Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Racing Club v Banfield

Início: 2026-08-14 23:30 UTC

Final: Racing Club 0–1 Banfield

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

37 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Racing Club (Local)

Previsão 58.08%1.72odd justa
EV -4.17%
Vantagem -2.52%
Kelly -6.41%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.11%58.06%58.06%60.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.501.591.601.6566.67%62.83%62.50%60.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Banfield (Visitante)

Previsão 16.23%6.16odd justa
EV +11.86%
Vantagem +1.72%
Kelly +2.01%
Crescimento +0.239%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.89

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.93%16.31%16.18%17.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.005.675.706.8920.00%17.63%17.54%14.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.68%3.89odd justa
EV -2.40%
Vantagem -0.631%
Kelly -0.857%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.64%25.63%25.76%26.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.383.603.603.8029.59%27.78%27.78%26.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Racing Club (Local): 58.08%; Banfield (Visitante): 16.23%; Empate: 25.68%. Para Banfield (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.16. 6 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.89, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +11.86%.

Odds das casas de apostas (37 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -7.65%E -4.81%K -12.97%G +0.000%6.89I 14.51%NM 13.93%EV +11.86%E +1.72%K +2.01%G +0.239%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.72%EV -4.20%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 23:24
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.88%EV -7.07%E -4.42%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.95%EV +2.28%E +0.361%K +0.430%G +0.010%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 23:24
BetAnything🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.33%E -3.27%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.27I 15.95%NM 15.35%EV +1.79%E +0.285%K +0.340%G +0.006%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.60%EV -3.43%E -0.911%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 23:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.69%EV -4.17%E -2.52%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.49%EV +1.47%E +0.234%K +0.279%G +0.004%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.82%EV -3.68%E -0.982%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-14 23:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.69%EV -4.17%E -2.52%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.49%EV +1.47%E +0.234%K +0.279%G +0.004%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.82%EV -3.68%E -0.982%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-14 23:14
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.86%EV -4.75%E -2.89%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.24I 16.03%NM 15.47%EV +1.30%E +0.209%K +0.249%G +0.003%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.67%EV -3.43%E -0.911%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-14 23:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.06%EV -7.07%E -4.42%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -2.59%E -0.432%K -0.519%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -3.68%E -0.982%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 23:22
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.99%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.92%EV -4.22%E -0.715%K -0.861%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 23:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.29%EV -7.07%E -4.42%K -11.78%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -4.22%E -0.715%K -0.861%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 23:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV -5.84%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -6.25%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 23:24
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV -5.84%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -6.25%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 23:19
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.69%EV -7.65%E -4.81%K -12.97%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -5.84%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 23:05
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.15%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.38%EV -6.65%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 23:09
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.75%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -6.65%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 23:00
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.05%EV -7.07%E -4.42%K -11.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -6.65%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-14 23:25
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -7.07%E -4.42%K -11.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -6.65%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -8.82%E -2.48%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 23:24
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.93%EV -8.23%E -5.21%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -6.65%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-14 23:24
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.66%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.39%EV -7.46%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.53%EV -12.88%E -8.59%K -25.76%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.67%EV -7.46%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-14 23:24
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.40%EV -7.07%E -4.42%K -11.78%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -9.09%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -3.68%E -0.982%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 23:25
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -7.07%E -4.42%K -11.78%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -9.09%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -8.82%E -2.48%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 23:24
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -6.49%E -4.03%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -10.71%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -2.40%E -0.631%K -0.857%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 23:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -6.49%E -4.03%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -10.71%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -2.40%E -0.631%K -0.857%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 23:24
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.18%EV -7.65%E -4.81%K -12.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -10.71%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 23:25
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -10.71%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 23:05
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.07%E -4.42%K -11.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.71%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-14 23:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.08%EV -8.23%E -5.21%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -10.71%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-14 23:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.02%EV -11.72%E -7.71%K -22.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.04%EV -10.71%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-14 23:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.46%EV -9.39%E -6.02%K -16.77%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -12.33%E -2.28%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-14 23:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.39%EV -10.55%E -6.85%K -19.55%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.97%EV -13.96%E -2.63%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -6.25%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-14 23:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.36%EV -10.55%E -6.85%K -19.55%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.67%EV -13.96%E -2.63%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-14 23:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.36%EV -10.55%E -6.85%K -19.55%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.67%EV -13.96%E -2.63%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-14 23:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.42%EV -11.14%E -7.28%K -21.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.74%EV -14.77%E -2.81%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.84%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-14 23:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 56.11%EV -7.65%E -4.81%K -12.97%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.49%EV -17.20%E -3.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.40%EV -13.19%E -3.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-14 23:25
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.81%E -5.61%K -15.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -18.83%E -3.77%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-14 23:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.81%E -5.61%K -15.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -18.83%E -3.77%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-14 23:19
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -8.81%E -5.61%K -15.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -18.83%E -3.77%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-14 23:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.48%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%0.7%2026-08-14 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.48%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%0.7%2026-08-14 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.48%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%0.7%2026-08-14 23:25
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.43%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62%1.4%2026-08-14 23:25