The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Racing Club v Banfield

2026-08-14 23:30 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Racing Club (Local)

Prediction 57.56%1.74fair odd
EV -5.61%
Edge -3.42%
Kelly -8.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.93%57.56%57.56%57.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.611.621.6463.69%61.98%61.73%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Banfield (Visit)

Prediction 15.80%6.33fair odd
EV +0.511%
Edge +0.080%
Kelly +0.095%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.94%15.80%15.80%17.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.785.906.3620.00%17.31%16.95%15.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.64%3.75fair odd
EV -6.76%
Edge -1.93%
Kelly -2.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.64%26.64%26.64%27.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.393.483.5032.26%29.48%28.78%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Racing Club (Local): 57.56%; Banfield (Visit): 15.80%; Draw: 26.64%. For Banfield (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.33. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.36, producing a positive expected value of +0.511%.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.92%EV -5.61%E -3.42%K -8.76%G +0.000%6.36I 15.72%NM 14.94%EV +0.511%E +0.080%K +0.095%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 07:34
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -5.18%E -0.863%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -8.09%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-03 10:54
SportsBet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.41%EV -6.18%E -3.79%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -6.76%E -1.15%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 07:32
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -6.76%E -1.15%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 10:39
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 56.31%EV -7.91%E -4.94%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38%EV -13.08%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-03 07:33
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 54.93%EV -9.64%E -6.14%K -16.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.25%EV -20.98%E -4.20%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -17.42%E -5.62%K -8.29%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-03 07:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-03 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-03 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-03 10:40