La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Platense v San Lorenzo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Platense (Local)
Predicción 38.87%2.57momio equitativo
EV -2.43%
Ventaja -0.970%
Kelly -1.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.22%38.95%38.89%40.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.372.402.5146.51%42.16%41.67%39.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
San Lorenzo (Visitante)
Predicción 27.94%3.58momio equitativo
EV -3.61%
Ventaja -1.05%
Kelly -1.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.03%27.91%28.01%28.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.283.303.4533.33%30.44%30.30%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 33.19%3.01momio equitativo
EV -3.75%
Ventaja -1.29%
Kelly -1.97%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.24%33.14%33.10%34.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.792.802.9040.00%35.88%35.71%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.38%EV -2.43%E -0.970%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.17%EV -4.45%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.45%EV -4.41%E -1.53%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-24 00:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40%EV -3.60%E -1.45%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.18%EV -5.56%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.42%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 22:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40%EV -3.60%E -1.45%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.18%EV -5.56%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.42%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 22:29 |
| DraftKings | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.77%E -1.95%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -6.40%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-24 00:34 |
| NordicBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.30%EV -4.77%E -1.95%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.27%EV -6.41%E -2.27%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 03:09 |
| Betsson | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.30%EV -4.77%E -1.95%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.27%EV -6.41%E -2.27%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 03:09 |
| 1xBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -4.77%E -1.95%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.11%EV -6.96%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.68%EV -7.73%E -2.78%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 22:34 |
| Unibet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.95%EV -5.54%E -2.28%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.21%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-24 03:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.95%EV -5.54%E -2.28%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.21%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.37%EV -5.54%E -2.28%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -7.24%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -7.73%E -2.78%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 22:25 |
| Fanatics | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -3.75%E -1.29%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 18:13 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -3.75%E -1.29%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 14:39 |
| BetRivers | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -6.40%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-24 03:04 |
| FanDuel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 05:42 |
| Bovada | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 22:38 |
| BetAnything | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 22:34 |
| SportsBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 22:29 |
| PlayUp | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-24 00:34 |
| Everygame | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.73%E -3.17%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-24 03:04 |
| Bet Right | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.59%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-24 00:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -7.49%E -3.15%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -3.61%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 17:04 |
| BetMGM | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -7.49%E -3.15%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -4.41%E -1.53%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 14:39 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -7.49%E -3.15%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.73%E -3.17%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 15:04 |
| betfred_uk | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.49%E -3.15%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.59%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-24 00:40 |
| theScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -8.65%E -3.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.07%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 03:54 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -8.65%E -3.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -11.99%E -3.81%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -8.73%E -3.17%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-24 00:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.00%EV -9.43%E -4.05%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -8.73%E -3.17%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-24 03:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.00%EV -9.43%E -4.05%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -8.73%E -3.17%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.70%EV -9.82%E -4.23%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.59%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.25%EV -10.39%E -3.85%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-24 03:04 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.60%E -4.61%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.73%E -3.17%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-23 05:44 |
| Sky Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.60%E -4.61%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -13.39%E -4.32%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -10.39%E -3.85%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-22 17:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -10.60%E -4.61%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -16.18%E -5.39%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -17.03%E -6.81%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-04-24 00:36 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -12.54%E -5.57%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.59%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -8.73%E -3.17%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-23 08:54 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -12.54%E -5.57%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -13.39%E -4.32%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.23%EV -13.04%E -4.98%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-23 22:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.23%EV -13.71%E -6.17%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 32.71%EV -9.39%E -3.44%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 08:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -14.48%E -6.58%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -8.73%E -3.17%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-24 00:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.74%EV -16.43%E -7.64%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.01%EV -14.78%E -4.85%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.24%EV -12.05%E -4.55%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-04-23 08:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.98% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.78% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.24% | 2.8% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.89% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.71% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.40% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.89% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.71% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.40% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Smarkets | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.07% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.29% | 3.4% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.07% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.29% | 3.4% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| Kalshi | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.23% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.01% | 5.9% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |