Langue:Français
River Plate v Aldosivi Mar del Plata
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
River Plate (Local)
Prévision 70.97%1.41cote équitable
EV -5.61%
Avantage -4.22%
Kelly -17.00%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.33
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.05%70.94%71.06%72.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.221.301.311.3381.97%76.72%76.34%75.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visiteur)
Prévision 9.41%10.62cote équitable
EV +0.250%
Avantage +0.024%
Kelly +0.026%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 10.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.89%9.44%9.33%11.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
7.509.7610.0010.6513.33%10.25%10.00%9.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 19.62%5.10cote équitable
EV -1.91%
Avantage -0.382%
Kelly -0.478%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 5.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.92%19.62%19.61%22.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.654.705.0025.00%21.50%21.28%20.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : River Plate (Local) : 70.97% ; Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visiteur) : 9.41% ; Match nul : 19.62%. Pour Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 10.62. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 10.65, soit une espérance positive de +0.250%.
Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.05%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 10.65I 9.39%NM 8.93%EV +0.250%E +0.024%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -1.91%E -0.382%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.05%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 10.65I 9.39%NM 8.93%EV +0.250%E +0.024%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -1.91%E -0.382%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.03%EV -7.03%E -5.37%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 10.60I 9.43%NM 8.90%EV -0.220%E -0.021%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.06%EV -2.89%E -0.584%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 01:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.39%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.98%EV -1.16%E -0.111%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -5.83%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 07:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.39%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.98%EV -1.16%E -0.111%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -5.83%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 07:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.39%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.98%EV -1.16%E -0.111%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -5.83%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 07:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.63%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV -1.16%E -0.111%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.76%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-21 07:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.63%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV -1.16%E -0.111%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.76%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-21 07:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.10%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.94%EV -1.16%E -0.111%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -7.80%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 01:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.25%EV -7.03%E -5.37%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -1.16%E -0.111%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -7.80%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 01:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.07%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -5.83%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 00:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.78%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -7.80%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 01:42 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.78%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -7.80%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 01:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.24%EV -7.74%E -5.95%K -25.80%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -6.82%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.24%EV -7.74%E -5.95%K -25.80%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -6.82%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-24 01:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -7.74%E -5.95%K -25.80%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -11.72%E -2.60%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 01:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -7.74%E -5.95%K -25.80%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -11.72%E -2.60%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 04:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -7.74%E -5.95%K -25.80%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -11.72%E -2.60%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-24 01:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.56%EV -9.16%E -7.16%K -32.71%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -6.82%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.27%EV -9.87%E -7.77%K -36.55%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.05%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -9.76%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-23 07:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.27%EV -9.87%E -7.77%K -36.55%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.05%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -9.76%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-23 08:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.43%EV -10.58%E -8.40%K -40.69%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -5.87%E -0.587%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -9.76%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 07:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.12%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.96%EV -10.57%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -1.91%E -0.382%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-24 00:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.57%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -10.57%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -5.83%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 00:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.42%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV -10.57%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -6.82%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.42%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV -10.57%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -6.82%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 17:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.97%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -10.57%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.76%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 01:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.88%EV -7.03%E -5.37%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -10.57%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -5.83%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-24 00:33 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.30%EV -8.45%E -6.55%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV -10.57%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -11.72%E -2.60%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.14%EV -13.42%E -11.00%K -60.99%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.14%EV -10.57%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.72%EV -13.68%E -3.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-24 01:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.18%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -15.28%E -1.70%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -5.83%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.94%EV -9.16%E -7.16%K -32.71%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.95%EV -15.28%E -1.70%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.12%EV -12.70%E -2.85%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-24 00:33 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.05%EV -7.74%E -5.95%K -25.80%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -15.28%E -1.70%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -21.53%E -5.38%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-21 02:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.54%EV -9.87%E -7.77%K -36.55%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.15%EV -18.11%E -2.08%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.30%EV -14.66%E -3.37%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-24 00:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.98%EV -8.45%E -6.55%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.47%EV -19.99%E -2.35%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -15.06%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-23 00:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.36%EV -8.45%E -6.55%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.18%EV -24.69%E -3.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -9.76%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 68.45%EV -10.58%E -8.40%K -40.69%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.50%EV -29.40%E -3.92%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.06%EV -15.64%E -3.64%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.14% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.26% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 19.60% | 7.2% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 70.26% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 9.62% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.12% | 13.0% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 76.22% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 7.93% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 15.85% | 26.2% | 2026-04-24 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 76.22% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 7.93% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 15.85% | 26.2% | 2026-04-24 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 76.22% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 7.93% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 15.85% | 26.2% | 2026-04-24 01:55 |