L’École des cotes

River Plate v Aldosivi Mar del Plata

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-26 00:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

River Plate (Local)

Prévision 70.97%1.41cote équitable
EV -5.61%
Avantage -4.22%
Kelly -17.00%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.05%70.94%71.06%72.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.221.301.311.3381.97%76.72%76.34%75.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visiteur)

Prévision 9.41%10.62cote équitable
EV +0.250%
Avantage +0.024%
Kelly +0.026%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 10.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.89%9.44%9.33%11.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.509.7610.0010.6513.33%10.25%10.00%9.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 19.62%5.10cote équitable
EV -1.91%
Avantage -0.382%
Kelly -0.478%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.92%19.62%19.61%22.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.654.705.0025.00%21.50%21.28%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 72.05%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000%10.65I 9.39%NM 8.93%EV +0.250%E +0.024%K +0.026%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -1.91%E -0.382%K -0.478%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 15:24
LowVig.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 72.05%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000%10.65I 9.39%NM 8.93%EV +0.250%E +0.024%K +0.026%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -1.91%E -0.382%K -0.478%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 15:24
Pinnacle1.31I 76.34%NM 72.03%EV -7.03%E -5.37%K -22.68%G +0.000%10.60I 9.43%NM 8.90%EV -0.220%E -0.021%K -0.023%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.06%EV -2.89%E -0.584%K -0.732%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 01:50
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.39%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.98%EV -1.16%E -0.111%K -0.122%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -5.83%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 07:29
BetRivers1.32I 75.76%NM 71.39%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.98%EV -1.16%E -0.111%K -0.122%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -5.83%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 07:49
Unibet (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.39%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.98%EV -1.16%E -0.111%K -0.122%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -5.83%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 07:29
NordicBet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.63%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -17.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV -1.16%E -0.111%K -0.122%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.76%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 07:44
Betsson1.33I 75.19%NM 70.63%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -17.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV -1.16%E -0.111%K -0.122%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.76%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 07:45
1xBet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.10%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.94%EV -1.16%E -0.111%K -0.122%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -7.80%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 01:40
Marathon Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.25%EV -7.03%E -5.37%K -22.68%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -1.16%E -0.111%K -0.122%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -7.80%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 01:34
DraftKings1.32I 75.76%NM 71.07%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -5.83%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 00:34
Bovada1.32I 75.76%NM 70.78%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -7.80%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 01:42
BetAnything1.32I 75.76%NM 70.78%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -7.80%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 01:45
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.24%EV -7.74%E -5.95%K -25.80%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -6.82%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 02:15
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 71.24%EV -7.74%E -5.95%K -25.80%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -6.82%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 01:44
betfred_uk1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -7.74%E -5.95%K -25.80%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -11.72%E -2.60%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 01:44
Bet Right1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -7.74%E -5.95%K -25.80%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -11.72%E -2.60%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 04:19
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -7.74%E -5.95%K -25.80%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -11.72%E -2.60%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-24 01:45
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 71.56%EV -9.16%E -7.16%K -32.71%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -6.82%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-24 03:09
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 71.27%EV -9.87%E -7.77%K -36.55%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.05%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -9.76%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 07:54
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 71.27%EV -9.87%E -7.77%K -36.55%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.05%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -9.76%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 08:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 71.43%EV -10.58%E -8.40%K -40.69%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -9.76%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 07:29
Fanatics1.33I 75.19%NM 71.12%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -17.00%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.96%EV -10.57%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -1.91%E -0.382%K -0.478%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 00:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.57%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -17.00%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -10.57%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -5.83%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 00:14
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.42%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -17.00%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV -10.57%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -6.82%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 22:09
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 70.42%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -17.00%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV -10.57%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -6.82%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 17:15
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 69.97%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -17.00%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -10.57%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.76%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-24 01:45
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 70.88%EV -7.03%E -5.37%K -22.68%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -10.57%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -5.83%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-24 00:33
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 70.30%EV -8.45%E -6.55%K -29.14%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV -10.57%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -11.72%E -2.60%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-21 02:15
NetBet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 71.14%EV -13.42%E -11.00%K -60.99%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.14%EV -10.57%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.72%EV -13.68%E -3.11%K -4.02%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-24 01:45
theScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.18%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -17.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -15.28%E -1.70%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -5.83%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 22:09
Betclic (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 69.94%EV -9.16%E -7.16%K -32.71%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.95%EV -15.28%E -1.70%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.12%EV -12.70%E -2.85%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-24 00:33
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 68.05%EV -7.74%E -5.95%K -25.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -15.28%E -1.70%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -21.53%E -5.38%K -7.18%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-21 02:55
Unibet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 69.54%EV -9.87%E -7.77%K -36.55%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.15%EV -18.11%E -2.08%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.30%EV -14.66%E -3.37%K -4.38%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-24 00:35
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 68.98%EV -8.45%E -6.55%K -29.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.47%EV -19.99%E -2.35%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -15.06%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 00:34
Winamax (DE)1.29I 77.52%NM 69.36%EV -8.45%E -6.55%K -29.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.18%EV -24.69%E -3.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -9.76%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-23 22:10
Winamax (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 68.45%EV -10.58%E -8.40%K -40.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.50%EV -29.40%E -3.92%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.06%EV -15.64%E -3.64%K -4.74%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-23 22:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.33I 75.19%NM 70.14%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.26%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.60%7.2%2026-04-24 03:50
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 70.26%9.20I 10.87%NM 9.62%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.12%13.0%2026-04-23 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 76.22%10.00I 10.00%NM 7.93%5.00I 20.00%NM 15.85%26.2%2026-04-24 01:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 76.22%10.00I 10.00%NM 7.93%5.00I 20.00%NM 15.85%26.2%2026-04-24 01:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 76.22%10.00I 10.00%NM 7.93%5.00I 20.00%NM 15.85%26.2%2026-04-24 01:55