Language:English
Platense v Estudiantes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Platense (Local)
Prediction 32.71%3.06fair odd
EV +3.04%
Edge +0.964%
Kelly +1.41%
Growth +0.043%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.82%32.57%32.62%33.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.872.853.1537.74%34.88%35.09%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Estudiantes (Visit)
Prediction 32.98%3.03fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.467%
Kelly -0.702%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.99
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.92%33.16%33.00%37.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.752.792.9940.82%36.42%35.78%33.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 34.31%2.91fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.410%
Kelly -0.628%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.88%34.27%34.38%35.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.702.702.8840.00%37.01%37.04%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Platense (Local): 32.71%; Estudiantes (Visit): 32.98%; Draw: 34.31%. For Platense (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.06. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.04%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV +3.04%E +0.964%K +1.41%G +0.043% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -15.91%E -6.24%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -2.21%E -0.775%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 00:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV +1.40%E +0.452%K +0.667%G +0.009% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -14.26%E -5.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.93%EV -1.18%E -0.410%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV +1.40%E +0.452%K +0.667%G +0.009% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -14.26%E -5.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.93%EV -1.18%E -0.410%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -0.235%E -0.077%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -19.20%E -7.84%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 00:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.25%EV -3.51%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.25%EV -2.72%E -0.920%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.50%EV -8.04%E -3.00%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.25%EV -3.51%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.25%EV -2.72%E -0.920%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.50%EV -8.04%E -3.00%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -3.51%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -6.01%E -2.11%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -9.07%E -3.42%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 00:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -3.51%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -17.56%E -7.02%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -3.51%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.46%EV -18.21%E -7.34%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.81%EV -4.16%E -1.42%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.41%EV -7.99%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.78%EV -8.04%E -3.00%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 00:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -5.14%E -1.77%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -6.01%E -2.11%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -5.14%E -1.77%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -7.66%E -2.74%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -5.14%E -1.77%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.66%E -2.74%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -7.36%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 00:08 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -5.14%E -1.77%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.66%E -2.74%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -7.36%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -5.80%E -2.01%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -9.31%E -3.39%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -7.36%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-03 00:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -5.80%E -2.01%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -13.60%E -5.19%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-03 00:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.25%EV -6.12%E -2.13%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.92%EV -1.40%E -0.467%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.83%EV -5.98%E -2.18%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.05%EV -6.12%E -2.13%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -7.66%E -2.74%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.10%EV -10.10%E -3.86%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-03 00:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -2.72%E -0.920%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -7.36%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -2.72%E -0.920%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -7.36%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -4.36%E -1.50%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -7.36%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 00:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -6.01%E -2.11%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -7.36%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.95%EV -7.43%E -2.63%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.26%EV -4.69%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.79%EV -8.04%E -3.00%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -8.41%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -2.72%E -0.920%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.40%EV -8.41%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.59%EV -5.35%E -1.87%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 00:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.41%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -6.01%E -2.11%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.93%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 00:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.41%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -4.36%E -1.50%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -9.07%E -3.42%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.41%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -10.96%E -4.06%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -8.41%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -12.61%E -4.76%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -7.36%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -8.41%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -9.31%E -3.39%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.79%EV -10.79%E -4.15%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-03 00:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -8.41%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -14.26%E -5.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.72%EV -9.07%E -3.42%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-03 00:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%EV -8.41%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.57%EV -17.56%E -7.02%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.57%EV -14.22%E -5.69%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-05-03 00:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -10.05%E -3.65%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.66%E -2.74%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -10.05%E -3.65%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.74%EV -10.96%E -4.06%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -10.05%E -3.65%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.66%EV -10.96%E -4.06%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -14.22%E -5.69%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-03 00:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.55%EV -10.05%E -3.65%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 34.43%EV -16.90%E -6.70%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.02%EV -12.50%E -4.90%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-05-03 00:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.50%EV -11.68%E -4.33%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 34.14%EV -15.25%E -5.93%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.36%EV -9.76%E -3.71%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-03 00:03 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -13.32%E -5.03%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.76%EV -14.26%E -5.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -9.07%E -3.42%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.26% | 1.3% | 2026-05-03 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.25% | 1.3% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.25% | 1.3% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.73% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.07% | 1.8% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.35% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.29% | 2.0% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.62% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.41% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.97% | 2.9% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |