La escuela de los momiosRiver Plate v Aldosivi Mar del Plata
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
River Plate (Local)
Predicción 70.97%1.41momio equitativo
EV -5.61%
Ventaja -4.22%
Kelly -17.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.05%70.94%71.06%72.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.221.301.311.3381.97%76.72%76.34%75.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visitante)
Predicción 9.41%10.62momio equitativo
EV +0.250%
Ventaja +0.024%
Kelly +0.026%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 10.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.89%9.44%9.33%11.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.509.7610.0010.6513.33%10.25%10.00%9.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 19.62%5.10momio equitativo
EV -1.91%
Ventaja -0.382%
Kelly -0.478%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.92%19.62%19.61%22.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.654.705.0025.00%21.50%21.28%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.05%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 10.65I 9.39%NM 8.93%EV +0.250%E +0.024%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -1.91%E -0.382%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.05%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 10.65I 9.39%NM 8.93%EV +0.250%E +0.024%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -1.91%E -0.382%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| Pinnacle | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.03%EV -7.03%E -5.37%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 10.60I 9.43%NM 8.90%EV -0.220%E -0.021%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.06%EV -2.89%E -0.584%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 01:50 |
| Unibet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.39%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.98%EV -1.16%E -0.111%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -5.83%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 07:29 |
| BetRivers | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.39%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.98%EV -1.16%E -0.111%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -5.83%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 07:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.39%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.98%EV -1.16%E -0.111%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -5.83%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 07:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.63%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV -1.16%E -0.111%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.76%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-21 07:44 |
| Betsson | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.63%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV -1.16%E -0.111%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.76%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-21 07:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.10%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.94%EV -1.16%E -0.111%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -7.80%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 01:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.25%EV -7.03%E -5.37%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -1.16%E -0.111%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -7.80%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 01:34 |
| DraftKings | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.07%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -5.83%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 00:34 |
| Bovada | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.78%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -7.80%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 01:42 |
| BetAnything | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.78%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -7.80%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 01:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.24%EV -7.74%E -5.95%K -25.80%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -6.82%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.24%EV -7.74%E -5.95%K -25.80%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -6.82%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-24 01:44 |
| betfred_uk | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -7.74%E -5.95%K -25.80%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -11.72%E -2.60%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 01:44 |
| Bet Right | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -7.74%E -5.95%K -25.80%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -11.72%E -2.60%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 04:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -7.74%E -5.95%K -25.80%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -11.72%E -2.60%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-24 01:45 |
| Everygame | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.56%EV -9.16%E -7.16%K -32.71%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -6.82%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.27%EV -9.87%E -7.77%K -36.55%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.05%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -9.76%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-23 07:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.27%EV -9.87%E -7.77%K -36.55%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.05%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -9.76%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-23 08:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.43%EV -10.58%E -8.40%K -40.69%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -9.76%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 07:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.12%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.96%EV -10.57%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -1.91%E -0.382%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-24 00:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.57%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -10.57%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -5.83%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 00:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.42%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV -10.57%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -6.82%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| BetMGM | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.42%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV -10.57%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -6.82%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 17:15 |
| PlayUp | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.97%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -10.57%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.76%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 01:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.88%EV -7.03%E -5.37%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -10.57%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -5.83%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-24 00:33 |
| Paddy Power | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.30%EV -8.45%E -6.55%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV -10.57%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -11.72%E -2.60%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.14%EV -13.42%E -11.00%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.14%EV -10.57%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.72%EV -13.68%E -3.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-24 01:45 |
| theScore Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.18%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -15.28%E -1.70%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -5.83%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.94%EV -9.16%E -7.16%K -32.71%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.95%EV -15.28%E -1.70%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.12%EV -12.70%E -2.85%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-24 00:33 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.05%EV -7.74%E -5.95%K -25.80%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -15.28%E -1.70%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -21.53%E -5.38%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-21 02:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.54%EV -9.87%E -7.77%K -36.55%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.15%EV -18.11%E -2.08%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.30%EV -14.66%E -3.37%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-24 00:35 |
| Sky Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.98%EV -8.45%E -6.55%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.47%EV -19.99%E -2.35%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -15.06%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-23 00:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.36%EV -8.45%E -6.55%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.18%EV -24.69%E -3.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -9.76%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 68.45%EV -10.58%E -8.40%K -40.69%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.50%EV -29.40%E -3.92%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.06%EV -15.64%E -3.64%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.14% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.26% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 19.60% | 7.2% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.26I 79.37%NM 70.26% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 9.62% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.12% | 13.0% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 76.22% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 7.93% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 15.85% | 26.2% | 2026-04-24 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 76.22% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 7.93% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 15.85% | 26.2% | 2026-04-24 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 76.22% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 7.93% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 15.85% | 26.2% | 2026-04-24 01:55 |