L’École des cotes

Platense v Estudiantes

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-03 00:15 UTC

Score final : Platense 0–2 Estudiantes

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Platense (Local)

Prévision 32.71%3.06cote équitable
EV +3.04%
Avantage +0.964%
Kelly +1.41%
Croissance +0.043%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.82%32.57%32.62%33.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.652.872.853.1537.74%34.88%35.09%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Estudiantes (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.98%3.03cote équitable
EV -1.40%
Avantage -0.467%
Kelly -0.702%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.99

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.92%33.16%33.00%37.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.752.792.9940.82%36.42%35.78%33.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 34.31%2.91cote équitable
EV -1.18%
Avantage -0.410%
Kelly -0.628%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.88%34.27%34.38%35.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.702.702.8840.00%37.01%37.04%34.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV +3.04%E +0.964%K +1.41%G +0.043%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -15.91%E -6.24%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -2.21%E -0.775%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 00:01
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV +1.40%E +0.452%K +0.667%G +0.009%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -14.26%E -5.48%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.93%EV -1.18%E -0.410%K -0.628%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 00:10
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV +1.40%E +0.452%K +0.667%G +0.009%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -14.26%E -5.48%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.93%EV -1.18%E -0.410%K -0.628%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 00:10
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -0.235%E -0.077%K -0.115%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -19.20%E -7.84%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 00:09
LowVig.ag2.95I 33.90%NM 32.25%EV -3.51%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.25%EV -2.72%E -0.920%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.50%EV -8.04%E -3.00%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 00:10
BetOnline.ag2.95I 33.90%NM 32.25%EV -3.51%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.25%EV -2.72%E -0.920%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.50%EV -8.04%E -3.00%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 00:10
FanDuel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -3.51%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -6.01%E -2.11%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -9.07%E -3.42%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 00:04
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -3.51%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -17.56%E -7.02%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-03 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -3.51%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.46%EV -18.21%E -7.34%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 00:10
1xBet2.93I 34.13%NM 31.81%EV -4.16%E -1.42%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.41%EV -7.99%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.78%EV -8.04%E -3.00%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 00:09
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -5.14%E -1.77%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -6.01%E -2.11%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 00:10
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -5.14%E -1.77%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -7.66%E -2.74%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 00:10
Bovada2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -5.14%E -1.77%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.66%E -2.74%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -7.36%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 00:08
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -5.14%E -1.77%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.66%E -2.74%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -7.36%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 00:10
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -5.80%E -2.01%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -9.31%E -3.39%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -7.36%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 00:00
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -5.80%E -2.01%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -13.60%E -5.19%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-03 00:05
Pinnacle2.87I 34.84%NM 33.25%EV -6.12%E -2.13%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.92%EV -1.40%E -0.467%K -0.702%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.83%EV -5.98%E -2.18%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 00:10
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 32.05%EV -6.12%E -2.13%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -7.66%E -2.74%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.10%EV -10.10%E -3.86%K -6.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 00:05
Betsson2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -2.72%E -0.920%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -7.36%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 00:10
NordicBet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -2.72%E -0.920%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -7.36%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 00:10
Everygame2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -4.36%E -1.50%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -7.36%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 00:09
BetAnything2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -6.01%E -2.11%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -7.36%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 00:10
Marathon Bet2.83I 35.34%NM 32.95%EV -7.43%E -2.63%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.26%EV -4.69%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.79%EV -8.04%E -3.00%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 00:10
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -8.41%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -2.72%E -0.920%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.40%EV -8.41%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.59%EV -5.35%E -1.87%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 00:05
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.41%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -6.01%E -2.11%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.93%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 00:05
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.41%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -4.36%E -1.50%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -9.07%E -3.42%K -5.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 00:10
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.41%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -10.96%E -4.06%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 00:10
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -8.41%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -12.61%E -4.76%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -7.36%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-03 00:10
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -8.41%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -9.31%E -3.39%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.79%EV -10.79%E -4.15%K -6.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-03 00:05
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -8.41%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -14.26%E -5.48%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.72%EV -9.07%E -3.42%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 00:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%EV -8.41%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.57%EV -17.56%E -7.02%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.57%EV -14.22%E -5.69%K -9.48%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-03 00:00
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -10.05%E -3.65%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.66%E -2.74%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 00:10
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -10.05%E -3.65%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.74%EV -10.96%E -4.06%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 00:10
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -10.05%E -3.65%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.66%EV -10.96%E -4.06%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -14.22%E -5.69%K -9.48%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-03 00:05
NetBet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.55%EV -10.05%E -3.65%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.43%EV -16.90%E -6.70%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.02%EV -12.50%E -4.90%K -8.07%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-03 00:05
Betclic (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.50%EV -11.68%E -4.33%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 34.14%EV -15.25%E -5.93%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.36%EV -9.76%E -3.71%K -5.99%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-03 00:03
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -13.32%E -5.03%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.76%EV -14.26%E -5.48%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -9.07%E -3.42%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-03 00:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.26%1.3%2026-05-03 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.25%1.3%2026-05-03 00:10
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.25%1.3%2026-05-03 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.73%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.07%1.8%2026-05-03 00:10
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.35%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.29%2.0%2026-05-03 00:10
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 32.62%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.41%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.97%2.9%2026-05-03 00:10