L’École des cotes

Newells Old Boys v Estudiantes

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-25 22:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Newells Old Boys (Local)

Prévision 26.19%3.82cote équitable
EV -0.229%
Avantage -0.060%
Kelly -0.081%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.48%26.22%26.12%27.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.543.553.8130.30%28.24%28.17%26.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Estudiantes (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.46%2.47cote équitable
EV -3.31%
Avantage -1.38%
Kelly -2.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.39

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.88%40.51%40.50%42.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.262.302.3950.00%44.18%43.48%41.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 33.36%3.00cote équitable
EV -3.27%
Avantage -1.13%
Kelly -1.72%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.32%33.27%33.38%34.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.772.802.9040.00%36.11%35.71%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet3.81I 26.25%NM 25.19%EV -0.229%E -0.060%K -0.081%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.66%EV -4.52%E -1.91%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.15%EV -6.27%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-25 22:20
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -0.490%E -0.129%K -0.175%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -10.99%E -5.00%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -6.61%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-25 22:10
Pinnacle3.74I 26.74%NM 25.88%EV -2.06%E -0.551%K -0.752%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.50%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.61%EV -3.94%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-25 22:25
LowVig.ag3.67I 27.25%NM 25.97%EV -3.89%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.22%EV -4.11%E -1.74%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -5.94%E -2.11%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 22:24
BetOnline.ag3.67I 27.25%NM 25.97%EV -3.89%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.22%EV -4.11%E -1.74%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -5.94%E -2.11%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 22:25
Unibet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -4.42%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.48%EV -7.76%E -3.40%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -3.27%E -1.13%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-25 22:14
Unibet (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -4.42%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.48%EV -7.76%E -3.40%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -3.27%E -1.13%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-25 22:14
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -6.95%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -4.94%E -1.73%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 22:19
Everygame3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -4.92%E -2.10%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -8.27%E -3.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-25 22:15
BetRivers3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -8.97%E -3.99%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -3.27%E -1.13%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-25 22:15
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.95%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.61%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 22:25
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.95%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.61%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 22:19
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.95%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.61%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 22:20
theScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.95%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.61%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 22:20
BetAnything3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.95%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.61%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 22:25
Marathon Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -6.95%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.55%EV -7.27%E -2.62%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-25 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -9.78%E -4.39%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -4.94%E -1.73%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 22:14
DraftKings3.55I 28.17%NM 26.62%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.22%EV -4.92%E -2.10%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -4.94%E -1.73%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 22:19
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.97%E -3.99%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -8.27%E -3.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-25 22:19
NordicBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -4.92%E -2.10%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.27%EV -5.94%E -2.11%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 22:24
Betsson3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -4.92%E -2.10%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.27%EV -5.94%E -2.11%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 22:25
BetMGM3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -6.95%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.61%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-25 22:20
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.95%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.27%E -3.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-25 22:14
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.95%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.27%E -3.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-25 22:15
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.97%E -3.99%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.94%E -3.68%K -5.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-25 22:25
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.97%E -3.99%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.94%E -3.68%K -5.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-25 22:20
Virgin Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.80%E -5.41%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -6.61%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-25 22:15
LiveScore Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.80%E -5.41%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -6.61%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-25 22:15
Betclic (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 25.84%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.89%EV -11.80%E -5.41%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.26%EV -10.61%E -3.96%K -6.31%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-25 22:20
PlayUp3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.95%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.61%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-25 22:24
Winamax (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.97%E -3.99%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.61%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-25 22:20
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.26%EV -10.99%E -5.00%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.68%EV -12.28%E -4.67%K -7.53%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-25 22:25
Parions Sport (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.88%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.92%EV -13.02%E -6.05%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.20%EV -11.61%E -4.38%K -7.04%G +0.000%13.7%2026-02-25 22:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.69%EV -15.04%E -7.16%K -13.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.18%EV -16.61%E -6.64%K -11.07%G +0.000%17.0%2026-02-25 22:25
PMU (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 24.63%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.87%EV -19.08%E -9.54%K -19.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.50%EV -16.61%E -6.64%K -11.07%G +0.000%19.4%2026-02-25 22:15
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -13.02%E -6.05%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -9.94%E -3.68%K -5.85%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-25 22:19
NetBet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.39%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.13%EV -12.21%E -5.63%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.49%EV -13.28%E -5.11%K -8.30%G +0.000%14.8%2026-02-25 22:23
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.85I 25.97%NM 25.87%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.49%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.65%0.4%2026-02-25 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.78%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.68%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.54%0.7%2026-02-25 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.78%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.68%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.54%0.7%2026-02-25 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.78%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.68%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.54%0.7%2026-02-25 22:25
Smarkets3.80I 26.32%NM 25.89%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.65%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.46%1.7%2026-02-25 22:25