L’École des cotes

Platense v Defensa y Justicia

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-24 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Platense (Local)

Prévision 46.16%2.17cote équitable
EV -3.98%
Avantage -1.91%
Kelly -3.68%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.73%46.24%46.12%48.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.802.002.002.0855.56%50.07%50.00%48.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Defensa y Justicia (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.37%4.68cote équitable
EV +2.56%
Avantage +0.534%
Kelly +0.675%
Croissance +0.017%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.84%21.36%21.29%23.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.264.254.8026.67%23.46%23.53%20.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 32.47%3.08cote équitable
EV -0.973%
Avantage -0.319%
Kelly -0.475%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.94%32.39%32.59%33.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.862.883.0538.46%34.97%34.72%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.10%EV -8.59%E -4.34%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.84%EV +2.56%E +0.534%K +0.675%G +0.017%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.06%EV -3.57%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 19:10
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.10%EV -8.59%E -4.34%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.84%EV +2.56%E +0.534%K +0.675%G +0.017%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.06%EV -3.57%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 19:10
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 46.48%EV -3.98%E -1.91%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.75%EV -0.427%E -0.092%K -0.117%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.77%EV -4.22%E -1.43%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-24 19:55
1xBet2.08I 48.08%NM 46.14%EV -3.98%E -1.91%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 21.00%EV -2.35%E -0.514%K -0.658%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.86%EV -5.19%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-24 19:55
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.24%EV -5.36%E -2.62%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%EV -3.85%E -0.855%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.69%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 19:40
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.24%EV -5.36%E -2.62%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%EV -3.85%E -0.855%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.69%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 19:50
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -3.85%E -0.855%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -7.47%E -2.62%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-24 19:40
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 47.38%EV -9.98%E -5.12%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -3.85%E -0.855%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.49%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-24 19:35
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.72%EV -5.82%E -2.86%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -4.91%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.09%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-24 19:55
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 46.02%EV -5.36%E -2.62%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -5.98%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-24 19:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.36%E -2.62%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -5.98%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.76%EV -6.82%E -2.38%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-24 19:55
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.64%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.98%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-24 19:40
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -5.98%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -7.47%E -2.62%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-24 19:45
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -5.98%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -7.47%E -2.62%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-24 19:45
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -5.36%E -2.62%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -7.05%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -6.49%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-24 19:40
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -5.36%E -2.62%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -7.05%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -6.49%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-24 19:39
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -5.36%E -2.62%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -7.48%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.80%EV -7.47%E -2.62%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-24 19:55
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.32%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -7.48%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.28%EV -6.82%E -2.38%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-24 19:45
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.57%EV -12.29%E -6.47%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.27%EV -9.19%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-24 17:25
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -5.36%E -2.62%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -9.09%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-24 19:45
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -5.36%E -2.62%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -9.09%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-24 19:40
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -9.98%E -5.12%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -9.09%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-24 19:44
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.51%EV -11.36%E -5.92%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.26%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.23%EV -10.06%E -3.63%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-24 19:44
Parions Sport (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.41%EV -11.83%E -6.19%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.36%EV -11.32%E -2.73%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.23%EV -10.71%E -3.90%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-24 19:45
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 46.04%EV -5.36%E -2.62%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -12.39%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -0.973%E -0.319%K -0.475%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-24 19:45
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.56%EV -4.44%E -2.14%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -12.39%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.44%EV -2.60%E -0.865%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-24 19:55
Unibet (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.56%EV -4.44%E -2.14%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -12.39%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.44%EV -2.60%E -0.865%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-24 19:55
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -12.39%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.05%EV -7.47%E -2.62%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-24 19:45
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.43%EV -9.52%E -4.86%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -12.39%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-24 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.42%EV -5.82%E -2.86%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -14.53%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -4.22%E -1.43%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-24 19:55
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.53%EV -9.98%E -5.12%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -14.53%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.28%EV -10.71%E -3.90%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-24 19:45
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.54%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -15.60%E -3.95%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-24 19:55
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.54%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -15.60%E -3.95%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-24 19:55
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.04%EV -12.29%E -6.47%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.15%EV -15.60%E -3.95%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -10.71%E -3.90%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.3%2026-02-24 19:45
NetBet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 45.77%EV -12.29%E -6.47%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.02%EV -15.60%E -3.95%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.21%EV -12.34%E -4.57%K -7.26%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-24 19:54
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 46.17%EV -16.90%E -9.39%K -21.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 21.87%EV -18.80%E -4.95%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.96%EV -15.58%E -5.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%20.3%2026-02-24 19:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.73%EV -11.83%E -6.19%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.78%EV -19.87%E -5.30%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.49%EV -14.61%E -5.55%K -8.96%G +0.000%17.0%2026-02-24 19:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.80%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%0.8%2026-02-24 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.80%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%0.8%2026-02-24 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.55%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.56%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.3%2026-02-24 19:45
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.55%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.56%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.3%2026-02-24 19:50
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.78%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.47%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.75%1.8%2026-02-24 19:50