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Platense v Defensa y Justicia
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Platense (Local)
Prediction 46.16%2.17fair odd
EV -3.98%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -3.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.73%46.24%46.12%48.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.802.002.002.0855.56%50.07%50.00%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Defensa y Justicia (Visit)
Prediction 21.37%4.68fair odd
EV +2.56%
Edge +0.534%
Kelly +0.675%
Growth +0.017%
assuming max odds 4.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.84%21.36%21.29%23.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.264.254.8026.67%23.46%23.53%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 32.47%3.08fair odd
EV -0.973%
Edge -0.319%
Kelly -0.475%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.94%32.39%32.59%33.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.862.883.0538.46%34.97%34.72%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Platense (Local): 46.16%; Defensa y Justicia (Visit): 21.37%; Draw: 32.47%. For Defensa y Justicia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.68. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.56%.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.10%EV -8.59%E -4.34%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.84%EV +2.56%E +0.534%K +0.675%G +0.017% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.06%EV -3.57%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-24 19:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.10%EV -8.59%E -4.34%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.84%EV +2.56%E +0.534%K +0.675%G +0.017% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.06%EV -3.57%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-24 19:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.48%EV -3.98%E -1.91%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.75%EV -0.427%E -0.092%K -0.117%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.77%EV -4.22%E -1.43%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-24 19:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.14%EV -3.98%E -1.91%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 21.00%EV -2.35%E -0.514%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.86%EV -5.19%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-24 19:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.24%EV -5.36%E -2.62%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%EV -3.85%E -0.855%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.69%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 19:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.24%EV -5.36%E -2.62%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%EV -3.85%E -0.855%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.69%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 19:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -3.85%E -0.855%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -7.47%E -2.62%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-24 19:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.38%EV -9.98%E -5.12%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -3.85%E -0.855%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.49%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-24 19:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.72%EV -5.82%E -2.86%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -4.91%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.09%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-24 19:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.02%EV -5.36%E -2.62%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -5.98%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-24 19:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.36%E -2.62%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -5.98%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.76%EV -6.82%E -2.38%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-24 19:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.64%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.98%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-24 19:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -5.98%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -7.47%E -2.62%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-24 19:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -5.98%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -7.47%E -2.62%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-24 19:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -5.36%E -2.62%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -7.05%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -6.49%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-24 19:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -5.36%E -2.62%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -7.05%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -6.49%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-24 19:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -5.36%E -2.62%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -7.48%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.80%EV -7.47%E -2.62%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-24 19:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.32%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -7.48%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.28%EV -6.82%E -2.38%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-24 19:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.57%EV -12.29%E -6.47%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.27%EV -9.19%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-24 17:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -5.36%E -2.62%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -9.09%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-24 19:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -5.36%E -2.62%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -9.09%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-24 19:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -9.98%E -5.12%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -9.09%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-24 19:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.51%EV -11.36%E -5.92%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.26%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 32.23%EV -10.06%E -3.63%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-24 19:44 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.41%EV -11.83%E -6.19%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.36%EV -11.32%E -2.73%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.23%EV -10.71%E -3.90%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-02-24 19:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.04%EV -5.36%E -2.62%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -12.39%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -0.973%E -0.319%K -0.475%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-24 19:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.56%EV -4.44%E -2.14%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -12.39%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.44%EV -2.60%E -0.865%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-24 19:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.56%EV -4.44%E -2.14%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -12.39%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.44%EV -2.60%E -0.865%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-24 19:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -12.39%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.05%EV -7.47%E -2.62%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-24 19:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.43%EV -9.52%E -4.86%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -12.39%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-24 19:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.42%EV -5.82%E -2.86%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -14.53%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -4.22%E -1.43%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-24 19:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.53%EV -9.98%E -5.12%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -14.53%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.28%EV -10.71%E -3.90%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-24 19:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.54%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -15.60%E -3.95%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-24 19:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.54%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -15.60%E -3.95%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-24 19:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.04%EV -12.29%E -6.47%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.15%EV -15.60%E -3.95%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -10.71%E -3.90%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-02-24 19:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 45.77%EV -12.29%E -6.47%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.02%EV -15.60%E -3.95%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.21%EV -12.34%E -4.57%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-02-24 19:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.17%EV -16.90%E -9.39%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 21.87%EV -18.80%E -4.95%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 31.96%EV -15.58%E -5.99%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-02-24 19:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.73%EV -11.83%E -6.19%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.78%EV -19.87%E -5.30%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.49%EV -14.61%E -5.55%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-02-24 19:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.80% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 0.8% | 2026-02-24 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.80% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 0.8% | 2026-02-24 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.55% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.56% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.3% | 2026-02-24 19:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.55% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.56% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.3% | 2026-02-24 19:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.78% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.47% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.75% | 1.8% | 2026-02-24 19:50 |