Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Racing Club v Independiente Rivadavia

Kickoff: 2026-02-26 20:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Racing Club (Local)

Prediction 50.94%1.96fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -2.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.18%51.03%50.74%53.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.801.801.9260.98%55.48%55.56%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Independiente Rivadavia (Visit)

Prediction 20.14%4.97fair odd
EV +4.92%
Edge +0.944%
Kelly +1.17%
Growth +0.057%

assuming max odds 5.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.16%20.08%20.37%22.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.614.505.2125.00%21.67%22.22%19.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.93%3.46fair odd
EV -0.204%
Edge -0.059%
Kelly -0.083%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.63%28.88%28.89%29.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.203.203.4535.09%31.29%31.25%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Racing Club (Local): 50.94%; Independiente Rivadavia (Visit): 20.14%; Draw: 28.93%. For Independiente Rivadavia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.97. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.21, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.92%.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.65%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.21I 19.19%NM 18.54%EV +4.92%E +0.944%K +1.17%G +0.057%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.81%EV -6.28%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-26 20:10
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.00%EV -8.82%E -4.93%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.25%EV +4.72%E +0.907%K +1.12%G +0.053%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.54%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 20:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.00%EV -8.82%E -4.93%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.25%EV +4.72%E +0.907%K +1.12%G +0.053%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.54%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 20:09
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.65%EV -10.35%E -5.88%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.16%EV +4.72%E +0.907%K +1.12%G +0.053%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.19%EV -3.10%E -0.924%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -10.35%E -5.88%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.29%EV +2.70%E +0.530%K +0.659%G +0.018%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.99%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 20:10
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.07%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV +0.689%E +0.138%K +0.172%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -4.54%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 19:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.33%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV +0.689%E +0.138%K +0.172%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 13:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.33%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV +0.689%E +0.138%K +0.172%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 13:30
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.53%EV -8.32%E -4.62%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV +0.689%E +0.138%K +0.172%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-26 19:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.91%EV -12.39%E -7.20%K -17.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV +0.689%E +0.138%K +0.172%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -8.88%E -2.82%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-26 20:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.91%EV -12.39%E -7.20%K -17.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV +0.689%E +0.138%K +0.172%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -8.88%E -2.82%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-26 20:09
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.82%EV -8.32%E -4.62%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -1.32%E -0.270%K -0.340%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 19:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.02%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.25%EV -2.33%E -0.481%K -0.606%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.73%EV -9.17%E -2.92%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 20:00
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.74%EV -3.34%E -0.695%K -0.879%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.60%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 19:35
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -8.32%E -4.62%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -4.35%E -0.915%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-26 19:49
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -7.37%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.99%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 20:01
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -7.37%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.99%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 20:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -9.38%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -4.54%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 19:40
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -9.38%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-26 19:44
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -9.38%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 19:39
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -10.86%E -6.21%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -9.38%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-26 19:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -11.39%E -2.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -4.54%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 19:35
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -11.39%E -2.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -5.99%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 19:35
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -11.39%E -2.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.54%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 19:40
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.94%EV -8.32%E -4.62%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -11.39%E -2.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -5.99%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 19:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.05%EV -13.41%E -7.89%K -19.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.72%EV -11.39%E -2.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.22%EV -14.09%E -4.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%15.2%2026-02-26 20:09
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.05%EV -2.20%E -1.15%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.09%EV -12.40%E -2.85%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.86%EV -0.204%E -0.059%K -0.083%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 20:10
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.95%EV -4.24%E -2.26%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -12.40%E -2.85%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.54%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 19:55
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.95%EV -4.24%E -2.26%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -12.40%E -2.85%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.54%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 19:54
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.31%EV -10.86%E -6.21%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.34%EV -12.80%E -2.96%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.35%EV -13.22%E -4.41%K -6.61%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-26 19:49
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.52%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -13.41%E -3.12%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-26 20:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.76%EV -9.33%E -5.24%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -13.41%E -3.12%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-26 19:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 51.10%EV -16.47%E -10.04%K -25.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.49%EV -13.41%E -3.12%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.41%EV -17.56%E -6.16%K -9.49%G +0.000%19.3%2026-02-26 19:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.69%EV -10.35%E -5.88%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.99%EV -14.41%E -3.39%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.32%EV -8.88%E -2.82%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-26 19:48
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -8.32%E -4.62%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -15.42%E -3.67%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -4.54%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-26 19:40
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -10.86%E -6.21%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.03%EV -15.42%E -3.67%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.2%2026-02-26 19:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.32%EV -11.37%E -6.54%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.89%EV -19.45%E -4.86%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -8.88%E -2.82%K -4.13%G +0.000%14.2%2026-02-26 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 49.18%EV -11.88%E -6.87%K -16.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.27%EV -19.45%E -4.86%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.54%EV -16.69%E -5.80%K -8.88%G +0.000%17.5%2026-02-26 20:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.67%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-02-26 20:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.67%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-02-26 20:10
Matchbook1.91I 52.36%NM 51.84%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.12%1.0%2026-02-26 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.48%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%1.2%2026-02-26 20:09
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.55%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.21%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.24%2.1%2026-02-26 19:50