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Racing Club v Banfield
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Racing Club (Local)
Predicción 58.08%1.72momio equitativo
EV -4.17%
Ventaja -2.52%
Kelly -6.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.11%58.06%58.06%60.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.501.591.601.6566.67%62.83%62.50%60.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Banfield (Visitante)
Predicción 16.23%6.16momio equitativo
EV +11.86%
Ventaja +1.72%
Kelly +2.01%
Crecimiento +0.239%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.89
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.93%16.31%16.18%17.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.005.675.706.8920.00%17.63%17.54%14.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.68%3.89momio equitativo
EV -2.40%
Ventaja -0.631%
Kelly -0.857%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.64%25.63%25.76%26.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.383.603.603.8029.59%27.78%27.78%26.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Racing Club (Local): 58.08%; Banfield (Visitante): 16.23%; Empate: 25.68%. Para Banfield (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.16. 6 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.89, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +11.86%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -7.65%E -4.81%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 6.89I 14.51%NM 13.93%EV +11.86%E +1.72%K +2.01%G +0.239% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.72%EV -4.20%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 23:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.88%EV -7.07%E -4.42%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.95%EV +2.28%E +0.361%K +0.430%G +0.010% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 23:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.33%E -3.27%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 6.27I 15.95%NM 15.35%EV +1.79%E +0.285%K +0.340%G +0.006% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.60%EV -3.43%E -0.911%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-14 23:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.69%EV -4.17%E -2.52%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.49%EV +1.47%E +0.234%K +0.279%G +0.004% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.82%EV -3.68%E -0.982%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-14 23:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.69%EV -4.17%E -2.52%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.49%EV +1.47%E +0.234%K +0.279%G +0.004% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.82%EV -3.68%E -0.982%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-14 23:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.86%EV -4.75%E -2.89%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 6.24I 16.03%NM 15.47%EV +1.30%E +0.209%K +0.249%G +0.003% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.67%EV -3.43%E -0.911%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-14 23:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.06%EV -7.07%E -4.42%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -2.59%E -0.432%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -3.68%E -0.982%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 23:22 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.99%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.92%EV -4.22%E -0.715%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 23:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.29%EV -7.07%E -4.42%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -4.22%E -0.715%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 23:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV -5.84%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -6.25%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 23:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV -5.84%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -6.25%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 23:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.69%EV -7.65%E -4.81%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -5.84%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 23:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.15%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.38%EV -6.65%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 23:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.75%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -6.65%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 23:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.05%EV -7.07%E -4.42%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -6.65%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-14 23:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -7.07%E -4.42%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -6.65%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -8.82%E -2.48%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 23:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.93%EV -8.23%E -5.21%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -6.65%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-14 23:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.66%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.39%EV -7.46%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 23:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.53%EV -12.88%E -8.59%K -25.76%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.67%EV -7.46%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-14 23:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.40%EV -7.07%E -4.42%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -9.09%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -3.68%E -0.982%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 23:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -7.07%E -4.42%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -9.09%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -8.82%E -2.48%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-14 23:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -6.49%E -4.03%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -10.71%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -2.40%E -0.631%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-14 23:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -6.49%E -4.03%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -10.71%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -2.40%E -0.631%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-14 23:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.18%EV -7.65%E -4.81%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -10.71%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 23:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -10.71%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-14 23:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.07%E -4.42%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.71%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-14 23:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.08%EV -8.23%E -5.21%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -10.71%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-14 23:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.02%EV -11.72%E -7.71%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.04%EV -10.71%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-14 23:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.46%EV -9.39%E -6.02%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -12.33%E -2.28%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-14 23:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.39%EV -10.55%E -6.85%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.97%EV -13.96%E -2.63%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -6.25%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-14 23:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.36%EV -10.55%E -6.85%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.67%EV -13.96%E -2.63%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-14 23:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.36%EV -10.55%E -6.85%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.67%EV -13.96%E -2.63%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-14 23:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.42%EV -11.14%E -7.28%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.74%EV -14.77%E -2.81%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.84%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-14 23:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 56.11%EV -7.65%E -4.81%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.49%EV -17.20%E -3.37%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 26.40%EV -13.19%E -3.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-14 23:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.81%E -5.61%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -18.83%E -3.77%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-14 23:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.81%E -5.61%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -18.83%E -3.77%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-14 23:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -8.81%E -5.61%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -18.83%E -3.77%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-14 23:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.48% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.48% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.48% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 23:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.43% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62% | 1.4% | 2026-08-14 23:25 |