1.53%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -0.745%E -0.157%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-25 21:55 |
| betfred_uk | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.98%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -15.27%E -1.53%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -12.24%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-25 21:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.40%EV -6.77%E -5.13%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -15.27%E -1.53%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -16.42%E -4.10%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-25 21:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.45%EV -8.89%E -6.89%K -30.64%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.96%EV -15.27%E -1.53%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.59%EV -13.28%E -3.20%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-25 21:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 69.77%EV -11.00%E -8.73%K -42.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.79%EV -15.27%E -1.53%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%EV -14.33%E -3.49%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-25 21:49 |
| Sky Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.30%EV -8.89%E -6.89%K -30.64%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.41%EV -19.51%E -2.05%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -12.24%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-25 21:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -7.47%E -5.70%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV -23.74%E -2.64%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -5.97%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-25 20:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 68.71%EV -9.59%E -7.49%K -34.26%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.35%EV -27.98%E -3.29%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.94%EV -12.24%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-25 20:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.47% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.85% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68% | 0.7% | 2026-07-25 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.47% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.85% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68% | 0.7% | 2026-07-25 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.47% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.85% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68% | 0.7% | 2026-07-25 22:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.13% | 14.01I 7.14%NM 7.00% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.87% | 1.9% | 2026-07-25 22:10 |
| Kalshi | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.87% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.75% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.38% | 3.2% | 2026-07-25 22:10 |