Language:English
Platense v San Lorenzo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Platense (Local)
Prediction 38.87%2.57fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -0.970%
Kelly -1.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.22%38.95%38.89%40.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.372.402.5146.51%42.16%41.67%39.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
San Lorenzo (Visit)
Prediction 27.94%3.58fair odd
EV -3.61%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.47%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.03%27.91%28.01%28.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.283.303.4533.33%30.44%30.30%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 33.19%3.01fair odd
EV -3.75%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -1.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.24%33.14%33.10%34.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.792.802.9040.00%35.88%35.71%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Platense (Local): 38.87%; San Lorenzo (Visit): 27.94%; Draw: 33.19%. For Platense (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.57. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.51, with an expected value of -2.43%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.38%EV -2.43%E -0.970%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.17%EV -4.45%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.45%EV -4.41%E -1.53%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-24 00:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40%EV -3.60%E -1.45%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.18%EV -5.56%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.42%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 22:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40%EV -3.60%E -1.45%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.18%EV -5.56%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.42%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 22:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.77%E -1.95%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -6.40%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-24 00:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.30%EV -4.77%E -1.95%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.27%EV -6.41%E -2.27%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 03:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.30%EV -4.77%E -1.95%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.27%EV -6.41%E -2.27%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 03:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -4.77%E -1.95%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.11%EV -6.96%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.68%EV -7.73%E -2.78%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 22:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.95%EV -5.54%E -2.28%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.21%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-24 03:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.95%EV -5.54%E -2.28%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.21%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.37%EV -5.54%E -2.28%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -7.24%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -7.73%E -2.78%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 22:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -3.75%E -1.29%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 18:13 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -3.75%E -1.29%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 14:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -6.40%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-24 03:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 05:42 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 22:38 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 22:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 22:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-24 00:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.73%E -3.17%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-24 03:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.59%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-24 00:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -7.49%E -3.15%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -3.61%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 17:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -7.49%E -3.15%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -4.41%E -1.53%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 14:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -7.49%E -3.15%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.73%E -3.17%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 15:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.49%E -3.15%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.59%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-24 00:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -8.65%E -3.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 03:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -8.65%E -3.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -11.99%E -3.81%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -8.73%E -3.17%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-24 00:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.00%EV -9.43%E -4.05%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -8.73%E -3.17%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-24 03:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.00%EV -9.43%E -4.05%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -8.73%E -3.17%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.70%EV -9.82%E -4.23%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.59%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.25%EV -10.39%E -3.85%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-24 03:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.60%E -4.61%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.73%E -3.17%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-23 05:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.60%E -4.61%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -13.39%E -4.32%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -10.39%E -3.85%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-22 17:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -10.60%E -4.61%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -16.18%E -5.39%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -17.03%E -6.81%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-04-24 00:36 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -12.54%E -5.57%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.59%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -8.73%E -3.17%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-23 08:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -12.54%E -5.57%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -13.39%E -4.32%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.23%EV -13.04%E -4.98%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-23 22:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.23%EV -13.71%E -6.17%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 32.71%EV -9.39%E -3.44%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 08:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -14.48%E -6.58%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -8.73%E -3.17%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-24 00:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.74%EV -16.43%E -7.64%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.01%EV -14.78%E -4.85%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.24%EV -12.05%E -4.55%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-04-23 08:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.98% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.78% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.24% | 2.8% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.89% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.71% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.40% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.89% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.71% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.40% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.07% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.29% | 3.4% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.07% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.29% | 3.4% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.23% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.01% | 5.9% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |