Language:English
River Plate v Aldosivi Mar del Plata
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
River Plate (Local)
Prediction 70.97%1.41fair odd
EV -5.61%
Edge -4.22%
Kelly -17.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.05%70.94%71.06%72.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.301.311.3381.97%76.72%76.34%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visit)
Prediction 9.41%10.62fair odd
EV +0.250%
Edge +0.024%
Kelly +0.026%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 10.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.89%9.44%9.33%11.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.509.7610.0010.6513.33%10.25%10.00%9.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.62%5.10fair odd
EV -1.91%
Edge -0.382%
Kelly -0.478%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.92%19.62%19.61%22.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.654.705.0025.00%21.50%21.28%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: River Plate (Local): 70.97%; Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visit): 9.41%; Draw: 19.62%. For Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.62. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.250%.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.05%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 10.65I 9.39%NM 8.93%EV +0.250%E +0.024%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -1.91%E -0.382%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.05%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 10.65I 9.39%NM 8.93%EV +0.250%E +0.024%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -1.91%E -0.382%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.03%EV -7.03%E -5.37%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 10.60I 9.43%NM 8.90%EV -0.220%E -0.021%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.06%EV -2.89%E -0.584%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 01:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.39%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.98%EV -1.16%E -0.111%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -5.83%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 07:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.39%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.98%EV -1.16%E -0.111%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -5.83%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 07:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.39%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.98%EV -1.16%E -0.111%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -5.83%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 07:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.63%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV -1.16%E -0.111%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.76%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-21 07:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.63%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV -1.16%E -0.111%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.76%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-21 07:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.10%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.94%EV -1.16%E -0.111%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -7.80%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 01:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.25%EV -7.03%E -5.37%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -1.16%E -0.111%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -7.80%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 01:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.07%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -5.83%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 00:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.78%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -7.80%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 01:42 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.78%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -7.80%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 01:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.24%EV -7.74%E -5.95%K -25.80%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -6.82%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.24%EV -7.74%E -5.95%K -25.80%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -6.82%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-24 01:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -7.74%E -5.95%K -25.80%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -11.72%E -2.60%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 01:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -7.74%E -5.95%K -25.80%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -11.72%E -2.60%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 04:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -7.74%E -5.95%K -25.80%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -11.72%E -2.60%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-24 01:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.56%EV -9.16%E -7.16%K -32.71%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -6.82%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.27%EV -9.87%E -7.77%K -36.55%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.05%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -9.76%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-23 07:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.27%EV -9.87%E -7.77%K -36.55%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.05%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -9.76%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-23 08:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.43%EV -10.58%E -8.40%K -40.69%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -9.76%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 07:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.12%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.96%EV -10.57%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -1.91%E -0.382%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-24 00:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.57%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -10.57%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -5.83%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 00:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.42%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV -10.57%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -6.82%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.42%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV -10.57%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -6.82%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 17:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.97%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -10.57%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.76%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 01:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.88%EV -7.03%E -5.37%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -10.57%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -5.83%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-24 00:33 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.30%EV -8.45%E -6.55%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV -10.57%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -11.72%E -2.60%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.14%EV -13.42%E -11.00%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.14%EV -10.57%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.72%EV -13.68%E -3.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-24 01:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.18%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -15.28%E -1.70%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -5.83%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.94%EV -9.16%E -7.16%K -32.71%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.95%EV -15.28%E -1.70%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.12%EV -12.70%E -2.85%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-24 00:33 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.05%EV -7.74%E -5.95%K -25.80%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -15.28%E -1.70%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -21.53%E -5.38%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-21 02:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.54%EV -9.87%E -7.77%K -36.55%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.15%EV -18.11%E -2.08%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.30%EV -14.66%E -3.37%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-24 00:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.98%EV -8.45%E -6.55%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.47%EV -19.99%E -2.35%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -15.06%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-23 00:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.36%EV -8.45%E -6.55%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.18%EV -24.69%E -3.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -9.76%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 68.45%EV -10.58%E -8.40%K -40.69%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.50%EV -29.40%E -3.92%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.06%EV -15.64%E -3.64%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.14% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.26% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 19.60% | 7.2% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 70.26% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 9.62% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.12% | 13.0% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 76.22% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 7.93% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 15.85% | 26.2% | 2026-04-24 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 76.22% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 7.93% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 15.85% | 26.2% | 2026-04-24 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 76.22% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 7.93% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 15.85% | 26.2% | 2026-04-24 01:55 |