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Newells Old Boys v Estudiantes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Newells Old Boys (Local)
Prediction 26.19%3.82fair odd
EV -0.229%
Edge -0.060%
Kelly -0.081%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.48%26.22%26.12%27.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.543.553.8130.30%28.24%28.17%26.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Estudiantes (Visit)
Prediction 40.46%2.47fair odd
EV -3.31%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -2.38%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.39
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.88%40.51%40.50%42.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.262.302.3950.00%44.18%43.48%41.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 33.36%3.00fair odd
EV -3.27%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.32%33.27%33.38%34.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.772.802.9040.00%36.11%35.71%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Newells Old Boys (Local): 26.19%; Estudiantes (Visit): 40.46%; Draw: 33.36%. For Newells Old Boys (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.82. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.81, with an expected value of -0.229%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.19%EV -0.229%E -0.060%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.66%EV -4.52%E -1.91%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.15%EV -6.27%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-25 22:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -0.490%E -0.129%K -0.175%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -10.99%E -5.00%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -6.61%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-25 22:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.88%EV -2.06%E -0.551%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.50%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.61%EV -3.94%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-25 22:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.97%EV -3.89%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.22%EV -4.11%E -1.74%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -5.94%E -2.11%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 22:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.97%EV -3.89%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.22%EV -4.11%E -1.74%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -5.94%E -2.11%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 22:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -4.42%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.48%EV -7.76%E -3.40%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -3.27%E -1.13%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-25 22:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -4.42%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.48%EV -7.76%E -3.40%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -3.27%E -1.13%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-25 22:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -6.95%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -4.94%E -1.73%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 22:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -4.92%E -2.10%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -8.27%E -3.01%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-25 22:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -8.97%E -3.99%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -3.27%E -1.13%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-25 22:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.95%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.61%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-25 22:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.95%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.61%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-25 22:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.95%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.61%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-25 22:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.95%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.61%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-25 22:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.95%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.61%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-25 22:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -6.95%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.55%EV -7.27%E -2.62%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-25 22:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -9.78%E -4.39%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -4.94%E -1.73%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-25 22:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.62%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.22%EV -4.92%E -2.10%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -4.94%E -1.73%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-25 22:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.97%E -3.99%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -8.27%E -3.01%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-25 22:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -4.92%E -2.10%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.27%EV -5.94%E -2.11%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-25 22:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -4.92%E -2.10%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.27%EV -5.94%E -2.11%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-25 22:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -6.95%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.61%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-25 22:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.95%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.27%E -3.01%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-25 22:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.95%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.27%E -3.01%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-25 22:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.97%E -3.99%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.94%E -3.68%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-25 22:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.97%E -3.99%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.94%E -3.68%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-25 22:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.80%E -5.41%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -6.61%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-25 22:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.80%E -5.41%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -6.61%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-25 22:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.84%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.89%EV -11.80%E -5.41%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 33.26%EV -10.61%E -3.96%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-25 22:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.95%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.61%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-25 22:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.97%E -3.99%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.61%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-25 22:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.26%EV -10.99%E -5.00%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.68%EV -12.28%E -4.67%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-02-25 22:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.88%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.92%EV -13.02%E -6.05%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.20%EV -11.61%E -4.38%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-02-25 22:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.69%EV -15.04%E -7.16%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.18%EV -16.61%E -6.64%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-02-25 22:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.63%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.87%EV -19.08%E -9.54%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.50%EV -16.61%E -6.64%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-02-25 22:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -13.02%E -6.05%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -9.94%E -3.68%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-02-25 22:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.39%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.13%EV -12.21%E -5.63%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.49%EV -13.28%E -5.11%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-02-25 22:23 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.87% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.49% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.65% | 0.4% | 2026-02-25 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.78% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.68% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.54% | 0.7% | 2026-02-25 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.78% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.68% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.54% | 0.7% | 2026-02-25 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.78% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.68% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.54% | 0.7% | 2026-02-25 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.89% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.65% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.46% | 1.7% | 2026-02-25 22:25 |