A Escola das Odds

Platense v San Lorenzo

Início: 2026-04-25 00:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Platense (Local)

Previsão 38.87%2.57odd justa
EV -2.43%
Vantagem -0.970%
Kelly -1.61%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.51

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.22%38.95%38.89%40.54%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.152.372.402.5146.51%42.16%41.67%39.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

San Lorenzo (Visitante)

Previsão 27.94%3.58odd justa
EV -3.61%
Vantagem -1.05%
Kelly -1.47%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.03%27.91%28.01%28.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.283.303.4533.33%30.44%30.30%28.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 33.19%3.01odd justa
EV -3.75%
Vantagem -1.29%
Kelly -1.97%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.24%33.14%33.10%34.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.792.802.9040.00%35.88%35.71%34.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.51I 39.84%NM 38.38%EV -2.43%E -0.970%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.17%EV -4.45%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.45%EV -4.41%E -1.53%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-24 00:50
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40%EV -3.60%E -1.45%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.18%EV -5.56%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.42%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:29
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40%EV -3.60%E -1.45%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.18%EV -5.56%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.42%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:29
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.77%E -1.95%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -6.40%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 00:34
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.30%EV -4.77%E -1.95%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.27%EV -6.41%E -2.27%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 03:09
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 38.30%EV -4.77%E -1.95%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.27%EV -6.41%E -2.27%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 03:09
1xBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -4.77%E -1.95%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.11%EV -6.96%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.68%EV -7.73%E -2.78%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 22:34
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.95%EV -5.54%E -2.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.21%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 03:04
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.95%EV -5.54%E -2.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.21%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 03:05
Marathon Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.37%EV -5.54%E -2.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -7.24%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -7.73%E -2.78%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 22:25
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -3.75%E -1.29%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 18:13
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -3.75%E -1.29%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 14:39
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -6.40%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-24 03:04
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 05:42
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 22:38
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 22:34
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 12:54
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 22:29
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-24 00:34
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.73%E -3.17%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-24 03:04
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.59%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-24 00:40
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -7.49%E -3.15%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -3.61%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 17:04
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -7.49%E -3.15%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -4.41%E -1.53%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 14:39
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -7.49%E -3.15%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.73%E -3.17%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 15:04
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.49%E -3.15%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.59%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-24 00:40
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -8.65%E -3.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 03:54
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -8.65%E -3.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -11.99%E -3.81%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -8.73%E -3.17%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-24 00:40
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.00%EV -9.43%E -4.05%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -8.73%E -3.17%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-24 03:04
Virgin Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.00%EV -9.43%E -4.05%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -8.73%E -3.17%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-24 03:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 38.70%EV -9.82%E -4.23%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.59%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.25%EV -10.39%E -3.85%K -6.11%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-24 03:04
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.60%E -4.61%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.73%E -3.17%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 05:44
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.60%E -4.61%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -13.39%E -4.32%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -10.39%E -3.85%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-22 17:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -10.60%E -4.61%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -16.18%E -5.39%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -17.03%E -6.81%K -11.35%G +0.000%16.8%2026-04-24 00:36
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -12.54%E -5.57%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.59%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -8.73%E -3.17%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 08:54
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -12.54%E -5.57%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -13.39%E -4.32%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.23%EV -13.04%E -4.98%K -8.05%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-23 22:29
Betclic (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 40.23%EV -13.71%E -6.17%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 32.71%EV -9.39%E -3.44%K -5.43%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 08:54
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -14.48%E -6.58%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -8.73%E -3.17%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-24 00:35
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 39.74%EV -16.43%E -7.64%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.01%EV -14.78%E -4.85%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.24%EV -12.05%E -4.55%K -7.30%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-23 08:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 37.98%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.78%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.24%2.8%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 37.89%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.71%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.40%3.1%2026-04-24 03:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 37.89%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.71%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.40%3.1%2026-04-24 03:35
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.07%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.29%3.4%2026-04-24 03:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.07%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.29%3.4%2026-04-24 01:40
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.23%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.01%5.9%2026-04-24 03:30