L’École des cotes

Racing Club v Independiente Rivadavia

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-26 20:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Racing Club (Local)

Prévision 50.94%1.96cote équitable
EV -2.20%
Avantage -1.15%
Kelly -2.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.18%51.03%50.74%53.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.641.801.801.9260.98%55.48%55.56%52.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Independiente Rivadavia (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.14%4.97cote équitable
EV +4.92%
Avantage +0.944%
Kelly +1.17%
Croissance +0.057%

avec la cote maximale 5.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.16%20.08%20.37%22.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.614.505.2125.00%21.67%22.22%19.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.93%3.46cote équitable
EV -0.204%
Avantage -0.059%
Kelly -0.083%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.63%28.88%28.89%29.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.853.203.203.4535.09%31.29%31.25%28.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 51.65%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.21I 19.19%NM 18.54%EV +4.92%E +0.944%K +1.17%G +0.057%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.81%EV -6.28%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-26 20:10
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.00%EV -8.82%E -4.93%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.25%EV +4.72%E +0.907%K +1.12%G +0.053%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.54%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 20:09
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.00%EV -8.82%E -4.93%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.25%EV +4.72%E +0.907%K +1.12%G +0.053%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.54%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 20:09
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 53.65%EV -10.35%E -5.88%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.16%EV +4.72%E +0.907%K +1.12%G +0.053%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.19%EV -3.10%E -0.924%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -10.35%E -5.88%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.29%EV +2.70%E +0.530%K +0.659%G +0.018%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.99%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 20:10
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.07%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV +0.689%E +0.138%K +0.172%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -4.54%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 19:49
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.33%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV +0.689%E +0.138%K +0.172%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 13:30
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.33%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV +0.689%E +0.138%K +0.172%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 13:30
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 51.53%EV -8.32%E -4.62%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV +0.689%E +0.138%K +0.172%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-26 19:50
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.91%EV -12.39%E -7.20%K -17.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV +0.689%E +0.138%K +0.172%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -8.88%E -2.82%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-26 20:09
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.91%EV -12.39%E -7.20%K -17.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV +0.689%E +0.138%K +0.172%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -8.88%E -2.82%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-26 20:09
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.82%EV -8.32%E -4.62%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -1.32%E -0.270%K -0.340%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 19:49
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.02%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.25%EV -2.33%E -0.481%K -0.606%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.73%EV -9.17%E -2.92%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 20:00
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.74%EV -3.34%E -0.695%K -0.879%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.60%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 19:35
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -8.32%E -4.62%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -4.35%E -0.915%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-26 19:49
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -7.37%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.99%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 20:01
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -7.37%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.99%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 20:04
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -9.38%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -4.54%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 19:40
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -9.38%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-26 19:44
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -9.38%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 19:39
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -10.86%E -6.21%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -9.38%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-26 19:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -11.39%E -2.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -4.54%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 19:35
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -11.39%E -2.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -5.99%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 19:35
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -11.39%E -2.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.54%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 19:40
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 50.94%EV -8.32%E -4.62%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -11.39%E -2.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -5.99%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 19:55
NetBet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.05%EV -13.41%E -7.89%K -19.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.72%EV -11.39%E -2.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.22%EV -14.09%E -4.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%15.2%2026-02-26 20:09
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 50.05%EV -2.20%E -1.15%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.09%EV -12.40%E -2.85%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.86%EV -0.204%E -0.059%K -0.083%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 20:10
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.95%EV -4.24%E -2.26%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -12.40%E -2.85%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.54%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 19:55
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.95%EV -4.24%E -2.26%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -12.40%E -2.85%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.54%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 19:54
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.31%EV -10.86%E -6.21%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.34%EV -12.80%E -2.96%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.35%EV -13.22%E -4.41%K -6.61%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-26 19:49
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 49.52%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -13.41%E -3.12%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-26 20:00
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.76%EV -9.33%E -5.24%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -13.41%E -3.12%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-26 19:55
PMU (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 51.10%EV -16.47%E -10.04%K -25.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.49%EV -13.41%E -3.12%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.41%EV -17.56%E -6.16%K -9.49%G +0.000%19.3%2026-02-26 19:49
Betclic (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.69%EV -10.35%E -5.88%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.99%EV -14.41%E -3.39%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.32%EV -8.88%E -2.82%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-26 19:48
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -8.32%E -4.62%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -15.42%E -3.67%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -4.54%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-26 19:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -10.86%E -6.21%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.03%EV -15.42%E -3.67%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.2%2026-02-26 19:49
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.32%EV -11.37%E -6.54%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.89%EV -19.45%E -4.86%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -8.88%E -2.82%K -4.13%G +0.000%14.2%2026-02-26 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.18%EV -11.88%E -6.87%K -16.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.27%EV -19.45%E -4.86%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.54%EV -16.69%E -5.80%K -8.88%G +0.000%17.5%2026-02-26 20:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.67%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-02-26 20:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.67%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-02-26 20:10
Matchbook1.91I 52.36%NM 51.84%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.12%1.0%2026-02-26 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.48%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%1.2%2026-02-26 20:09
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.55%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.21%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.24%2.1%2026-02-26 19:50