La escuela de los momios

Racing Club v Independiente Rivadavia

Inicio: 2026-02-26 20:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

38 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Racing Club (Local)

Predicción 50.94%1.96momio equitativo
EV -2.20%
Ventaja -1.15%
Kelly -2.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.92

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.18%51.03%50.74%53.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.641.801.801.9260.98%55.48%55.56%52.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Independiente Rivadavia (Visitante)

Predicción 20.14%4.97momio equitativo
EV +4.92%
Ventaja +0.944%
Kelly +1.17%
Crecimiento +0.057%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.21

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.16%20.08%20.37%22.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.614.505.2125.00%21.67%22.22%19.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.93%3.46momio equitativo
EV -0.204%
Ventaja -0.059%
Kelly -0.083%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.63%28.88%28.89%29.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.203.203.4535.09%31.29%31.25%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 51.65%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.21I 19.19%NM 18.54%EV +4.92%E +0.944%K +1.17%G +0.057%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.81%EV -6.28%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-26 20:10
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.00%EV -8.82%E -4.93%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.25%EV +4.72%E +0.907%K +1.12%G +0.053%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.54%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 20:09
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.00%EV -8.82%E -4.93%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.25%EV +4.72%E +0.907%K +1.12%G +0.053%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.54%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 20:09
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 53.65%EV -10.35%E -5.88%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.16%EV +4.72%E +0.907%K +1.12%G +0.053%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.19%EV -3.10%E -0.924%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -10.35%E -5.88%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.29%EV +2.70%E +0.530%K +0.659%G +0.018%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.99%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 20:10
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.07%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV +0.689%E +0.138%K +0.172%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -4.54%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 19:49
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.33%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV +0.689%E +0.138%K +0.172%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 13:30
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.33%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV +0.689%E +0.138%K +0.172%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 13:30
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 51.53%EV -8.32%E -4.62%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV +0.689%E +0.138%K +0.172%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-26 19:50
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.91%EV -12.39%E -7.20%K -17.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV +0.689%E +0.138%K +0.172%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -8.88%E -2.82%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-26 20:09
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.91%EV -12.39%E -7.20%K -17.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV +0.689%E +0.138%K +0.172%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -8.88%E -2.82%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-26 20:09
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.82%EV -8.32%E -4.62%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -1.32%E -0.270%K -0.340%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 19:49
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.02%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.25%EV -2.33%E -0.481%K -0.606%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.73%EV -9.17%E -2.92%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 20:00
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.74%EV -3.34%E -0.695%K -0.879%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.60%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 19:35
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -8.32%E -4.62%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -4.35%E -0.915%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-26 19:49
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -7.37%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.99%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 20:01
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -7.37%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.99%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 20:04
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -9.38%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -4.54%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 19:40
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -9.38%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-26 19:44
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -9.38%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 19:39
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -10.86%E -6.21%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -9.38%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-26 19:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -11.39%E -2.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -4.54%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 19:35
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -11.39%E -2.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -5.99%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 19:35
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -11.39%E -2.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.54%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 19:40
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 50.94%EV -8.32%E -4.62%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -11.39%E -2.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -5.99%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 19:55
NetBet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.05%EV -13.41%E -7.89%K -19.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.72%EV -11.39%E -2.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.22%EV -14.09%E -4.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%15.2%2026-02-26 20:09
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 50.05%EV -2.20%E -1.15%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.09%EV -12.40%E -2.85%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.86%EV -0.204%E -0.059%K -0.083%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 20:10
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.95%EV -4.24%E -2.26%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -12.40%E -2.85%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.54%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 19:55
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.95%EV -4.24%E -2.26%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -12.40%E -2.85%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.54%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 19:54
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.31%EV -10.86%E -6.21%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.34%EV -12.80%E -2.96%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.35%EV -13.22%E -4.41%K -6.61%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-26 19:49
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 49.52%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -13.41%E -3.12%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-26 20:00
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.76%EV -9.33%E -5.24%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -13.41%E -3.12%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-26 19:55
PMU (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 51.10%EV -16.47%E -10.04%K -25.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.49%EV -13.41%E -3.12%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.41%EV -17.56%E -6.16%K -9.49%G +0.000%19.3%2026-02-26 19:49
Betclic (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.69%EV -10.35%E -5.88%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.99%EV -14.41%E -3.39%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.32%EV -8.88%E -2.82%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-26 19:48
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -8.32%E -4.62%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -15.42%E -3.67%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -4.54%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-26 19:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -10.86%E -6.21%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.03%EV -15.42%E -3.67%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.2%2026-02-26 19:49
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.32%EV -11.37%E -6.54%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.89%EV -19.45%E -4.86%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -8.88%E -2.82%K -4.13%G +0.000%14.2%2026-02-26 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.18%EV -11.88%E -6.87%K -16.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.27%EV -19.45%E -4.86%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.54%EV -16.69%E -5.80%K -8.88%G +0.000%17.5%2026-02-26 20:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.67%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-02-26 20:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.67%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-02-26 20:10
Matchbook1.91I 52.36%NM 51.84%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.12%1.0%2026-02-26 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.48%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%1.2%2026-02-26 20:09
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.55%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.21%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.24%2.1%2026-02-26 19:50