La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Platense v Estudiantes
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Platense (Local)
Predicción 32.71%3.06momio equitativo
EV +3.04%
Ventaja +0.964%
Kelly +1.41%
Crecimiento +0.043%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.82%32.57%32.62%33.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.652.872.853.1537.74%34.88%35.09%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Estudiantes (Visitante)
Predicción 32.98%3.03momio equitativo
EV -1.40%
Ventaja -0.467%
Kelly -0.702%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.99
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.92%33.16%33.00%37.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.752.792.9940.82%36.42%35.78%33.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 34.31%2.91momio equitativo
EV -1.18%
Ventaja -0.410%
Kelly -0.628%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.88%34.27%34.38%35.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.702.702.8840.00%37.01%37.04%34.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV +3.04%E +0.964%K +1.41%G +0.043% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -15.91%E -6.24%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -2.21%E -0.775%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 00:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV +1.40%E +0.452%K +0.667%G +0.009% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -14.26%E -5.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.93%EV -1.18%E -0.410%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Unibet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV +1.40%E +0.452%K +0.667%G +0.009% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -14.26%E -5.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.93%EV -1.18%E -0.410%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -0.235%E -0.077%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -19.20%E -7.84%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 00:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.25%EV -3.51%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.25%EV -2.72%E -0.920%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.50%EV -8.04%E -3.00%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.25%EV -3.51%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.25%EV -2.72%E -0.920%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.50%EV -8.04%E -3.00%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| FanDuel | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -3.51%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -6.01%E -2.11%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -9.07%E -3.42%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 00:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -3.51%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -17.56%E -7.02%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -3.51%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.46%EV -18.21%E -7.34%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| 1xBet | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.81%EV -4.16%E -1.42%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.41%EV -7.99%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.78%EV -8.04%E -3.00%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 00:09 |
| Fanatics | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -5.14%E -1.77%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -6.01%E -2.11%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -5.14%E -1.77%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -7.66%E -2.74%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Bovada | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -5.14%E -1.77%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.66%E -2.74%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -7.36%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 00:08 |
| theScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -5.14%E -1.77%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.66%E -2.74%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -7.36%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Betway | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -5.80%E -2.01%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -9.31%E -3.39%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -7.36%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-03 00:00 |
| betfred_uk | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -5.80%E -2.01%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -13.60%E -5.19%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-03 00:05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.25%EV -6.12%E -2.13%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.92%EV -1.40%E -0.467%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.83%EV -5.98%E -2.18%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.05%EV -6.12%E -2.13%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -7.66%E -2.74%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.10%EV -10.10%E -3.86%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-03 00:05 |
| Betsson | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -2.72%E -0.920%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -7.36%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| NordicBet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -2.72%E -0.920%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -7.36%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Everygame | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -4.36%E -1.50%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -7.36%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 00:09 |
| BetAnything | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -6.01%E -2.11%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -7.36%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.95%EV -7.43%E -2.63%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.26%EV -4.69%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.79%EV -8.04%E -3.00%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| DraftKings | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -8.41%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -2.72%E -0.920%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.40%EV -8.41%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.59%EV -5.35%E -1.87%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 00:05 |
| BetMGM | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.41%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -6.01%E -2.11%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.93%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 00:05 |
| PlayUp | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.41%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -4.36%E -1.50%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -9.07%E -3.42%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Bet Right | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.41%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -10.96%E -4.06%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -8.41%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -12.61%E -4.76%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -7.36%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -8.41%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -9.31%E -3.39%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.79%EV -10.79%E -4.15%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-03 00:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -8.41%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -14.26%E -5.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.72%EV -9.07%E -3.42%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-03 00:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%EV -8.41%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.57%EV -17.56%E -7.02%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.57%EV -14.22%E -5.69%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-05-03 00:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -10.05%E -3.65%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.66%E -2.74%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -10.05%E -3.65%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.74%EV -10.96%E -4.06%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Sky Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -10.05%E -3.65%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.66%EV -10.96%E -4.06%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -14.22%E -5.69%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-03 00:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.55%EV -10.05%E -3.65%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 34.43%EV -16.90%E -6.70%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.02%EV -12.50%E -4.90%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-05-03 00:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.50%EV -11.68%E -4.33%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 34.14%EV -15.25%E -5.93%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.36%EV -9.76%E -3.71%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-03 00:03 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -13.32%E -5.03%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.76%EV -14.26%E -5.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -9.07%E -3.42%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.26% | 1.3% | 2026-05-03 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.25% | 1.3% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Matchbook | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.25% | 1.3% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.73% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.07% | 1.8% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Kalshi | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.35% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.29% | 2.0% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Smarkets | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.62% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.41% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.97% | 2.9% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |