La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Platense v Defensa y Justicia
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Platense (Local)
Predicción 46.16%2.17momio equitativo
EV -3.98%
Ventaja -1.91%
Kelly -3.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.08
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.73%46.24%46.12%48.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.802.002.002.0855.56%50.07%50.00%48.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Defensa y Justicia (Visitante)
Predicción 21.37%4.68momio equitativo
EV +2.56%
Ventaja +0.534%
Kelly +0.675%
Crecimiento +0.017%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.84%21.36%21.29%23.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.264.254.8026.67%23.46%23.53%20.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 32.47%3.08momio equitativo
EV -0.973%
Ventaja -0.319%
Kelly -0.475%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.94%32.39%32.59%33.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.862.883.0538.46%34.97%34.72%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.10%EV -8.59%E -4.34%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.84%EV +2.56%E +0.534%K +0.675%G +0.017% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.06%EV -3.57%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-24 19:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.10%EV -8.59%E -4.34%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.84%EV +2.56%E +0.534%K +0.675%G +0.017% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.06%EV -3.57%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-24 19:10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.48%EV -3.98%E -1.91%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.75%EV -0.427%E -0.092%K -0.117%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.77%EV -4.22%E -1.43%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-24 19:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.14%EV -3.98%E -1.91%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 21.00%EV -2.35%E -0.514%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.86%EV -5.19%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-24 19:55 |
| Fanatics | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.24%EV -5.36%E -2.62%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%EV -3.85%E -0.855%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.69%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 19:40 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.24%EV -5.36%E -2.62%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%EV -3.85%E -0.855%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.69%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 19:50 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -3.85%E -0.855%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -7.47%E -2.62%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-24 19:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.38%EV -9.98%E -5.12%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -3.85%E -0.855%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.49%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-24 19:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.72%EV -5.82%E -2.86%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -4.91%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.09%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-24 19:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.02%EV -5.36%E -2.62%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -5.98%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-24 19:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.36%E -2.62%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -5.98%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.76%EV -6.82%E -2.38%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-24 19:55 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.64%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.98%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-24 19:40 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -5.98%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -7.47%E -2.62%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-24 19:45 |
| BetAnything | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -5.98%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -7.47%E -2.62%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-24 19:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -5.36%E -2.62%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -7.05%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -6.49%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-24 19:40 |
| Betsson | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -5.36%E -2.62%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -7.05%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -6.49%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-24 19:39 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -5.36%E -2.62%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -7.48%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.80%EV -7.47%E -2.62%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-24 19:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.32%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -7.48%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.28%EV -6.82%E -2.38%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-24 19:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.57%EV -12.29%E -6.47%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.27%EV -9.19%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-24 17:25 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -5.36%E -2.62%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -9.09%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-24 19:45 |
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -5.36%E -2.62%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -9.09%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-24 19:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -9.98%E -5.12%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -9.09%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-24 19:44 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.51%EV -11.36%E -5.92%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.26%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 32.23%EV -10.06%E -3.63%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-24 19:44 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.41%EV -11.83%E -6.19%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.36%EV -11.32%E -2.73%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.23%EV -10.71%E -3.90%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-02-24 19:45 |
| BetRivers | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.04%EV -5.36%E -2.62%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -12.39%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -0.973%E -0.319%K -0.475%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-24 19:45 |
| Unibet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.56%EV -4.44%E -2.14%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -12.39%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.44%EV -2.60%E -0.865%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-24 19:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.56%EV -4.44%E -2.14%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -12.39%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.44%EV -2.60%E -0.865%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-24 19:55 |
| Bet Right | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -12.39%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.05%EV -7.47%E -2.62%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-24 19:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.43%EV -9.52%E -4.86%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -12.39%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-24 19:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.42%EV -5.82%E -2.86%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -14.53%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -4.22%E -1.43%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-24 19:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.53%EV -9.98%E -5.12%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -14.53%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.28%EV -10.71%E -3.90%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-24 19:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.54%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -15.60%E -3.95%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-24 19:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.54%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -15.60%E -3.95%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-24 19:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.04%EV -12.29%E -6.47%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.15%EV -15.60%E -3.95%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -10.71%E -3.90%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-02-24 19:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 45.77%EV -12.29%E -6.47%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.02%EV -15.60%E -3.95%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.21%EV -12.34%E -4.57%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-02-24 19:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.17%EV -16.90%E -9.39%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 21.87%EV -18.80%E -4.95%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 31.96%EV -15.58%E -5.99%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-02-24 19:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.73%EV -11.83%E -6.19%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.78%EV -19.87%E -5.30%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.49%EV -14.61%E -5.55%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-02-24 19:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.80% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 0.8% | 2026-02-24 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.80% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 0.8% | 2026-02-24 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.55% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.56% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.3% | 2026-02-24 19:45 |
| Matchbook | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.55% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.56% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.3% | 2026-02-24 19:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.78% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.47% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.75% | 1.8% | 2026-02-24 19:50 |